AVERAGE BASED ON 20 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: MAR 2002 PANOCHE 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 38.1 41.4 48.3 50.3 55.3 57.6 59.3 61.4 57.2 57.1 58.1 52.8 48.1 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 38.2 42.3 47.4 49.9 53.5 55.6 57.1 59.2 59.3 56.7 57.7 53.0 48.3 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating -7 45 138 220 315 345 382 392 337 145 66 -9 -10 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 16 251 909 1515 2345 2806 3471 3177 4244 3057 1201 281 192 BLDepth Hcrit 2295 2365 2693 3081 3790 4067 4615 4587 5270 3804 2663 2504 2371 Hcrit BLTop 2311 2600 3222 3812 4659 5143 5767 5644 6387 5362 3636 2785 2563 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 964 1153 1730 2263 2207 2581 2778 2625 3121 2740 2377 2176 2351 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 81 173 251 345 381 434 428 466 275 158 23 14 W* B/S 0 73 19 57 9 8 9 8 226 60 2 0 0 B/S BLWind 2.9 4.4 5.9 5.3 5.6 4.8 6.7 8.7 14.9 10.0 8.6 5.2 6.3 BLWind Direction 266 308 322 320 328 341 320 329 328 317 307 304 297 Direction Max.Converg Max.Converg maxRH 66 62 56 58 51 44 49 46 48 46 43 45 53 maxRH CLOUDpotent -8111 -8081 -8206 -7171 -7201 -7559 -6251 -7828 -5842 -7331 -9690 -10004 -8067 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 10424 10684 11430 10984 11862 12704 12020 13474 12230 12695 13328 12791 10632 sfcLCL ODpotential -8111 -8834 -8694 -7811 -8298 -8756 -7520 -8739 -7224 -8368 -9933 -10047 -8135 ODpotential blCL 10424 11437 11918 11625 12959 13901 13289 14385 13613 13732 13571 12834 10699 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 32120 46 293 47 298 43 290 47 290 42 288 44 282 46 286 40 307 41 307 44 284 34 278 40 282 43 289 32120 29275 44 294 43 299 40 290 44 293 39 291 41 284 44 288 38 307 39 307 42 288 28 281 36 282 40 292 29275 27206 41 294 41 299 39 291 41 293 36 290 36 285 40 290 35 308 38 311 40 291 27 284 33 281 38 294 27206 25358 39 293 38 297 37 289 39 292 34 292 35 286 38 292 33 310 38 316 37 295 25 286 31 281 35 296 25358 23507 37 295 35 297 35 292 37 294 32 295 33 289 36 295 32 314 37 320 35 298 24 288 28 284 34 298 23507 21655 35 297 33 299 33 293 37 296 32 297 31 293 35 298 32 314 37 322 34 300 21 287 24 286 33 300 21655 19725 34 298 31 299 31 294 34 298 29 299 29 297 33 300 29 314 37 322 32 303 20 288 24 290 31 302 19725 17866 33 299 30 300 28 297 33 299 27 301 25 297 31 302 27 316 36 325 31 307 19 290 22 289 29 304 17866 16271 32 302 28 304 27 301 31 301 27 303 24 301 30 305 27 319 35 329 28 310 17 293 20 291 27 306 16271 14896 30 304 27 307 26 306 30 303 26 307 23 307 27 307 25 325 31 331 25 311 15 292 18 294 24 309 14896 13658 28 305 25 310 24 310 26 305 22 310 20 312 25 309 22 326 28 334 23 312 12 295 15 302 20 313 13658 12553 26 307 22 314 21 311 23 306 20 312 18 312 23 307 21 326 25 336 20 311 10 296 12 307 18 316 12553 11698 23 310 20 318 18 314 20 308 17 313 16 314 21 308 19 328 23 337 18 314 8 305 10 315 16 319 11698 10850 20 315 17 325 15 321 17 312 15 317 14 319 18 311 17 335 21 338 16 317 7 317 8 324 13 320 10850 9991 17 315 14 330 12 323 14 315 13 320 12 322 16 313 15 340 19 339 14 322 4 331 6 325 11 321 9991 9203 15 315 13 328 11 318 12 314 11 321 10 328 14 315 13 341 16 340 12 324 2 339 4 330 8 321 9203 8393 13 315 12 330 10 319 11 317 10 322 9 330 11 314 11 343 14 344 9 323 1 307 3 321 6 321 8393 7461 11 319 10 337 8 324 9 321 7 329 6 336 8 314 9 343 12 351 6 324 1 133 2 318 5 314 7461 6616 9 324 9 341 7 325 7 329 6 333 5 335 6 313 8 343 12*342 6 322 1 172 2 312 4 321 6616 6092 7 328 8 344 6 328 6 333 5 336 4 336 6*309 7 335 12*337 6 314 1 218 3 318 5 318 6092 5661 7 331 8 349 6 332 6 335 5 336 3 337 6*307 8*326 13 332 7*310 2 276 4 318 5 318 5661 5236 6 333 7 354 6 337 5 337 4 332 3*336 6 305 8*321 14 330 8*310 3 298 5 316 7 321 5236 4817 6 334 7 359 6 341 5 336 4*333 3*331 7 305 9 319 15 329 9 312 5 302 6 316 8 320 4817 4405 7 334 8 359 6 343 5 333 4*329 4 325 7 310 9 324 15 327 9 314 6 302 7 315 9 322 4405 3998 8 334 8 358 6 345 5*328 5 321 4 321 7 313 9 327 15 327 10 314 7*304 7 315 11 320 3998 3595 8 334 9 354 7*344 5*320 4 320 4 331 7 317 10 328 15 325 10 314 8*303 7 315 11 319 3595 3197 9 333 9 348 6*337 4 309 4 323 4 339 7 320 10 331 16 326 11 314 8 296 7 313 11 318 3197 2804 9 327 8*338 5 324 3 302 4 325 5 343 7 321 9 332 15 325 10 314 9 295 6*308 11*313 2804 2544 8 318 6*327 4 317 4 306 5 329 5 344 7 323 9 332 15 325 10 315 8 298 6*306 10*308 2544 2351 6*308 4 315 4 313 4 311 5 329 5 345 7 324 9 331 14 325 10 316 8 297 5 306 9 306 2351 2223 4*283 3 296 4 314 4 312 5 330 5 345 6 325 8 333 13 325 9 315 7 298 5 306 7 303 2223 2159 3 266 3 298 3 315 3 316 4 330 5 346 6 325 8 332 12 325 8 316 5 301 4 305 5 298 2159 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 32120 22 17 21 26 26 30 21 14 16 22 27 25 20 32120 29275 25 20 26 30 31 34 30 21 18 28 32 36 29 29275 27206 28 25 30 32 35 37 33 31 19 32 43 45 31 27206 25358 33 30 34 33 36 37 33 32 21 31 40 46 33 25358 23507 35 32 35 32 36 37 31 27 18 31 37 42 31 23507 21655 34 33 38 30 36 36 34 26 18 30 30 35 31 21655 19725 35 32 40 31 37 37 36 33 21 29 30 28 28 19725 17866 33 29 36 32 37 34 36 36 21 29 36 32 27 17866 16271 34 30 36 31 37 34 34 37 21 27 34 31 28 16271 14896 35 29 32 30 33 34 31 34 20 27 33 31 28 14896 13658 32 26 29 30 30 32 30 34 19 26 31 31 28 13658 12553 30 25 28 30 30 27 30 33 20 26 28 29 27 12553 11698 28 25 27 30 29 27 29 34 22 25 27 27 27 11698 10850 27 23 25 30 29 27 27 33 25 26 27 26 26 10850 9991 27 22 22 28 25 24 27 33 28 25 28 26 25 9991 9203 27 22 22 27 23 23 27 31 30 22 27 25 23 9203 8393 27 23 23 29 24 23 27 27 29 21 27 26 23 8393 7461 30 24 24 32 25 24 28 27 29 22 24 24 24 7461 6616 33 26 26 34 27 27 32 29 * 36 26 24 25 26 6616 6092 35 28 29 37 33 31 * 38 30 * 39 29 24 25 29 6092 5661 38 30 31 40 35 32 * 40 * 34 41 * 34 25 27 31 5661 5236 40 32 34 42 38 * 33 41 * 39 45 * 39 27 29 34 5236 4817 42 35 36 44 * 39 * 35 43 41 45 41 30 32 38 4817 4405 44 37 39 46 * 41 38 45 43 45 43 34 35 42 4405 3998 45 39 41 * 48 44 40 45 43 44 42 * 37 37 44 3998 3595 47 42 * 44 * 50 45 41 43 41 42 41 * 38 39 46 3595 3197 50 46 * 46 51 44 40 41 39 40 39 40 41 47 3197 2804 53 * 50 49 52 43 38 39 37 38 38 39 * 42 * 48 2804 2544 56 * 54 50 51 42 37 38 36 36 36 38 * 43 * 50 2544 2351 * 61 56 51 50 42 36 37 35 35 35 37 42 50 2351 2223 * 66 61 51 50 41 35 36 34 34 35 37 42 51 2223 2159 77 63 51 48 39 34 34 32 33 34 36 45 54 2159 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography