AVERAGE BASED ON 29 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: JUN 2002 PANOCHE 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 62.3 43.8 73.6 78.2 80.2 85.0 85.9 85.8 84.2 81.8 79.8 74.8 69.0 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 61.6 66.2 71.5 75.4 77.1 81.4 82.2 82.6 81.4 79.8 78.3 74.0 68.7 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating 89 210 350 471 561 603 609 581 503 410 281 141 37 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 264 726 1400 2441 2696 3470 4296 4093 3734 2748 2791 1779 538 BLDepth Hcrit 2143 2258 2913 3761 3999 4651 5361 5112 4785 3971 3886 2796 2143 Hcrit BLTop 2407 2869 3542 4583 4838 5613 6439 6236 5877 4891 4933 3922 2681 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 507 1086 1338 1959 2144 2338 2665 1961 2049 2625 1839 1136 902 Hgt.Variab. W* 115 210 320 425 466 519 559 536 495 408 353 233 99 W* B/S 3 6 11 18 12 66 49 16 16 5 4 2 1 B/S BLWind 6.1 6.2 6.0 5.8 7.1 8.1 8.6 10.7 9.8 16.9 17.0 16.2 15.6 BLWind Direction 293 326 329 325 321 320 318 316 313 304 311 307 290 Direction Max.Converg -2 0 3 8 9 12 21 20 14 4 7 2 -2 Max.Converg maxRH 46 42 39 35 35 32 32 31 25 29 27 29 35 maxRH CLOUDpotent -13956 -13448 -12641 -11851 -11423 -11223 -10280 -11221 -12120 -12263 -13140 -14156 -14071 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 16366 16319 16185 16436 16263 16838 16721 17459 17999 17155 18076 18080 16753 sfcLCL ODpotential -13989 -13530 -12800 -12178 -11820 -11820 -11091 -11664 -12424 -12585 -13296 -14257 -14130 ODpotential blCL 16398 16400 16345 16763 16661 17435 17532 17902 18303 17478 18231 18181 16813 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 20844 18 266 17 267 17 255 18 265 19 265 17 272 18 268 17 256 17 254 16 266 15 275 18 269 16 261 20844 18294 15 269 14 272 13 253 15 264 16 265 14 276 15 268 14 261 14 264 13 271 14 280 15 275 12 267 18294 16591 13 275 12 274 12 254 13 269 14 263 12 275 12 269 12 265 12 272 11 272 12 289 12 279 10 271 16591 15353 11 281 10 279 10 257 11 274 11 262 10 275 10 272 11 267 11 275 9 272 10 297 10 287 8 272 15353 14396 10 285 9 282 9 263 10 277 10 266 9 276 9 274 9 268 10 276 8 273 9 302 9 291 7 269 14396 13538 10 286 9 284 9 263 9 277 9 267 8 278 8 279 8 270 9 278 7 274 8 306 8 298 6 265 13538 12780 9 286 8 285 8 263 8 280 8 271 8 280 7 279 8 269 8 279 6 278 7 311 7 304 5 263 12780 12174 8 287 8 287 8 267 8 283 8 273 7 284 7 282 7 268 7 279 6 281 6 313 6 304 5 262 12174 11636 8 287 7 292 7 270 7 285 7 277 6 288 6 283 6 267 6 278 5 282 5 312 6 305 5 262 11636 11110 7 287 6 297 6 273 7 289 6 282 6 293 5 287 6 268 5 275 5 280 4 309 6 301 4 261 11110 10592 7 288 6 303 6 277 6 292 5 287 5 300 5 292 5 271 4 275 4 277 4 304 5 298 4 259 10592 10082 6 292 6 310 5 282 6 297 5 294 5 308 5 297 4 276 4 278 4 273 4 302 5 294 4 258 10082 9580 6 299 6 318 5 290 6 304 5 304 5 314 4 300 4 286 4 279 3 271 4 298 5 292 4 258 9580 9085 6 308 6 325 4 298 5 311 5 311 5 319 4 305 3 292 3 277 3 271 4 301 5 290 4 260 9085 8597 6 317 6 329 4 306 5 318 5 318 6 323 3 313 3 298 3 273 2 279 5 305 5 294 4 268 8597 8116 6 325 6 332 5 311 5 324 5 322 6 327 4 322 3 303 3 279 2 293 5 308 5 301 3 277 8116 7642 6 333 6 334 5 316 5 330 5 326 6 329 4 330 3 318 3 290 2 308 5 311 5 310 3 293 7642 7175 6 339 6 338 5 322 5 335 6 331 6 329 4 336 4 336 3 297 3 319 6 316 6 319 4 312 7175 6714 6 345 6 344 5 329 5 338 6 333 6 329 4 337 4 339 3 304 4 327 8 322 6 325 5 327 6714 6260 6 351 6 349 5 339 5 340 6 333 6 330 5 334 5 335 4 311 6 331 9 326 8 332 6 334 6260 5812 6 356 7 354 5 345 5 341 6 334 6 330 5 330 6 332 4 316 7 332 10 330 9 334 7 338 5812 5370 7 359 8 360 6 352 5 344 6 335 6 327 6 328 7 329 5 320 8 331 11 333 9 337 9 338 5370 4933 7 0 8 3 6 358 5 345 6 334 7 327 7 327 8 328 6 322 10 328 12 334 11 339 10 336 4933 4502 8 1 9 5 6 2 5 343 5 330 7 325 8 324 9 326 7 322 11 323 13 333 12 340 12 332 4502 4077 9 360 9 5 6 1 5 335 6 326 8 322 9 322 11 324 9 322 14 317 15 329 13 337 14 326 4077 3655 10 356 10 2 7 352 6 326 7 321 9 319 10 319 12 319 11 318 17 309 17 324 15 330 16 320 3655 3237 11 349 10 354 7 335 6 320 8 319 9 319 11 318 13 316 12 315 19 303 18 314 17 318 20 310 3237 2828 11 335 9 338 6 323 6 320 8 320 9 319 11 318 13 315 13 314 19 301 18 311 17 307 20 297 2828 2561 10 317 6 324 6 322 6 320 8 320 9 319 11 318 13 315 13 314 19 301 18 310 16 306 17 292 2561 2360 7 296 6 319 6 321 6 320 8 320 9 319 11 318 13 315 13 314 18 300 17 310 15 305 15 290 2360 2226 5 288 5 318 5 320 6 320 7 320 9 319 11 317 13 315 12 314 17 300 15 309 13 304 14 288 2226 2159 5 285 4 317 5 321 6 321 7 321 8 319 10 318 12 315 11 314 15 301 13 310 11 304 10 287 2159 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 20844 15 15 19 18 18 15 15 16 15 16 17 16 17 20844 18294 17 17 20 20 21 18 16 17 16 16 17 16 16 18294 16591 19 17 21 21 22 17 17 15 15 15 17 15 15 16591 15353 19 17 22 20 22 17 18 15 15 15 17 15 15 15353 14396 18 18 23 18 21 17 19 15 15 16 17 15 15 14396 13538 17 17 22 17 20 17 18 15 15 17 16 15 16 13538 12780 17 17 22 17 19 16 17 15 14 17 16 15 16 12780 12174 17 17 21 16 18 16 17 15 14 16 15 15 16 12174 11636 17 17 21 16 17 16 16 15 13 16 14 14 16 11636 11110 17 17 21 16 17 15 16 15 13 15 14 14 16 11110 10592 17 17 20 16 18 16 16 14 13 15 13 14 16 10592 10082 17 17 20 16 18 16 15 15 13 15 13 13 16 10082 9580 17 17 20 16 19 16 15 15 13 15 14 13 16 9580 9085 17 18 20 16 20 17 16 15 13 16 14 13 16 9085 8597 17 18 20 16 20 17 16 15 13 17 15 13 16 8597 8116 17 18 20 17 20 18 17 16 13 18 15 14 17 8116 7642 18 19 20 17 20 18 18 17 14 18 15 14 17 7642 7175 19 19 20 18 21 19 19 20 15 19 15 15 18 7175 6714 20 20 21 19 21 20 20 21 16 20 17 16 19 6714 6260 21 22 22 20 21 21 22 23 17 21 18 17 19 6260 5812 23 23 24 22 23 23 23 25 18 21 18 18 20 5812 5370 24 24 25 24 26 25 26 27 18 21 19 18 19 5370 4933 26 26 27 26 28 27 27 28 21 21 19 18 20 4933 4502 27 28 29 29 30 29 28 27 21 22 19 19 19 4502 4077 28 30 31 32 33 30 28 26 21 22 20 19 20 4077 3655 29 32 34 34 33 29 27 25 21 24 20 20 20 3655 3237 31 35 36 33 32 28 26 25 21 26 23 23 22 3237 2828 34 39 37 31 30 26 25 24 20 26 23 27 32 2828 2561 40 41 36 30 29 25 23 23 19 25 23 27 35 2561 2360 46 41 35 29 28 24 23 22 19 24 22 26 34 2360 2226 46 40 34 28 27 24 22 22 18 23 22 25 34 2226 2159 45 38 32 26 25 22 20 20 17 22 20 24 33 2159 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography