AVERAGE BASED ON 30 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: NOV 2002 PANOCHE 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 44.4 44.6 49.1 55.0 59.0 61.5 63.6 64.0 63.3 61.2 57.5 54.4 52.2 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 44.7 44.9 49.0 54.4 58.1 60.4 62.5 63.0 62.6 61.0 57.8 54.7 52.5 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating -21 -15 7 59 115 151 154 135 77 18 -11 -9 -10 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 51 70 74 307 731 1163 1617 1737 1596 959 16 16 16 BLDepth Hcrit 2143 2143 2143 2157 2320 2536 2902 2924 2583 2143 2143 2143 2143 Hcrit BLTop 2194 2213 2217 2450 2874 3306 3760 3880 3738 3101 2159 2159 2159 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 365 360 636 1232 1808 2075 2754 2781 2781 2666 2392 1495 1122 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 8 27 93 163 212 240 229 183 87 0 0 0 W* B/S 1 0 2 3 5 7 9 6 4 2 0 0 0 B/S BLWind 4.2 3.6 2.8 1.7 1.7 1.5 2.2 0.7 0.6 1.1 0.3 0.4 1.4 BLWind Direction 191 187 188 174 185 184 195 280 331 357 357 184 185 Direction Max.Converg -4 -5 -3 -2 0 1 3 3 3 2 0 -1 -3 Max.Converg maxRH 52 55 54 52 49 47 43 45 45 45 45 49 52 maxRH CLOUDpotent -10731 -10308 -10353 -10036 -9639 -9344 -9481 -8966 -9156 -9438 -10018 -9923 -9733 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 12927 12524 12572 12488 12515 12652 13243 12848 12896 12541 12179 12084 11894 sfcLCL ODpotential -10739 -10351 -10396 -10215 -9991 -9799 -10042 -9465 -9541 -9688 -10018 -9923 -9733 ODpotential blCL 12935 12566 12616 12667 12867 13107 13804 13346 13281 12791 12179 12084 11894 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 30431 23 295 22 293 22 296 23 294 20 298 20 296 22 296 20 296 20 297 21 296 21 299 21 299 21 298 30431 27473 21 295 20 294 20 298 20 298 18 302 16 300 19 296 19 295 19 294 19 295 19 296 20 297 20 296 27473 25128 20 295 19 295 19 299 20 296 18 300 16 298 17 294 17 296 17 296 17 294 18 292 19 293 18 291 25128 22973 19 294 18 291 18 296 18 292 16 292 15 294 16 295 16 294 16 296 16 293 16 290 16 290 17 290 22973 20789 18 294 16 292 17 296 16 291 15 290 14 291 15 294 15 296 15 298 14 294 15 288 15 287 16 289 20789 18710 16 292 15 292 16 296 16 291 14 289 14 292 14 294 15 294 14 295 14 292 15 287 14 284 14 287 18710 16740 14 289 14 286 15 290 14 287 13 287 12 291 14 291 14 287 14 290 13 291 14 285 14 283 14 288 16740 15032 13 290 13 284 14 289 11 285 11 285 11 286 12 286 12 283 12 285 11 284 13 281 13 283 13 287 15032 13538 13 294 13 283 13 287 10 287 10 284 10 283 11 280 11 285 11 283 11 281 12 281 12 282 12 283 13538 12174 13 294 13 283 13 287 10 290 10 285 10 284 10 279 11 286 11 281 11 281 11 280 11 281 11 279 12174 11081 12 294 13 287 13 289 11 290 10 288 10 288 10 285 11 286 10 285 10 286 10 284 10 283 10 280 11081 10287 12 295 12 290 12 291 10 292 10 289 10 291 10 289 10 289 9 287 9 290 9 289 9 288 9 283 10287 9706 11 296 11 293 11 294 9 296 9 293 9 293 9 291 9 288 9 287 8 290 8 291 7 291 7 282 9706 9040 10 299 10 297 9 296 8 297 8 296 8 295 8 292 8 288 8 287 7 292 7 294 6 294 6 280 9040 8511 9 300 9 300 8 299 7 298 8 299 8 297 7 294 7 289 7 290 6 293 6 293 5 294 5 279 8511 8006 8 303 8 303 7 302 7 299 7 301 7 298 6 292 6 290 6 294 5 294 5 292 4 294 4 276 8006 7541 7 306 7 304 6 303 6 300 6 303 6 297 5 290 6 292 5 297 4 293 4 290 4 294 3 275 7541 7081 6 308 5 305 5 305 5 298 5 304 5 297 4 286 5 292 4 298 4 293 4 293 3 296 3 277 7081 6628 5 308 4 303 4 304 4 299 5 305 4 293 4 281 5 291 4 299 3 291 4 296 3 297 2 281 6628 6181 4 306 3 297 3 301 4 296 4 303 3 286 3 273 4 288 3 296 3 290 3 301 2 302 2 291 6181 5739 3 301 3 286 2 292 3 293 3 297 3 273 3 259 4 280 3 289 3 287 3 305 2 307 1 300 5739 5304 2 286 2 266 1 264 2 283 2 285 3 254 3 242 3 273 3 280 3 281 3 307 2 314 1 313 5304 4874 2 259 2 244 1 222 2 269 2 265 3 234 4 228 3 260 2 271 3 281 4 309 2 318 1 327 4874 4450 2 230 2 219 1 187 1 245 2 242 3 220 4 217 3 251 3 260 3 281 4 307 2 323 2 340 4450 4031 2 213 2 199 2 175 1 200 2 216 3 208 4 210 3 240 3 249 3 275 3 307 2 327 2 347 4031 3619 2 205 2 176 2 165 1 171 2 197 3 194 5 202 3 234 2 239 2 272 3 306 2 338 2 356 3619 3212 3 196 2 156 2 151 2 159 3 185 4 187 4 196 2 231 1 233 1 268 2 310 1 350 2 7 3212 2812 3 181 2 147 2 147 3 163 3 178 3 182 3 189 1 240 0 253 0 283 1 320 1 9 2 17 2812 2548 3 177 2 150 3 154 4 169 3 175 2 179 2 188 0 276 0 335 0 18 1 340 1 31 1 34 2548 2352 3 177 2 159 3 163 3 170 2 178 2 176 2 189 0 317 0 0 1 17 1 6 1 55 1 82 2352 2221 4 182 4 176 4 175 3 177 2 179 1 174 2 191 0 343 1 8 1 25 1 14 1 86 1 147 2221 2159 4 190 4 187 3 188 2 183 1 182 1 168 1 185 1 3 1 9 1 18 0 357 0 184 1 185 2159 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 30431 31 34 38 41 40 40 38 36 34 35 34 34 32 30431 27473 33 40 42 40 40 39 40 40 37 37 36 36 35 27473 25128 36 40 43 37 39 41 41 43 42 39 40 40 39 25128 22973 37 38 41 34 37 39 40 43 42 40 39 38 37 22973 20789 36 36 38 31 33 34 35 40 40 41 39 38 36 20789 18710 35 35 36 30 30 30 31 35 35 37 38 38 36 18710 16740 34 33 33 28 28 28 28 32 34 36 36 36 34 16740 15032 34 32 32 27 27 29 27 30 30 33 36 35 34 15032 13538 34 33 32 29 28 30 28 30 32 32 33 34 33 13538 12174 33 34 34 30 30 31 29 32 33 33 34 35 34 12174 11081 32 34 33 30 30 31 28 31 32 31 34 34 32 11081 10287 31 33 32 31 30 30 29 31 31 30 32 32 31 10287 9706 30 32 32 29 29 29 30 30 30 29 31 31 31 9706 9040 30 30 32 29 29 29 29 30 30 29 31 30 29 9040 8511 30 30 31 28 28 28 29 29 30 29 30 30 29 8511 8006 30 30 31 28 28 28 28 29 29 29 30 30 29 8006 7541 30 30 30 27 27 27 28 28 29 29 30 29 29 7541 7081 30 30 30 27 27 27 28 27 29 29 30 29 30 7081 6628 30 30 30 27 27 26 28 27 29 29 30 30 30 6628 6181 30 30 30 27 27 26 28 28 29 30 31 30 31 6181 5739 30 30 30 27 27 26 28 29 30 30 32 31 32 5739 5304 30 30 30 27 28 27 29 30 31 31 33 32 32 5304 4874 31 31 30 29 29 29 30 31 32 33 34 33 33 4874 4450 31 32 31 30 31 31 32 33 33 35 35 34 34 4450 4031 32 33 32 32 33 33 34 36 36 37 37 36 36 4031 3619 34 35 34 34 36 36 37 39 38 39 39 38 38 3619 3212 37 38 37 38 40 40 39 41 41 41 42 41 40 3212 2812 40 41 40 43 45 44 39 40 41 42 43 44 43 2812 2548 42 44 43 47 46 44 39 40 40 42 44 46 46 2548 2352 46 47 48 50 47 44 38 39 39 42 45 48 49 2352 2221 52 55 54 51 47 43 38 39 39 41 45 49 52 2221 2159 71 72 62 52 46 42 37 38 38 42 48 54 59 2159 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography