DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/01 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 63.6 - - 62.5 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 441 - - 167 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7573 - - 9093 - - 7700 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12274 - - 13634 - - 11960 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14258 - - 15778 - - 14385 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4681 - - 4990 - - 5136 - - 3666 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 585 - - 678 - - 464 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 17 - - 16 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 280 - - 292 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -15 - - -21 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1505 - - 1885 - - 245 - - -3750 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12753 - - 13893 - - 14140 - - 10549 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 193 - - 385 - - -1509 - - -6954 ODpotential blCL - - - 14065 - - 15393 - - 15894 - - 13753 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 70 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 190 - - 280 - - 160 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 63.6 - - 62.5 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.5 - - 25.9 - - 23.9 - - 29.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 61.2 - - 61.5 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.3 - - 25.6 - - 23.7 - - 29.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 441 - - 167 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7573 - - 9093 - - 7700 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 103 - - 101 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97565 10 260 15 281 7 298 4 320 97565 90217 3 246 7 257 3 338 7 339 90217 84556 4 030 1 298 8 348 9 357 84556 79856 9 061 4 135 3 329 6 356 79856 75811 8 078 9 125 5 179 4 021 75811 72235 8 082 6 125 4 200 8 024 72235 68995 1 022 3 167 2 205 5 040 68995 66009 5 288 2 243 2 263 3 350 66009 63226 4 271 6 239 5 265 5 275 63226 60526 9 292 6 285 4 303 6 273 60526 57715 14 274 14 294 10 292 12 286 57715 54805 17 288 20 297 16 287 18 285 54805 52029 25 296 26 297 22 294 22 293 52029 49526 31 293 31 292 27 292 26 296 49526 47271 32 290 34 285 33 289 29 297 47271 45223 30 288 35 282 37 284 31 294 45223 43355 29 290 33 281 36 281 33 287 43355 41643 31 290 34 280 34 281 32 287 41643 40066 36 287 34 280 33 287 29 289 40066 38610 44 280 36 278 29 290 22 282 38610 37260 50 279 36 279 23 295 10 307 37260 35979 56 268 36 286 18 313 20 349 35979 34709 56 259 40 277 17 323 21 356 34709 33420 52 260 40 272 19 319 18 006 33420 32112 46 267 38 272 22 307 14 008 32112 30770 38 272 35 273 22 300 10 015 30770 29389 34 272 32 272 24 295 9 022 29389 27970 33 268 31 271 29 283 10 006 27970 26517 32 272 30 271 30 274 11 341 26517 25034 30 276 28 273 30 272 14 320 25034 23524 27 280 24 280 27 273 17 295 23524 21983 25 287 23 285 25 272 21 271 21983 20405 23 293 18 288 21 276 22 271 20405 18817 21 294 16 284 17 287 16 286 18817 17299 23 287 16 281 16 292 12 296 17299 15917 23 281 17*280 16 293 11 296 15917 14679 21*280 17*280 16*293 13 294 14679 13562 18*279 17 280 16*293 14 295 13562 12549 13 277 17 281 16 292 15 298 12549 11629 13 277 18 280 17 292 15 299 11629 10794 13 276 18 280 17 292 15 302 10794 10040 12 276 18 280 17 292 15 306 10040 9357 12 275 18 280 17 291 14 311 9357 8731 12 274 18 280 17 291 14 320 8731 8166 11 273 18 279 17 291 14 328 8166 7686 11 272 18 280 17 291 14 336 7686 7311 11 271 17 280 16 291 13 342 7311 7050 11 272 17 280 16 291 10 344 7050 6890 10 272 16 280 15 291 8*343 6890 6799 9 271 14 280 13 291 4*338 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography