DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/09 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.3 - - 91.0 - - 89.6 - - 79.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 199 - - 12 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3509 - - 3933 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3663 - - 3873 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4894 - - 5318 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1101 - - 1851 - - 7269 - - 1763 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 411 - - 391 - - 65 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 51 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 1 - - 6 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 327 - - 098 - - 077 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 451 - - -832 - - -3446 - - -359 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4444 - - 6150 - - 5026 - - 1939 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4039 - - -3815 - - -5370 - - -4420 ODpotential blCL - - - 8933 - - 9133 - - 6950 - - 6000 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 68 - - 75 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 4030 - - 3800 - - 4860 - - 4630 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.3 - - 91.0 - - 89.6 - - 79.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.5 - - 68.9 - - 72.3 - - 75.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.4 - - 89.4 - - 89.6 - - 79.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.6 - - 67.9 - - 71.4 - - 75.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 199 - - 12 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3509 - - 3933 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 39 - - 0 - - 0 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 15 - - 18 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98257 6 167 8 122 9 071 6 111 98257 90797 5 112 5 159 4 137 13 024 90797 85047 6 113 9 139 1 360 1 077 85047 80293 11 101 12 151 3 190 6 012 80293 76206 7 059 8 105 10 142 1 145 76206 72617 8 178 8 001 4 090 6 100 72617 69402 7 143 4 297 9 279 4 252 69402 66492 3 190 5 222 4 331 9 326 66492 63805 20 240 16 240 11 241 10 315 63805 61194 23 200 21 215 29 222 25 232 61194 58463 32 275 31 281 38 275 34 272 58463 55616 55 252 52 261 44 262 56 264 55616 52911 60 241 56 247 39 250 63 253 52911 50488 62 243 63 249 50 256 68 262 50488 48313 71 251 77 253 71 262 76 263 48313 46334 86 253 89 253 87 261 81 262 46334 44514 93 250 92 252 91 258 82 262 44514 42827 92 247 90 250 87 256 82 263 42827 41257 86 248 85 249 80 257 78 263 41257 39786 78 249 79 251 75 258 71 264 39786 38403 71 251 74 253 72 259 65 265 38403 37067 65 251 71 255 70 259 63 266 37067 35709 60 250 68 255 70 260 63 265 35709 34299 54 248 64 254 69 259 62 266 34299 32841 50 250 59 254 66 259 61 268 32841 31319 48 254 54 252 60 259 61 270 31319 29722 47 256 49 250 52 258 60 271 29722 28051 47 257 47 252 46 256 57 270 28051 26306 46 256 46 255 41 256 50 268 26306 24493 45 252 47 255 40 256 44 265 24493 22612 47 249 52 254 41 257 42 265 22612 20658 52 251 54 253 44 260 44 269 20658 18625 51 253 51 255 48 266 50 270 18625 16555 46 255 47 258 47 271 51 268 16555 14559 40 252 41 262 39 275 45 270 14559 12740 34 244 33 265 27 281 36 277 12740 11117 27 245 25 261 21 286 26 285 11117 9670 19 241 22 254 18 288 18 288 9670 8376 16 260 18 253 14 287 13 286 8376 7219 15 273 14 267 10 282 10 281 7219 6186 12 265 10*275 7 274 8 252 6186 5269 8*256 4*282 4 257 7 211 5269 4456 8*257 2 297 2 194 7 159 4456 3728 7 258 2 319 4 115 14 099 3728 3085 7 258 1 349 7 104 23 086 3085 2549 7 258 1 010 7 100 23 082 2549 2136 7 260 1 032 8 099 22 081 2136 1852 6 260 2 039 8 098 18 079 1852 1679 6 259 1 038 7 098 15*078 1679 1580 6 259 1 046 6*098 10*077 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography