DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/01 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 62.6 - - 65.1 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 82 - - 63 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7530 - - 7336 - - 9400 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11447 - - 10264 - - 11479 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13398 - - 13204 - - 15268 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3514 - - 3974 - - 3986 - - 2347 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 594 - - 358 - - 356 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 11 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 283 - - 245 - - 314 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 14 - - 29 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 833 - - 320 - - 892 - - -7227 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12566 - - 12885 - - 14376 - - 13270 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 56 - - -856 - - -294 - - -10342 ODpotential blCL - - - 13342 - - 14060 - - 15562 - - 16385 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 100 - - 98 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 120 - - 70 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 62.6 - - 65.1 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.1 - - 26.9 - - 22.8 - - 19.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.9 - - 61.6 - - 64.3 - - 58.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.9 - - 26.7 - - 22.6 - - 18.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 82 - - 63 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7530 - - 7336 - - 9400 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 60 - - 102 - - 91 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97552 9 257 13 280 6 306 6 339 97552 90226 2 208 6 247 4 310 5 333 90226 84567 1 006 3 256 6 312 6 311 84567 79853 5 005 1 353 4 343 5 318 79853 75805 4 355 4 092 3 060 6 020 75805 72232 2 085 7 144 3 146 7 030 72232 68986 4 080 5 173 3 228 6 354 68986 65995 4 358 1 092 3 247 5 300 65995 63219 3 257 4 265 5 292 5 283 63219 60523 7 284 6 295 7 292 7 284 60523 57711 12 287 12 297 12 294 13 279 57711 54801 18 305 19 302 17 315 13 298 54801 52025 24 301 25 298 22 308 18 311 52025 49519 26 295 27 294 25 298 23 309 49519 47267 26 288 28 289 27 292 27 304 47267 45220 24 286 27 286 27 292 26 301 45220 43352 23 290 25 284 27 291 26 300 43352 41647 25 293 23 286 24 284 22 296 41647 40076 27 293 21 293 15 286 12 292 40076 38616 27 293 18 316 16 002 19 011 38616 37267 28 289 19 323 25 011 30 011 37267 35995 39 281 18 319 22 012 27 007 35995 34728 46 272 17 312 20 029 24 023 34728 33432 47 266 16 307 26 039 26 027 33432 32111 43 271 12 326 29 040 24 033 32111 30752 39 279 11 342 25 041 22 035 30752 29346 29 279 9 343 24 037 19 034 29346 27898 24 281 9 328 20 032 15 033 27898 26409 24 285 11 304 13 032 11 029 26409 24882 24 292 15 293 10 025 11 022 24882 23319 23 296 17 295 10 339 13 011 23319 21720 22 297 17 302 16 303 12 350 21720 20082 20 296 14 308 15 301 13 316 20082 18435 18 293 12 308 10 302 14 310 18435 16859 15 297 12 307 9 301 12 304 16859 15421 14 303 11 306 9*302 8 291 15421 14133 12*305 10*304 8*305 6 272 14133 12972 9*304 9*295 8 309 5 260 12972 11922 8 303 7 282 7 312 4 270 11922 10970 6 297 7 265 7 314 4 295 10970 10110 5 288 6 250 6 316 6 320 10110 9336 5 281 7 238 6 316 8 339 9336 8638 4 271 7 228 5 318 10 350 8638 8000 4 260 7 221 5 320 12 358 8000 7426 4 248 7 215 5 320 14 001 7426 6939 4 239 7 213 4 320 14 003 6939 6560 3 235 7 209 4 320 14 005 6560 6297 4 232 7 208 4 320 11 006 6297 6136 3 231 7 207 4 320 10*006 6136 6043 3 228 6 206 3 322 7*004 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography