DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/08 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.7 - - 36.5 - - 41.4 - - 40.4 - - 33.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 250 - - 553 - - 541 - - 226 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2506 - - 4109 - - 5870 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 10347 - - 11819 - - 13234 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 11306 - - 12909 - - 14670 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1445 - - 1575 - - 1795 - - 7584 - - 4478 Hgt.Variab. W* 375 - - 575 - - 643 - - 220 - - 16 W* B/S 3 - - 10 - - 13 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 20 - - 10 - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 323 - - 317 - - 322 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear 15 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -62 - - -26 - - -21 - - -17 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3627 - - -2354 - - -1110 - - -5266 - - -4104 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14933 - - 15263 - - 15781 - - 14628 - - 13467 sfcLCL ODpotential -11978 - - -8678 - - -5849 - - -7050 - - -8419 ODpotential blCL 23284 - - 21587 - - 20519 - - 16412 - - 17781 blCL maxRH 26 - - 35 - - 41 - - 61 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.7 - - 36.5 - - 41.4 - - 40.4 - - 33.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -2.6 - - 2.3 - - 4.8 - - 9.0 - - 7.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.2 - - 32.6 - - 37.5 - - 38.0 - - 34.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -3.4 - - 1.7 - - 4.1 - - 8.5 - - 7.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 250 - - 553 - - 541 - - 226 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2506 - - 4109 - - 5870 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98121 2 258 9 255 9 282 12 276 11 289 98121 90719 6 280 9 309 7 304 9 331 11 318 90719 85041 4 334 7 288 9 341 10 356 12 355 85041 80339 9 029 3 200 9 303 7 348 9 015 80339 76289 13 045 6 161 4 275 7 344 9 000 76289 72699 17 038 13 098 6 173 5 330 7 019 72699 69432 8 344 11 066 12 161 4 261 4 105 69432 66415 7 173 3 032 9 154 5 226 4 273 66415 63612 7 155 5 271 2 197 8 204 7 249 63612 60889 4 203 12 233 6 280 5 209 9 212 60889 58031 7 253 13 254 15 274 7 287 6 242 58031 55049 6 229 12 248 16 238 11 239 8 269 55049 52194 8 326 17 293 9 285 9 229 12 271 52194 49623 32 275 27 281 20 290 16 268 18 274 49623 47323 40 261 29 262 28 268 24 269 19 262 47323 45236 38 269 29 261 35 267 30 274 19 280 45236 43327 41 271 39 265 41 266 36 270 31 274 43327 41568 45 270 46 267 45 263 42 265 38 266 41568 39941 54 274 50 268 49 259 53 262 44 261 39941 38436 64 276 55 268 54 257 62 257 47 259 38436 37046 75 273 65 268 60 260 64 254 46 258 37046 35741 86 269 74 266 66 261 63 255 44 261 35741 34459 88 266 76 266 72 260 65 257 47 264 34459 33179 83 268 75 267 76 259 69 259 50 262 33179 31902 82 274 74 267 74 260 70 258 40 260 31902 30617 82 278 67 267 67 260 64 256 32 268 30617 29310 74 280 54 268 58 261 53 257 31 271 29310 27983 59 280 41 271 46 261 41 261 32 271 27983 26640 44 286 31 273 34 262 33 264 32 270 26640 25285 35 300 28 273 26 261 28 265 33 268 25285 23925 34 312 28 270 26 263 24 268 34 268 23925 22560 35 316 28 267 29 268 23 274 32 271 22560 21185 36 319 31 267 30 275 22 279 29 270 21185 19821 34 316 33 270 28 279 19 280 24 266 19821 18532 36 306 33 273 22 281 13 275 20 262 18532 17367 42 297 30 278 12 290 6 283 16 256 17367 16326 46 295 25 285 7 309 5 296 11 240 16326 15384 47 296 19 296 6*316 5 302 7 215 15384 14523 45 299 13 311 7*318 7 307 4 218 14523 13733 42 302 11 317 7 318 8 311 3 283 13733 13007 38 305 10*320 8 318 8 313 5 308 13007 12342 33 309 11*322 9 319 9 317 7 316 12342 11732 29*313 11 323 9 317 9 321 7 325 11732 11164 25*317 11 324 10 317 10 323 8 333 11164 10646 22 320 11 324 10 316 10 323 8 340 10646 10199 20 321 11 323 10 315 10 323 9 343 10199 9848 18 321 10 322 9 314 9 324 8 344 9848 9601 17 321 9 321 9 314 9 324 7 344 9601 9449 15 321 9 321 8 313 8*323 6*341 9449 9362 10 320 7 320 7 311 7*322 4*341 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography