AVERAGE BASED ON 21 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: JUL 2002 PANOCHE 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 66.2 72.2 77.8 82.7 86.1 88.4 90.6 90.0 89.8 87.8 84.3 79.2 73.5 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 65.6 70.7 75.6 80.0 83.0 85.0 87.2 86.8 87.0 85.7 82.8 78.4 73.3 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating 71 196 335 458 546 597 598 564 479 383 259 125 33 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 221 770 1623 2516 3452 4136 4672 4318 4086 3578 2029 1173 469 BLDepth Hcrit 2143 2237 3066 3811 4584 5149 5580 5279 5052 4594 3293 2401 2143 Hcrit BLTop 2364 2913 3766 4659 5594 6278 6815 6461 6229 5721 4172 3316 2611 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 506 1143 1399 1776 2322 2325 2333 2355 2464 2558 2655 1708 821 Hgt.Variab. W* 100 216 332 425 501 549 571 544 500 435 316 200 95 W* B/S 3 9 19 22 18 18 18 17 12 11 6 4 1 B/S BLWind 5.3 2.0 1.6 3.1 3.3 4.3 4.6 6.4 8.6 9.9 12.1 12.2 11.6 BLWind Direction 235 252 238 238 249 250 255 287 291 287 285 280 278 Direction Max.Converg -3 1 7 13 23 28 36 25 28 27 14 4 -1 Max.Converg maxRH 41 36 33 31 35 37 31 34 31 29 27 29 33 maxRH CLOUDpotent -14093 -13587 -13213 -12479 -10263 -9526 -10061 -9812 -10338 -11057 -12875 -13666 -14033 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 16459 16502 16981 17140 15859 15806 16878 16275 16569 16780 17049 16983 16647 sfcLCL ODpotential -14124 -13725 -13383 -12861 -10709 -10061 -10510 -10115 -10631 -11388 -13014 -13738 -14061 ODpotential blCL 16490 16640 17151 17522 16306 16342 17327 16578 16862 17111 17188 17055 16674 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 19646 14 215 13 215 14 218 13 216 13 213 13 213 12 214 11 208 9 211 13 205 12 200 13 196 12 202 19646 17106 13 205 12 213 13 216 12 215 11 208 11 209 10 211 8 210 6 205 10 202 10 193 10 190 10 193 17106 15593 11 200 11 209 12 213 11 211 11 206 11 207 9 211 7 213 5 206 9 200 9 193 10 189 9 190 15593 14642 10 199 10 207 11 213 9 204 9 201 10 204 8 209 6 218 5 212 8 196 9 193 10 191 9 189 14642 13953 9 196 9 204 10 210 9 200 9 196 9 200 8 205 6 213 5 209 8 196 9 193 10 194 8 192 13953 13379 8 193 8 203 10 208 8 196 8 191 9 197 8 202 6 209 6 203 8 195 9 193 10 195 8 193 13379 12821 8 193 8 201 9 207 8 195 8 188 8 195 7 199 6 204 6 194 8 193 8 193 10 197 8 196 12821 12273 7 192 8 201 9 208 8 194 8 187 8 194 7 197 6 201 6 191 8 192 8 193 9 199 8 198 12273 11733 7 193 8 202 8 207 8 194 8 187 8 195 7 196 6 197 6 189 8 192 8 192 9 202 8 199 11733 11202 7 195 8 203 8 206 7 196 8 189 8 196 7 195 6 195 5 193 8 193 8 193 9 204 8 200 11202 10679 7 197 8 205 8 206 7 198 8 190 8 197 8 194 6 193 5 196 8 194 7 194 8 206 8 202 10679 10163 7 200 7 209 7 208 7 200 7 191 8 198 7 194 5 192 5 198 7 193 7 195 8 205 7 202 10163 9656 7 205 7 212 6 210 7 202 6 191 7 196 7 193 5 189 5 199 7 193 7 195 8 203 7 201 9656 9155 6 208 6 214 6 210 6 203 5 190 6 196 7 190 5 181 5 198 7 189 6 191 8 200 7 201 9155 8662 6 212 5 217 5 212 6 204 5 187 6 194 7 185 6 174 5 193 6 187 6 188 8 196 7 199 8662 8176 6 213 5 219 5 213 5 209 5 188 6 191 7 180 6 167 5 188 6 187 6 185 7 190 6 195 8176 7697 6 213 5 223 5 213 5 211 4 187 6 189 7 173 6 158 5 180 6 186 6 185 6 184 6 190 7697 7225 6 215 4 227 5 215 4 212 4 187 6 189 6 171 5 155 4 174 5 184 5 185 6 179 5 182 7225 6760 6 214 4 230 4 218 4 216 4 189 5 189 5 170 5 151 4 172 5 187 5 185 5 178 4 174 6760 6300 5 213 4 230 4 220 4 219 4 193 5 190 5 174 4 159 3 183 4 195 4 188 5 179 4 170 6300 5847 5 210 3 229 4 221 4 222 4 200 4 200 4 189 3 179 2 210 3 212 4 200 4 188 3 168 5847 5400 4 207 3 223 4 216 4 220 3 207 4 209 4 207 2 225 2 253 3 239 4 215 4 201 2 176 5400 4959 4 203 2 210 4 206 4 218 3 216 4 221 4 232 3 272 4 283 4 271 4 238 4 219 1 214 4959 4523 3 193 2 186 3 195 3 215 3 224 4 241 4 258 5 290 6 294 6 286 4 263 4 240 2 256 4523 4092 2 182 2 156 3 182 3 222 3 244 5 262 5 272 7 296 8 297 8 292 6 278 5 258 3 279 4092 3666 2 178 2 138 2 185 3 240 4 260 5 272 6 281 9 298 10 297 11 294 9 288 7 275 5 286 3666 3242 2 207 1 126 1 253 3 251 4 269 6 279 7 286 10 300 12 297 14 293 12 288 11 282 9 290 3242 2829 3 238 1 284 2 262 3 257 4 274 6 284 8 289 11 301 13 298 15 293 14 289 13 282 13 284 2829 2562 6 250 3 264 2 263 3 260 4 278 6 285 8 291 11 301 13 298 15 293 14 289 13 282 13 280 2562 2361 6 240 2 262 2 266 3 261 4 278 6 286 8 291 11 302 12 298 14 294 14 289 13 282 12 279 2361 2226 5 236 2 261 2 270 3 265 4 281 6 288 7 291 11 302 12 298 13 294 13 289 11 282 11 278 2226 2159 4 236 2 262 2 271 3 267 4 282 5 288 7 292 10 302 11 298 12 294 11 290 9 283 9 278 2159 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 19646 26 24 24 24 18 18 20 21 20 22 21 21 21 19646 17106 26 27 25 23 21 23 22 25 24 25 25 25 25 17106 15593 27 29 26 22 22 24 21 25 23 24 24 25 24 15593 14642 27 29 26 21 20 21 19 22 21 23 22 23 23 14642 13953 26 27 24 21 19 19 18 20 20 22 21 22 22 13953 13379 25 26 23 21 18 18 17 19 18 21 20 21 20 13379 12821 25 25 23 20 17 17 16 18 18 20 19 20 19 12821 12273 24 24 22 19 16 16 15 17 17 19 18 19 18 12273 11733 23 23 21 19 15 15 14 17 16 18 17 18 18 11733 11202 23 22 21 19 14 15 14 16 16 17 17 17 17 11202 10679 22 21 20 18 14 14 14 15 15 16 16 16 16 10679 10163 22 21 20 18 14 14 14 15 15 16 16 16 16 10163 9656 21 21 20 18 14 15 13 15 15 16 16 15 15 9656 9155 21 21 21 18 15 15 14 15 15 18 16 16 16 9155 8662 21 22 21 18 15 16 15 17 17 19 17 16 16 8662 8176 21 22 21 18 16 18 17 19 18 20 18 18 17 8176 7697 22 22 21 18 17 20 20 22 20 20 19 19 19 7697 7225 22 23 21 18 19 22 22 24 21 21 20 20 21 7225 6760 22 23 22 18 21 24 24 25 22 22 21 21 22 6760 6300 22 23 23 19 23 28 26 28 24 23 22 22 23 6300 5847 23 24 23 20 26 30 27 29 26 23 23 23 23 5847 5400 23 24 24 21 30 31 27 29 26 23 23 23 23 5400 4959 23 26 25 23 31 32 27 30 26 23 23 23 23 4959 4523 24 27 26 25 32 33 27 30 26 23 23 23 22 4523 4092 25 28 27 27 32 32 26 29 26 23 22 23 22 4092 3666 25 29 29 28 31 30 24 27 25 23 22 22 22 3666 3242 26 31 31 28 30 29 23 26 24 24 24 24 22 3242 2829 29 34 31 27 28 27 22 24 23 23 24 27 28 2829 2562 34 36 29 26 27 26 21 23 22 22 23 27 32 2562 2361 41 35 29 25 26 25 20 23 21 21 23 26 32 2361 2226 41 34 28 24 25 24 20 22 21 21 22 26 32 2226 2159 40 33 26 22 23 22 18 20 19 19 21 25 31 2159 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography