DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/01 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 74.9 - - 76.9 - - 67.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 344 - - 424 - - 200 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3837 - - 6514 - - 7746 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6011 - - 8206 - - 8782 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7240 - - 9917 - - 11149 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1193 - - 934 - - 1089 - - 4221 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 455 - - 583 - - 481 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 16 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 165 - - 182 - - 200 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 3 - - 11 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7567 - - -6412 - - -5123 - - -8135 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14808 - - 16329 - - 16273 - - 11694 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13944 - - -11130 - - -9207 - - -13487 ODpotential blCL - - - 21184 - - 21047 - - 20356 - - 17045 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 56 - - 50 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 74.9 - - 76.9 - - 67.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.9 - - 14.9 - - 17.1 - - 28.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.1 - - 72.2 - - 75.2 - - 69.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.4 - - 14.4 - - 16.9 - - 28.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 344 - - 424 - - 200 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3837 - - 6514 - - 7746 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97613 12 142 9 194 7 270 4 348 97613 90241 9 146 5 231 3 357 8 094 90241 84587 7 131 2 152 5 090 6 086 84587 79894 5 082 6 117 3 116 2 360 79894 75837 3 349 9 086 7 165 2 296 75837 72237 3 281 3 033 7 179 4 083 72237 68970 1 309 3 344 6 162 5 143 68970 65966 2 049 1 238 1 062 2 103 65966 63192 5 032 2 004 7 010 3 062 63192 60515 4 048 4 327 9 350 6 037 60515 57738 10 040 3 036 4 312 3 357 57738 54865 13 011 9 018 4 011 2 352 54865 52119 10 350 10 343 8 355 4 015 52119 49649 8 004 9 324 8 345 4 025 49649 47429 17 029 10 038 5 016 3 095 47429 45405 21 041 16 060 6 059 5 088 45405 43552 21 037 17 057 10 054 7 092 43552 41855 17 012 15 025 10 017 8 086 41855 40302 16 016 12 016 11 350 4 036 40302 38874 18 027 12 027 12 341 5 347 38874 37540 19 029 12 028 10 344 3 326 37540 36254 17 026 9 021 8 343 1 281 36254 34952 15 023 8 011 6 342 1 177 34952 33608 15 022 7 007 5 335 1 113 33608 32227 15 018 7 002 6 330 2 047 32227 30794 15 008 8 003 7 330 1 351 30794 29301 16 360 8 005 7 333 1 268 29301 27747 15 358 8 010 6 341 0 305 27747 26137 14 002 8 012 4 355 1 345 26137 24474 15 007 9 011 4 020 2 106 24474 22758 17 005 10 007 4 034 4 111 22758 20981 17 009 9 018 3 063 5 131 20981 19134 14 026 6 042 3 092 5 156 19134 17254 10 036 5 066 3 128 7 184 17254 15443 7 037 3 087 5 165 13 196 15443 13794 4 078 4 150 10 183 17 198 13794 12328 4 140 6 175 11*192 14 193 12328 11022 7 165 9*184 8*192 11 175 11022 9852 9 168 8*183 7 194 9 176 9852 8801 10 169 8 183 7 195 6 184 8801 7860 10*170 7 182 6 198 3 212 7860 7021 9*169 7 182 6 200 3 274 7021 6272 9 168 7 182 5 203 4 305 6272 5595 8 166 6 182 5 205 6 320 5595 4991 7 165 6 180 5 208 8 330 4991 4483 7 163 6 180 4 210 10 336 4483 4090 6 161 5 181 4 212 11 338 4090 3818 6 160 5 180 4 212 10 336 3818 3653 5 160 5 179 4 213 8 332 3653 3558 5 160 5 180 4 213 6*328 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography