DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/08 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.8 - - 49.4 - - 54.0 - - 53.5 - - 44.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 263 - - 632 - - 611 - - 225 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3532 - - 5920 - - 7411 - - 6982 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 8992 - - 11186 - - 12395 - - 11587 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 10217 - - 12605 - - 14096 - - 13667 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1766 - - 1270 - - 1387 - - 2706 - - 3921 Hgt.Variab. W* 416 - - 662 - - 706 - - 496 - - 6 W* B/S 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 17 - - 17 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 296 - - 290 - - 277 - - 277 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear 13 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -12 - - 5 - - -21 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4252 - - -4308 - - -3711 - - -3938 - - -8768 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14470 - - 16914 - - 17808 - - 17606 - - 15567 sfcLCL ODpotential -12239 - - -11241 - - -9058 - - -8123 - - -14488 ODpotential blCL 22456 - - 23846 - - 23154 - - 21790 - - 21287 blCL maxRH 25 - - 23 - - 26 - - 28 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.8 - - 49.4 - - 54.0 - - 53.5 - - 44.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 2.0 - - -1.6 - - -1.3 - - -0.6 - - 0.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.3 - - 46.5 - - 51.1 - - 52.3 - - 47.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 1.6 - - -2.2 - - -1.9 - - -1.0 - - -0.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 263 - - 632 - - 611 - - 225 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3532 - - 5920 - - 7411 - - 6982 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98127 3 213 10 263 9 283 12 272 11 283 98127 90716 8 289 10 297 7 309 10 335 13 319 90716 85036 4 337 7 259 8 322 9 341 9 358 85036 80334 10 029 3 195 10 292 7 326 12 003 80334 76281 16 036 5 148 4 241 7 358 11 352 76281 72691 15 038 14 084 7 153 6 346 7 035 72691 69427 7 338 10 061 11 153 3 296 5 089 69427 66410 5 179 3 003 8 146 7 248 3 288 66410 63610 13 200 1 242 5 131 7 207 9 235 63610 60893 12 230 13 241 9 306 5 179 8 216 60893 58039 14 233 19 252 20 269 8 268 10 251 58039 55059 11 250 17 230 17 243 16 251 10 274 55059 52205 12 323 18 299 8 243 16 224 19 270 52205 49637 32 275 31 284 21 281 17 260 21 269 49637 47338 45 257 37 265 34 280 27 273 25 261 47338 45258 40 266 39 258 44 268 34 275 26 272 45258 43354 46 270 41 259 44 260 40 269 33 270 43354 41599 51 266 47 267 47 258 48 264 41 261 41599 39975 59 268 56 268 54 256 57 259 46 260 39975 38470 72 273 66 267 63 256 67 255 52 262 38470 37078 87 272 77 265 70 259 73 252 57 260 37078 35763 97 267 87 263 78 261 73 252 57 258 35763 34462 98 262 87 262 85 260 76 255 55 258 34462 33147 93 262 85 265 87 259 80 257 58 260 33147 31823 89 266 86 266 89 260 83 257 54 260 31823 30477 88 271 82 266 89 260 82 257 40 264 30477 29098 89 274 75 266 83 260 77 256 33 272 29098 27685 89 275 67 267 74 260 69 258 30 273 27685 26237 81 277 57 270 64 261 58 260 30 273 26237 24758 67 280 47 273 55 263 47 262 30 270 24758 23256 53 287 42 272 49 265 38 264 28 270 23256 21726 47 291 38 268 45 268 31 269 26 270 21726 20164 46 293 37 268 41 272 27 271 23 264 20164 18595 56 290 42 274 36 276 27 272 22 259 18595 17096 67 286 44 277 32 279 24 274 23 258 17096 15734 66 284 40 281 24 284 17 281 23 259 15734 14517 58 285 33 287 16*288 14*288 21 260 14517 13422 49 286 23*295 16*287 13*290 14 262 13422 12430 41 288 17*296 16 285 14 289 7 278 12430 11530 35 294 17 296 16 283 15 284 5 316 11530 10712 29*299 17 294 17 279 16 281 7 323 10712 9975 24*301 17 292 17 276 16 277 9 315 9975 9306 22 301 17 289 18 274 17 274 11 306 9306 8694 20 298 17 288 18 273 17 272 12 299 8694 8140 18 294 17 286 18 271 17 270 13 293 8140 7670 17 291 17 284 18 270 17 269 13 289 7670 7301 16 290 17 283 18 269 17 268 12 284 7301 7045 15 288 16 282 17 269 16 267 11 278 7045 6888 15 287 16 282 16 269 16 267 8*271 6888 6799 13 287 14 281 15 268 13 266 5*265 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography