AVERAGE BASED ON 25 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: AUG 2002 PANOCHE 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 62.5 70.1 75.7 80.9 84.1 86.8 88.0 88.6 87.4 84.9 80.6 75.8 70.1 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 62.2 68.9 73.7 78.3 81.2 83.6 84.8 85.7 84.9 83.0 79.4 75.3 69.9 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating 34 143 279 404 498 552 559 510 440 337 204 77 17 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 115 477 1187 2170 3169 4224 4556 4474 3999 2874 1770 911 308 BLDepth Hcrit 2143 2143 2693 3518 4339 5200 5467 5375 4953 3999 3020 2143 2143 Hcrit BLTop 2258 2619 3330 4312 5312 6366 6699 6616 6142 5017 3913 3054 2450 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 330 943 1567 2163 2544 2404 2456 2602 2601 2848 2400 1576 776 Hgt.Variab. W* 59 165 280 389 472 536 553 531 486 390 272 160 64 W* B/S 2 11 19 18 25 24 26 16 16 9 7 2 1 B/S BLWind 4.6 3.5 3.2 2.0 3.4 3.7 4.9 6.8 8.7 13.0 14.7 14.4 11.7 BLWind Direction 246 292 319 288 301 289 295 300 301 295 295 293 281 Direction Max.Converg -4 0 2 9 15 26 27 25 20 9 6 0 -3 Max.Converg maxRH 48 39 33 31 31 33 31 30 29 28 27 29 34 maxRH CLOUDpotent -13027 -13050 -12981 -12299 -10935 -9617 -9885 -10017 -10713 -11444 -12871 -13638 -13801 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 15286 15671 16312 16613 16249 15986 16586 16636 16857 16463 16786 16694 16253 sfcLCL ODpotential -13118 -13130 -13153 -12629 -11636 -10525 -10747 -10649 -11234 -11863 -13080 -13737 -13824 ODpotential blCL 15378 15752 16485 16943 16950 16893 17448 17267 17378 16881 16996 16793 16276 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 20565 19 255 19 259 19 261 20 259 18 266 17 266 18 262 16 271 15 271 16 266 15 268 15 271 15 267 20565 18042 16 259 16 262 16 262 16 261 15 263 14 263 15 259 13 272 12 268 13 265 12 266 12 267 12 265 18042 16388 14 261 13 262 14 261 14 260 14 259 13 264 14 261 12 272 10 270 11 267 10 269 11 270 11 264 16388 15066 12 262 12 263 12 260 13 259 12 257 12 262 13 259 11 270 10 269 11 268 9 269 10 270 9 264 15066 14049 11 264 11 265 11 263 11 262 10 258 10 261 11 257 10 268 9 269 10 267 8 265 8 269 9 263 14049 13351 10 267 10 266 10 266 10 264 8 258 9 261 10 255 9 268 8 269 9 266 7 264 8 268 8 262 13351 12771 10 270 9 268 9 269 9 267 7 257 8 259 9 255 8 268 7 268 8 264 7 263 7 268 8 262 12771 12226 9 274 9 272 9 272 9 268 6 257 7 259 8 252 7 266 7 266 7 263 7 265 7 269 7 263 12226 11689 9 277 9 276 8 275 8 270 6 259 6 260 7 252 6 264 6 263 7 260 6 265 7 268 7 264 11689 11160 9 280 8 282 8 277 7 273 5 265 5 264 6 253 5 264 5 260 6 258 6 267 7 269 7 265 11160 10639 8 282 8 284 8 280 7 275 5 273 5 270 5 256 4 266 5 260 6 256 6 267 6 268 6 267 10639 10126 8 283 7 287 7 282 6 276 4 277 4 278 5 261 3 273 4 264 5 257 5 272 6 271 5 268 10126 9620 7 284 7 289 6 284 6 277 4 281 4 282 4 266 3 280 4 269 4 256 5 276 5 274 5 270 9620 9123 7 285 6 292 6 286 6 279 4 283 4 283 4 271 3 287 4 275 4 255 4 282 5 280 4 274 9123 8632 7 285 6 296 5 290 6 281 4 282 4 281 4 273 3 295 3 280 4 249 4 285 4 286 4 279 8632 8148 6 288 5 299 5 295 5 284 4 283 4 276 3 274 2 297 3 281 3 241 4 287 4 294 3 287 8148 7672 6 291 5 304 4 299 5 289 4 282 4 272 3 270 2 293 2 277 3 235 3 289 3 306 3 299 7672 7201 5 294 5 310 4 306 5 293 4 282 4 268 3 260 2 285 2 274 3 232 3 294 3 322 3 314 7201 6738 5 300 5 315 4 312 4 297 3 284 4 263 2 248 2 273 2 271 3 237 3 300 4 332 3 331 6738 6281 4 304 5 321 4 317 4 301 3 284 3 259 2 245 2 269 2 278 3 244 3 302 4 337 3 341 6281 5829 4 311 5 326 4 321 3 302 3 282 3 253 2 250 3 280 3 286 4 251 4 304 5 337 4 346 5829 5384 4 320 4 331 4 326 3 302 3 279 2 256 3 271 4 291 4 294 4 263 5 305 6 336 4 344 5384 4944 3 325 4 336 4 330 2 301 2 286 2 274 4 289 5 298 5 300 5 277 5 307 7 333 5 340 4944 4509 3 332 3 342 3 336 2 295 3 298 3 289 5 297 6 302 7 304 7 288 7 308 8 330 6 334 4509 4080 2 342 3 349 3 342 2 294 3 304 4 298 6 301 8 303 9 305 9 294 8 307 9 325 7 326 4080 3656 2 348 4 352 3 345 2 304 4 306 5 303 7 305 9 304 11 305 12 297 11 304 11 317 9 316 3656 3232 3 344 4 348 4 338 2 296 4 308 6 306 8 307 10 305 12 304 15 297 15 298 14 306 12 307 3232 2814 4 322 5 331 4 319 2 296 5 311 6 308 8 308 11 306 13 304 16 297 16 295 16 295 16 293 2814 2552 6 298 4 304 3 314 2 298 5 311 6 309 8 308 11 306 13 304 15 297 16 294 15 292 15 285 2552 2358 6 275 3 290 3 314 2 300 5 312 6 310 8 309 11 306 13 305 15 297 15 294 14 291 13 282 2358 2225 5 251 3 287 3 314 2 300 4 312 6 311 8 309 10 306 12 304 14 297 13 294 12 291 11 281 2225 2159 4 243 3 286 3 314 2 302 4 313 5 312 7 310 10 306 11 305 13 297 12 294 10 290 9 280 2159 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 20565 25 26 24 23 14 14 14 14 13 13 14 14 15 20565 18042 24 25 23 22 15 16 16 14 14 15 15 16 17 18042 16388 23 25 24 22 17 18 17 16 16 16 16 16 18 16388 15066 22 24 23 21 17 18 17 17 16 16 16 16 18 15066 14049 21 22 22 21 17 18 18 17 16 16 16 16 17 14049 13351 20 21 21 20 16 17 18 17 16 16 16 16 17 13351 12771 19 20 20 19 16 17 17 17 16 16 16 15 16 12771 12226 19 20 19 18 15 17 17 17 16 15 15 15 16 12226 11689 18 19 19 17 15 16 17 16 16 15 15 15 15 11689 11160 18 18 18 16 14 16 16 17 17 14 14 14 15 11160 10639 17 18 17 16 14 16 16 17 17 15 15 14 15 10639 10126 17 17 17 15 14 16 16 18 17 16 15 15 15 10126 9620 17 17 17 15 14 16 16 19 17 16 15 16 15 9620 9123 17 18 17 15 14 16 17 19 17 16 15 16 16 9123 8632 17 18 17 15 14 17 17 20 17 16 15 17 17 8632 8148 17 18 17 15 15 18 17 19 17 17 15 17 18 8148 7672 16 17 17 16 15 19 18 19 18 17 16 18 18 7672 7201 17 17 17 16 15 20 18 19 19 18 16 18 19 7201 6738 17 17 18 17 16 21 20 20 20 20 17 19 20 6738 6281 18 18 18 18 17 22 24 23 22 21 18 20 21 6281 5829 19 19 18 19 19 24 25 24 23 22 19 20 21 5829 5384 20 20 19 20 22 26 27 25 24 22 19 21 21 5384 4944 21 21 21 22 24 28 27 26 24 22 19 21 21 4944 4509 22 23 23 24 26 29 27 25 24 23 20 21 21 4509 4080 24 24 24 26 28 29 26 25 23 23 20 21 21 4080 3656 25 27 27 29 29 28 25 24 23 23 20 21 21 3656 3232 27 29 30 30 28 27 24 23 22 24 23 22 22 3232 2814 30 32 33 28 26 25 23 22 21 24 25 27 27 2814 2552 34 38 32 27 26 24 22 21 20 23 24 27 33 2552 2358 42 39 31 26 25 23 21 20 20 22 24 27 33 2358 2225 47 38 30 25 24 23 20 20 19 22 23 26 33 2225 2159 49 37 29 24 22 21 19 18 18 21 22 26 32 2159 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography