AVERAGE BASED ON 31 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: DEC 2002 PANOCHE 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 40.8 40.6 42.5 46.5 49.8 51.2 51.3 35.6 51.4 49.8 47.5 45.7 44.6 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 40.9 40.7 42.5 46.2 49.2 50.4 50.6 51.4 51.0 49.8 47.7 45.9 44.8 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating -14 -13 0 32 78 104 82 80 39 1 -9 -9 -10 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 28 19 64 385 892 1297 1449 1911 1632 935 54 49 51 BLDepth Hcrit 2143 2143 2143 2207 2396 2647 2587 2725 2505 2143 2143 2143 2143 Hcrit BLTop 2171 2162 2207 2528 3035 3440 3592 4054 3775 3078 2197 2192 2194 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 1150 1134 1257 1976 2403 2567 2709 2621 2783 2940 2993 2258 1917 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 4 19 72 142 186 177 196 137 49 1 3 3 W* B/S 0 0 2 2 4 5 9 6 5 2 0 0 0 B/S BLWind 5.8 5.2 5.3 4.8 5.3 6.2 6.9 6.4 5.6 4.0 3.6 4.0 4.9 BLWind Direction 197 194 194 202 203 197 208 215 219 224 207 202 201 Direction Max.Converg -6 -6 -4 -3 -2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -3 -4 Max.Converg maxRH 74 74 74 74 70 70 73 70 70 69 66 69 73 maxRH CLOUDpotent -5581 -5842 -5808 -5048 -4904 -4614 -3736 -3856 -4072 -4466 -5225 -4904 -4620 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 7754 8006 8017 7578 7941 8056 7330 7912 7849 7545 7423 7098 6816 sfcLCL ODpotential -5584 -5843 -5817 -5141 -5149 -4971 -4068 -4410 -4455 -4606 -5230 -4910 -4626 ODpotential blCL 7757 8007 8026 7672 8186 8413 7662 8466 8232 7685 7429 7104 6822 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 32542 55 288 52 287 53 286 55 289 52 286 51 286 55 286 52 289 52 287 53 287 52 287 53 287 54 286 32542 30386 51 287 47 286 49 285 51 287 47 285 47 285 51 285 48 286 47 286 48 286 46 287 48 286 49 285 30386 28719 49 286 46 284 46 283 48 285 44 282 44 283 48 284 46 283 46 284 46 284 45 285 46 286 45 285 28719 27124 46 283 44 283 44 282 46 285 42 282 42 282 45 283 43 283 43 282 44 282 43 283 44 284 43 285 27124 25211 42 282 41 282 41 281 43 285 40 282 39 281 41 282 40 283 40 282 41 283 40 283 41 284 42 285 25211 23414 39 282 39 281 39 280 40 284 37 281 36 280 39 282 38 282 38 282 37 283 37 285 38 285 39 285 23414 21556 36 282 36 279 36 278 37 284 35 279 34 279 35 282 35 283 35 281 34 282 35 285 35 287 36 286 21556 19864 32 282 33 279 33 277 33 282 32 278 31 278 32 282 32 283 32 281 31 283 32 285 33 286 33 286 19864 18192 29 280 30 278 30 276 30 279 29 275 28 274 29 279 29 280 29 280 28 281 29 283 30 284 29 285 18192 16559 27 277 28 274 28 273 28 277 26 273 26 273 26 277 26 278 26 279 25 278 26 280 26 279 25 279 16559 14977 24 276 25 272 27 272 24 274 22 270 23 270 23 274 23 276 22 276 22 275 23 276 23 277 23 275 14977 13478 23 275 23 275 24 272 22 271 21 267 20 267 21 271 20 271 20 272 20 272 21 272 21 274 21 274 13478 12295 20 272 21 274 22 273 20 270 19 267 19 266 19 269 19 269 18 266 19 266 19 267 20 269 19 270 12295 11021 17 267 18 271 19 270 17 267 17 266 17 265 17 267 17 267 16 261 17 263 18 264 18 267 17 269 11021 9766 15 264 16 266 17 267 15 263 15 262 15 261 16 262 15 265 15 259 15 260 16 262 17 265 15 265 9766 8572 14 262 15 266 15 267 14 259 14 258 14 257 14 257 14 262 14 257 14 259 15 261 15 264 13 263 8572 7495 12 259 13 262 14 262 13 257 12 255 12 250 13 251 13 257 13 251 13 253 14 258 14 261 12 261 7495 6958 12 253 12 259 12 258 12 254 11 251 12 246 12 246 12 254 12 249 12 250 13 255 13 259 11 258 6958 6517 11 248 11 254 12 253 12 251 11 246 11 243 12 242 12 249 12 245 12 247 13 252 12 256 10 255 6517 6082 11 244 11 250 11 247 11 247 11 241 11 239 12 238 11 244 11 242 12 244 12 248 12 253 10 252 6082 5653 11 241 10 245 11 242 11 243 11 237 11 235 12 234 11 239 11 238 12 241 12 245 11 249 9 249 5653 5229 11 237 10 241 10 236 10 238 11 231 11 230 12 230 11 235 11 234 11 238 11 240 11 244 9 244 5229 4811 11 233 10 237 10 230 10 233 11 227 11 225 12 226 11 231 11 229 11 234 11 236 10 239 9 239 4811 4399 11 228 9 231 10 225 10 228 11 222 11 218 12 221 10 224 10 224 11 230 11 231 10 234 8 234 4399 3992 11 224 9 226 9 219 9 222 10 218 10 211 11 216 10 217 10 219 10 226 10 227 9 228 8 227 3992 3590 10 219 9 220 9 213 9 215 10 213 10 203 11 210 9 211 9 214 10 221 9 221 8 221 8 222 3590 3193 10 213 8 213 9 206 9 207 9 205 10 197 10 206 9 209 9 210 9 215 9 213 8 214 7 215 3193 2800 9 204 8 204 8 199 8 199 9 198 9 194 9 201 8 206 8 207 7 210 8 206 7 207 7 208 2800 2542 8 198 7 196 8 192 8 193 8 195 8 192 8 201 7 206 7 207 7 207 7 201 6 201 7 202 2542 2349 8 192 7 190 7 190 7 191 7 194 7 193 7 202 6 208 6 208 6 208 6 201 5 195 6 197 2349 2221 8 191 7 189 7 189 6 192 6 195 6 194 6 202 5 208 5 207 5 210 4 201 5 195 6 195 2221 2159 6 197 5 193 5 191 5 195 4 197 4 195 4 203 4 210 4 210 3 211 3 204 4 199 5 199 2159 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 32542 19 17 19 21 22 22 20 19 22 23 22 21 19 32542 30386 27 25 27 29 30 29 28 27 27 28 28 29 28 30386 28719 30 30 31 34 34 35 34 33 33 33 31 31 30 28719 27124 36 36 37 36 38 39 38 40 39 39 37 35 33 27124 25211 41 41 42 39 42 43 40 41 42 42 40 39 37 25211 23414 41 42 44 42 43 43 44 43 43 42 40 39 40 23414 21556 41 43 45 43 40 42 45 43 44 44 42 40 41 21556 19864 43 45 47 44 42 42 44 44 45 44 42 41 41 19864 18192 47 49 50 46 45 45 43 46 47 46 44 42 42 18192 16559 50 52 52 48 47 47 44 47 48 46 45 45 43 16559 14977 49 53 53 50 48 48 47 47 48 48 47 45 44 14977 13478 49 52 54 50 48 50 50 50 51 51 49 46 46 13478 12295 51 53 54 51 49 49 53 51 52 53 50 49 48 12295 11021 53 53 54 50 49 48 51 50 51 52 52 50 50 11021 9766 52 52 53 48 49 47 48 48 49 51 52 51 51 9766 8572 52 52 52 49 50 48 48 48 49 51 52 51 52 8572 7495 52 51 50 51 51 50 50 50 51 53 53 52 53 7495 6958 54 53 52 54 53 52 53 52 53 54 55 54 55 6958 6517 55 53 53 55 54 53 54 54 55 56 56 55 57 6517 6082 55 53 53 57 55 54 56 55 56 57 57 57 58 6082 5653 56 55 55 58 56 55 59 57 57 58 58 58 59 5653 5229 57 57 56 59 57 57 61 59 59 60 59 59 60 5229 4811 58 58 57 61 59 59 65 61 61 62 62 62 62 4811 4399 60 59 59 63 61 60 67 62 63 64 63 63 64 4399 3992 61 61 60 65 62 62 68 64 64 65 64 64 65 3992 3590 63 62 61 66 63 63 69 65 65 66 65 64 67 3590 3193 64 63 62 67 65 65 69 64 65 66 65 65 68 3193 2800 66 65 64 69 66 63 67 62 63 64 65 66 68 2800 2542 68 67 67 70 65 63 66 61 61 63 65 66 69 2542 2349 70 70 69 71 65 62 65 59 60 63 65 67 70 2349 2221 74 74 73 72 65 61 64 59 59 62 66 69 73 2221 2159 85 84 79 72 64 60 62 57 59 63 68 73 78 2159 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography