DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/09 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.1 - - 68.5 - - 63.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 130 - - 53 - - -58 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2174 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3626 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4732 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2111 - - 4561 - - 4280 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 290 - - 107 - - 43 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 244 - - 261 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -32 - - -932 - - -683 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4764 - - 3750 - - 3500 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2494 - - -1842 - - -2380 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7226 - - 4659 - - 5197 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 86 - - 99 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 380 - - 1040 - - 360 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.1 - - 68.5 - - 63.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.4 - - 61.1 - - 57.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.9 - - 67.7 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.1 - - 60.3 - - 57.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 130 - - 53 - - -58 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2174 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 43 - - 96 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 13 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98322 10 213 12 259 6 265 98322 90858 10 234 11 214 13 227 90858 85097 14 218 8 245 12 236 85097 80328 9 237 7 252 9 286 80328 76238 5 275 7 232 10 276 76238 72634 6 304 7 312 9 297 72634 69388 9 205 12 286 13 310 69388 66404 8 188 14 219 16 281 66404 63658 15 300 13 252 17 264 63658 61015 25 294 23 294 14 261 61015 58225 43 277 44 267 32 272 58225 55293 49 252 49 251 51 259 55293 52478 41 250 50 263 54 258 52478 49943 49 269 61 268 62 262 49943 47688 67 269 67 263 70 260 47688 45673 74 264 67 261 74 256 45673 43857 73 262 72 260 74 253 43857 42193 70 259 76 258 71 250 42193 40644 73 252 75 255 70 250 40644 39187 76 242 72 255 71 251 39187 37811 70 237 70 253 73 253 37811 36481 70 238 71 248 73 253 36481 35135 70 240 73 236 72 252 35135 33744 70 245 75 232 70 252 33744 32316 69 247 71 232 70 251 32316 30834 66 248 68 234 70 254 30834 29287 59 249 70 243 70 258 29287 27675 56 252 72 252 72 262 27675 26000 61 257 70 257 73 264 26000 24269 62 260 65 264 72 267 24269 22490 59 264 59 271 68 269 22490 20655 49 269 51 276 62 275 20655 18755 43 268 46 279 52 271 18755 16824 45 271 42 273 43 266 16824 14962 42 274 40 268 40 278 14962 13263 36 269 40 263 44 288 13263 11746 35 261 39 258 47 288 11746 10393 35 261 38 259 48 283 10393 9184 33 266 37 261 46 278 9184 8108 33 269 35 261 43 275 8108 7151 35 263 32 260 41 273 7151 6302 33 251 28 259 40 271 6302 5546 30 243 26 258 39 269 5546 4863 24*242 22 259 36 267 4863 4255 20*243 21 259 33 266 4255 3744 19 243 18 260 30 265 3744 3350 17 244 16 260 26 264 3350 3078 16 245 15 261 21 264 3078 2912 14 245 13*261 17*264 2912 2817 10 245 9*261 10*264 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography