DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/01 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.4 - - 66.5 - - 69.5 - - 66.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 50 - - 21 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5051 - - 6690 - - 7885 - - 8208 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 36 - - 40 - - 32 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 145 - - 315 - - 303 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4553 - - -6668 - - -7204 - - -5525 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8647 - - 10763 - - 11300 - - 9621 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8617 - - -10475 - - -10513 - - -8020 ODpotential blCL - - - 12711 - - 14570 - - 14608 - - 12115 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 49 - - 49 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.4 - - 66.5 - - 69.5 - - 66.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.8 - - 33.6 - - 34.1 - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.0 - - 65.9 - - 69.3 - - 69.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.4 - - 32.4 - - 32.9 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 50 - - 21 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97615 8 173 10 255 12 277 10 339 97615 90259 3 350 4 248 4 009 5 014 90259 84575 6 340 4 191 5 355 9 033 84575 79843 5 102 5 140 5 166 4 029 79843 75789 6 081 6 138 6 122 6 172 75789 72217 5 001 7 090 6 195 2 131 72217 68978 4 271 5 353 1 138 2 214 68978 65987 1 219 5 251 5 303 1 329 65987 63216 7 327 3 018 4 229 2 287 63216 60538 1 342 9 320 5 030 1 064 60538 57746 8 094 3 291 5 330 8 003 57746 54856 13 026 5 055 4 350 6 339 54856 52098 13 006 10 036 10 043 10 055 52098 49610 13 020 13 030 15 035 18 054 49610 47379 17 051 15 057 13 060 15 063 47379 45354 25 056 26 065 22 075 17 088 45354 43507 26 049 27 052 26 061 22 074 43507 41824 26 051 25 050 27 048 21 066 41824 40281 28 053 23 055 22 040 16 067 40281 38850 30 051 24 062 19 039 15 067 38850 37511 31 050 27 065 20 047 16 064 37511 36223 33 049 28 063 21 056 17 064 36223 34923 36 048 29 060 21 066 16 065 34923 33583 39 047 30 059 23 070 17 067 33583 32208 39 046 32 056 25 069 20 073 32208 30786 39 046 34 050 27 067 24 077 30786 29309 38 047 34 048 27 065 27 077 29309 27778 37 050 33 050 26 064 28 075 27778 26193 34 054 31 054 25 064 27 074 26193 24558 30 058 29 058 23 064 25 077 24558 22874 28 061 28 060 23 065 24 079 22874 21136 27 063 26 063 22 069 23 081 21136 19336 27 063 25 069 21 082 21 086 19336 17509 26 068 25 079 19 098 16 098 17509 15752 21 079 21 089 13 108 10 108 15752 14153 15 091 14 102 5 117 3 103 14153 12728 11 097 8 117 3 118 2 081 12728 11454 9 098 7 120 3 098 4 079 11454 10309 9 099 7 118 4 089 5 069 10309 9279 9 100 8 115 4 085 5 064 9279 8355 8 102 7 114 4 082 5 059 8355 7528 8 103 7 113 4 075 4 052 7528 6789 8 104 6 111 3 067 4 042 6789 6119 7 104 5 111 2 056 4 027 6119 5520 5 104 3 108 2 021 3 008 5520 5015 3 103 1 094 2 334 4 348 5015 4624 2 102 1 004 3 319 4 330 4624 4354 1 099 1 325 3 309 4 317 4354 4189 0*120 2*319 3*305 4*308 4189 4094 0*145 2*315 3*301 4*302 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography