DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/01 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.5 - - 49.7 - - 48.8 - - 39.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 281 - - 411 - - 195 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 5986 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8962 - - 13226 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 14786 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 8018 - - 6460 - - 10741 - - 2260 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 236 - - 589 - - 209 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 15 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 289 - - 304 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -36 - - -21 - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3238 - - 1241 - - -3679 - - -1194 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12600 - - 13545 - - 13042 - - 10557 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4735 - - -632 - - -5371 - - -4602 ODpotential blCL - - - 14097 - - 15418 - - 14733 - - 13964 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 83 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 180 - - 240 - - 240 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.5 - - 49.7 - - 48.8 - - 39.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.9 - - 22.8 - - 24.2 - - 26.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.7 - - 46.4 - - 46.4 - - 41.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.7 - - 22.5 - - 24.0 - - 26.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 281 - - 411 - - 195 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 5986 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 103 - - 34 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97557 8 263 14 277 6 308 4 338 97557 90218 4 234 5 251 3 322 6 339 90218 84560 3 076 2 258 7 345 7 356 84560 79853 10 051 3 118 4 344 7 001 79853 75804 8 052 8 096 4 165 6 015 75804 72232 8 075 7 136 4 165 8 024 72232 68997 0 184 5 161 3 177 5 034 68997 66011 3 292 2 204 5 272 3 333 66011 63227 3 289 3 274 4 278 5 290 63227 60526 7 279 7 291 5 306 7 274 60526 57711 11 285 11 293 10 296 12 276 57711 54792 17 297 17 298 16 293 17 287 54792 52014 22 299 25 299 22 299 21 301 52014 49513 29 294 30 293 27 294 25 302 49513 47261 29 287 33 287 31 290 28 300 47261 45212 28 286 32 283 33 287 29 296 45212 43341 26 289 30 281 33 284 30 293 43341 41630 28 293 30 282 31 284 30 293 41630 40059 33 291 30 285 26 283 24 285 40059 38603 37 285 29 287 17 304 14 285 38603 37254 45 279 30 286 21 341 21 349 37254 35989 54 276 34 288 23 345 27 351 35989 34746 56 264 40 283 18 349 21 002 34746 33490 55 262 40 275 16 003 22 014 33490 32224 50 270 39 275 16 012 22 019 32224 30936 41 274 35 283 16 016 18 016 30936 29621 34 274 34 280 15 014 13 011 29621 28285 32 275 32 273 11 357 11 006 28285 26934 32 274 30 271 12 315 12 346 26934 25572 31 275 29 275 18 291 12 326 25572 24202 30 280 26 284 23 286 12 325 24202 22823 30 289 25 289 26 280 12 323 22823 21432 27 295 18 296 21 286 10 306 21432 20052 22 299 15 297 15 303 8 285 20052 18742 19 294 13 297 14 312 8 282 18742 17556 19 288 13 296 13 311 9 293 17556 16491 18 287 13 295 13 309 10 303 16491 15527 16 288 14*294 13 307 12 311 15527 14645 15 290 14*293 14 307 14 316 14645 13834 14 290 15 292 14 307 15 319 13834 13090 14 290 16 291 15 306 16 320 13090 12408 14 290 16 290 15 306 16 320 12408 11783 14 290 16 289 16 306 17 320 11783 11202 14 289 16 288 16 306 17 319 11202 10672 14 288 16 286 16 306 17 320 10672 10216 14 286 16 285 16 306 16 321 10216 9858 13 285 15 284 15 305 14 323 9858 9606 12 284 15 283 14 304 12 327 9606 9451 11*283 13 282 13*304 10*328 9451 9362 9*281 10 280 10*304 5*329 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography