DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/01 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 87.8 - - 87.8 - - 75.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 471 - - 166 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8352 - - 10934 - - 12641 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8388 - - 10525 - - 11137 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10452 - - 13034 - - 14741 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1458 - - 1444 - - 1227 - - 1148 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 634 - - 706 - - 524 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 18 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 156 - - 212 - - 260 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 11 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -6 - - 47 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3420 - - -3204 - - -2309 - - -13025 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13873 - - 16239 - - 17051 - - 15170 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6655 - - -5657 - - -5055 - - -17381 ODpotential blCL - - - 17107 - - 18691 - - 19796 - - 19525 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 40 - - 47 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 87.8 - - 87.8 - - 75.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.4 - - 22.4 - - 18.7 - - 16.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.8 - - 84.8 - - 86.4 - - 78.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.4 - - 22.4 - - 18.7 - - 16.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 471 - - 166 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8352 - - 10934 - - 12641 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97736 19 260 22 294 15 303 15 290 97736 90293 9 297 10 248 11 291 12 292 90293 84567 5 026 7 168 8 263 10 343 84567 79831 4 358 2 056 3 324 9 009 79831 75762 2 359 3 349 3 049 6 076 75762 72168 4 080 2 110 5 122 1 074 72168 68930 3 215 1 043 6 091 4 094 68930 65967 3 279 8 270 8 320 7 007 65967 63223 3 273 10 252 12 277 14 317 63223 60574 6 325 5 282 12 267 17 290 60574 57819 18 300 13 297 15 287 19 271 57819 54966 24 287 21 279 21 282 20 270 54966 52242 25 288 22 278 21 280 21 273 52242 49777 26 281 23 282 24 279 26 269 49777 47556 28 273 29 275 35 271 34 267 47556 45537 34 267 41 270 45 269 43 268 45537 43684 45 267 51 270 54 271 49 272 43684 41968 54 268 59 269 61 271 57 271 41968 40375 57 269 61 268 66 269 65 269 40375 38894 60 270 64 266 69 266 68 266 38894 37515 64 271 67 265 71 265 69 267 37515 36196 63 269 69 266 72 265 72 268 36196 34864 59 266 69 266 73 265 73 267 34864 33490 55 263 65 264 71 264 72 267 33490 32075 51 261 58 261 65 262 65 268 32075 30609 48 259 52 258 57 258 56 269 30609 29076 47 259 48 255 49 254 53 269 29076 27474 47 260 45 255 44 251 49 265 27474 25804 45 261 41 254 40 248 43 258 25804 24072 39 262 36 251 36 246 38 250 24072 22280 33 259 32 249 32 244 33 244 22280 20418 27 253 27 245 28 243 27 240 20418 18480 22 250 22 241 23 238 23 234 18480 16504 17 251 16 236 18*214 20 222 16504 14598 13 248 14*215 12*202 18 179 14598 12864 13 230 12*203 10 212 10 152 12864 11316 13*207 11 203 9 236 4 156 11316 9932 10*188 11 204 9 250 2 289 9932 8693 7 167 9 208 9 263 5 300 8693 7585 6 157 7 213 9 274 8 300 7585 6596 6 153 6 217 9 282 10 295 6596 5718 5 148 5 222 9 288 12 290 5718 4938 4 144 4 230 9 293 15 285 4938 4237 4 142 3 239 9 295 16 280 4237 3613 3 136 3 248 9 298 18 276 3613 3090 3 131 3 256 9 300 18 274 3090 2688 3 129 2 264 9 302 17 274 2688 2410 3 125 2 267 9 302 14 273 2410 2241 2 121 2 270 9 303 10 272 2241 2144 2 123 2 270 8 304 6*271 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography