AVERAGE BASED ON 30 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: MAY 2002 PANOCHE 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 51.9 58.1 63.8 51.0 71.8 50.3 76.2 77.0 74.3 71.9 -37.9 62.8 58.0 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 51.5 56.9 61.9 65.8 68.9 71.2 73.0 73.8 71.8 69.6 65.4 62.4 58.0 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating 55 175 305 415 531 590 600 538 474 381 203 104 21 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 241 754 1507 2622 3923 4879 5057 5995 4858 2935 1830 1097 559 BLDepth Hcrit 2143 2231 2939 3792 4942 5633 5889 6632 5664 4031 3025 2395 2143 Hcrit BLTop 2384 2897 3650 4764 6066 7022 7199 8138 7001 5077 3973 3240 2702 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 774 1334 2092 2707 2724 2846 2971 2788 3380 3185 1575 1412 1112 Hgt.Variab. W* 90 199 307 403 514 562 585 594 528 404 274 189 79 W* B/S 2 6 9 12 14 17 20 110 11 4 3 144 38 B/S BLWind 7.0 6.1 5.0 6.0 4.6 5.3 6.9 5.7 10.1 16.9 16.6 16.2 15.7 BLWind Direction 273 292 309 298 306 303 295 293 295 293 288 284 281 Direction Max.Converg -3 -1 1 8 16 31 29 57 24 3 5 -4 -3 Max.Converg maxRH 63 54 47 45 46 47 44 47 47 40 49 49 51 maxRH CLOUDpotent -9976 -9721 -9746 -8654 -7374 -6590 -6875 -5891 -6139 -8550 -8470 -8881 -10004 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 12362 12619 13398 13420 13442 13614 14076 14030 13141 13566 12445 12123 12708 sfcLCL ODpotential -10097 -10001 -10109 -9420 -8351 -7692 -8176 -6873 -6951 -9249 -8646 -8990 -10085 ODpotential blCL 12483 12899 13761 14186 14419 14715 15378 15012 13954 14265 12621 12232 12789 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 27731 26 273 26 273 23 270 24 271 24 269 23 270 21 267 13 244 14 248 21 267 26 236 30 241 24 268 27731 24804 23 271 23 271 21 268 21 270 22 267 22 270 19 266 11 241 11 238 19 267 22 229 24 237 20 267 24804 22475 22 270 21 271 19 267 19 269 20 266 19 266 17 267 9 241 10 241 17 269 22 224 22 233 18 268 22475 20337 19 270 19 272 18 266 17 270 17 270 17 268 15 269 7 242 9 243 16 272 21 224 22 228 16 267 20337 18474 18 272 18 272 16 268 15 271 16 268 14 267 14 269 7 239 7 239 15 272 20 223 20 229 14 268 18474 16924 16 273 16 274 14 271 14 273 15 269 13 270 13 270 4 237 6 235 12 272 17 220 18 224 12 269 16924 15472 14 275 15 277 12 274 13 273 12 271 12 272 10 271 3 250 4 234 11 272 13 213 15 220 11 267 15472 14178 13 276 12 273 11 273 11 275 11 269 10 272 9 266 3 254 5 239 9 269 11 211 13 223 9 268 14178 13108 12 277 11 270 9 268 10 276 10 271 8 272 8 264 4 224 4 216 8 267 9 210 10 221 8 263 13108 12174 11 280 9 272 8 261 8 274 9 271 7 271 6 254 4 197 4 186 6 262 7 207 9 218 7 260 12174 11401 9 281 8 272 7 259 7 273 7 271 5 265 5 243 4 179 5 167 5 254 7 202 9 213 7 255 11401 10660 8 280 7 271 6 255 6 271 6 270 4 256 4 237 4 160 6 150 4 242 6 195 8 212 7 253 10660 9912 7 283 6 265 5 253 5 273 5 280 3 257 3 238 5 144 8 143 3 227 6 186 7 214 6 251 9912 9266 6 286 6 268 5 256 5 275 4 283 3 267 3 246 4 134 8 139 3 206 5 172 7 213 5 249 9266 8671 6 289 6 276 4 264 5 281 4 288 3 268 2 259 4 129 7 136 3 201 5 157 6 209 5 247 8671 8083 5 293 6 283 4 274 5 286 4 291 3 273 2 263 3 135 6 137 2 202 5 146 6 205 4 246 8083 7532 5 300 7 290 4 281 5 294 4 294 3 283 2 271 2 163 4 142 2 237 4 142 5 204 3 254 7532 7076 5 305 7 296 5 289 5 300 4 298 3 286 2 277 2 254 2 178 2 275 3 145 4 204 3 270 7076 6625 5 309 7 300 5 295 5 306 4 304 4 289 3 279 3 277 2 248 3 294 2 167 3 207 3 295 6625 6180 6 312 6 304 4 300 5 312 3 309 4 297 3 287 4 284 4 273 4 300 1 242 2 228 4 312 6180 5741 6 316 6 308 4 307 5 316 3 316 4 304 4 292 4 293 5 280 6 300 3 279 2 273 5 320 5741 5308 6 318 6 311 4 313 5 320 3 321 4 311 5 297 5 300 7 287 8 299 5 289 3 295 6 322 5308 4880 6 322 6 317 4 322 5 321 4 321 5 316 6 300 7 304 8 292 10 298 7 291 5 303 8 320 4880 4457 7 326 5 324 4 331 5 320 5 321 6 315 8 301 8 306 10 295 12 297 9 291 7 304 10 315 4457 4039 7 328 6 332 4 336 5 317 5 315 7 312 9 300 9 305 12 296 15 296 12 292 10 302 13 310 4039 3625 8 327 6 333 4 334 6 311 6 310 8 311 10 300 10 304 14 296 18 294 16 293 14 300 16 304 3625 3216 9 322 7 328 5 321 6 302 6 309 8 312 10 301 10 303 15 296 20 291 19 291 17 294 19 297 3216 2816 10 311 7 311 5 308 6 299 6 310 8 312 11 300 10 303 15 296 20 290 19 288 18 288 20 288 2816 2553 10 297 6 292 5 304 6 299 6 311 8 312 11 300 10 303 15 296 19 290 18 288 17 285 18 283 2553 2356 8 279 6 286 4 304 6 298 6 311 8 312 11 300 10 303 15 296 19 289 17 288 15 285 16 281 2356 2225 6 270 5 283 4 303 6 298 5 311 8 312 10 300 10 303 14 295 17 289 15 287 14 284 14 280 2225 2159 5 267 4 284 4 305 5 299 5 313 7 313 10 301 9 303 13 295 15 289 12 287 11 283 11 279 2159 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 27731 27 28 29 25 27 30 27 31 31 26 30 32 26 27731 24804 34 31 32 31 29 33 29 36 38 27 38 34 26 24804 22475 31 31 34 32 29 32 29 36 38 28 40 34 29 22475 20337 28 28 32 29 27 31 28 34 36 27 38 34 29 20337 18474 25 26 27 26 25 30 26 31 31 27 34 30 27 18474 16924 23 24 24 24 24 28 25 30 29 27 30 28 27 16924 15472 21 22 22 21 22 25 22 26 25 26 27 24 24 15472 14178 21 22 22 20 21 24 20 22 20 23 24 22 22 14178 13108 21 22 22 21 21 24 21 19 15 22 23 22 21 13108 12174 21 23 24 23 23 24 22 19 15 22 23 22 23 12174 11401 23 25 25 23 23 24 24 22 16 23 25 23 24 11401 10660 23 25 24 23 23 25 25 25 20 24 28 26 24 10660 9912 24 25 24 23 24 25 26 26 23 25 29 27 25 9912 9266 26 27 26 24 26 28 28 28 26 26 30 30 26 9266 8671 28 30 28 27 28 31 30 32 30 28 33 32 28 8671 8083 29 31 28 29 29 33 31 35 34 29 35 34 30 8083 7532 30 31 29 30 31 35 32 38 41 31 38 36 31 7532 7076 31 32 31 31 33 36 34 42 45 32 39 37 32 7076 6625 31 33 31 32 34 37 34 42 46 33 39 38 32 6625 6180 32 34 32 33 35 40 36 40 45 34 40 39 33 6180 5741 33 35 33 33 37 40 37 38 43 35 39 39 33 5741 5308 34 36 34 35 38 39 37 37 41 35 39 39 33 5308 4880 35 37 35 36 39 39 37 35 39 35 39 40 33 4880 4457 36 38 36 38 40 38 36 34 38 35 38 39 33 4457 4039 38 40 39 40 41 38 35 33 36 35 38 38 33 4039 3625 40 41 40 42 40 36 33 31 35 36 37 38 34 3625 3216 43 43 42 42 38 34 32 30 34 37 40 41 39 3216 2816 48 47 44 40 36 32 30 28 32 36 42 45 48 2816 2553 54 52 43 39 35 31 29 26 30 34 41 45 50 2553 2356 60 52 42 37 33 30 28 26 30 33 39 44 49 2356 2225 62 51 41 36 32 29 27 25 28 32 39 43 48 2225 2159 61 49 39 34 30 26 25 23 27 30 36 42 48 2159 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography