DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/08 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.7 - - 82.7 - - 87.7 - - 86.3 - - 75.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 96 - - 464 - - 503 - - 182 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 797 - - 6378 - - 9219 - - 9553 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 6813 - - 9156 - - 8788 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2897 - - 8478 - - 11319 - - 11653 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2006 - - 1781 - - 1418 - - 1672 - - 7837 Hgt.Variab. W* 174 - - 588 - - 683 - - 492 - - 4 W* B/S 9 - - 11 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 10 - - 16 - - 18 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 173 - - 259 - - 259 - - 266 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 4 - - -6 - - -6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9418 - - -7085 - - -5415 - - -4704 - - -11095 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12316 - - 15563 - - 16735 - - 16357 - - 13239 sfcLCL ODpotential -16462 - - -12063 - - -9799 - - -8646 - - -16704 ODpotential blCL 19359 - - 20541 - - 21118 - - 20299 - - 18848 blCL maxRH 30 - - 28 - - 30 - - 34 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 71.7 - - 82.7 - - 87.7 - - 86.3 - - 75.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.2 - - 20.8 - - 20.1 - - 20.5 - - 24.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.7 - - 79.8 - - 84.8 - - 85.0 - - 77.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.2 - - 20.8 - - 20.0 - - 20.5 - - 24.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 96 - - 464 - - 503 - - 182 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 797 - - 6378 - - 9219 - - 9553 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98229 6 097 7 210 5 332 2 263 9 287 98229 90775 3 066 3 077 3 243 5 029 9 038 90775 85042 7 048 4 040 6 208 12 006 12 045 85042 80299 4 067 8 079 10 157 6 327 14 033 80299 76221 6 122 5 087 8 113 2 104 5 352 76221 72630 6 081 5 080 4 112 4 041 6 094 72630 69394 6 075 5 064 3 031 3 261 8 026 69394 66414 3 292 5 270 3 004 4 226 7 258 66414 63646 18 263 17 250 10 249 8 235 17 227 63646 60961 27 258 28 250 24 259 18 249 19 248 60961 58153 32 259 30 260 31 264 24 257 26 269 58153 55225 34 258 34 263 35 265 32 266 32 265 55225 52419 33 259 35 260 37 265 37 271 37 269 52419 49900 38 262 42 265 43 266 45 281 40 271 49900 47652 45 267 47 264 48 262 49 274 45 281 47652 45618 47 273 47 265 50 264 53 269 56 280 45618 43767 52 278 49 270 55 267 59 267 65 273 43767 42078 57 276 53 270 59 268 62 268 70 271 42078 40519 58 272 55 269 59 268 64 270 72 272 40519 39062 56 271 55 269 58 269 66 271 73 272 39062 37690 54 272 53 269 57 270 66 271 72 273 37690 36368 52 273 53 269 56 270 65 271 71 274 36368 35027 51 274 52 270 55 270 63 272 71 275 35027 33641 51 275 53 270 55 271 60 273 70 276 33641 32211 51 275 53 270 56 271 59 274 67 277 32211 30725 51 274 54 271 56 270 58 273 62 277 30725 29172 50 274 54 271 55 270 56 274 57 277 29172 27552 50 274 55 270 55 269 54 274 53 277 27552 25867 49 275 53 271 55 268 51 274 48 277 25867 24117 45 279 50 274 53 269 49 272 45 275 24117 22306 39 282 46 277 50 273 47 272 45 273 22306 20428 35 285 40 278 43 273 44 271 45 271 20428 18474 35 285 35 279 37 270 42 268 42 271 18474 16483 35 279 33 273 33 271 37 267 37 271 16483 14565 36 272 32 266 30 268 30 269 29 272 14565 12821 34 268 29 266 25*259 20*261 20 265 12821 11272 26 266 23 264 17*251 18*262 16 244 11272 9895 21 274 16 259 16 252 18 263 16 253 9895 8664 19 274 11*251 16 254 18 264 17 260 8664 7562 13 262 11*252 16 257 18 265 18 265 7562 6579 8 266 11 253 16 259 19 267 19 269 6579 5706 7 290 10 256 16 261 19 267 19 273 5706 4930 9 286 10 258 16 263 19 268 20 275 4930 4230 11 269 10 261 16 265 19 268 20 277 4230 3609 9 252 9 263 15 266 19 269 20 278 3609 3088 5*225 9 265 15 267 18 269 19 279 3088 2686 4*176 9 266 15 268 18 269 18 278 2686 2409 3 173 8 267 14 268 17 269 14 276 2409 2241 3 172 8 268 14 269 16 269 11 273 2241 2144 3 170 7 269 12 269 14 269 6*268 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography