AVERAGE BASED ON 30 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: NOV 2002 HOLLISTER 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 45.9 46.9 50.8 55.9 60.6 63.3 66.3 67.4 66.6 64.9 61.0 57.8 55.5 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 46.1 47.1 50.7 55.5 59.8 62.3 65.2 66.5 66.0 64.8 61.3 58.0 55.7 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating -18 -16 7 51 104 131 142 120 66 10 -16 -15 -17 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 82 52 113 376 745 1091 1553 1830 1653 862 81 35 40 BLDepth Hcrit 978 978 978 978 1103 1279 1596 1743 1381 1004 978 978 978 Hcrit BLTop 1060 1030 1091 1354 1723 2069 2531 2808 2631 1840 1059 1013 1018 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 449 438 666 1005 1423 1770 2666 2715 2798 3011 2442 1605 1106 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 9 30 92 157 195 227 224 173 58 4 2 3 W* B/S 0 0 1 4 5 7 8 6 4 1 0 0 0 B/S BLWind 5.2 5.4 5.4 5.0 4.1 3.8 2.0 1.2 0.8 0.9 1.0 2.5 3.3 BLWind Direction 121 113 111 109 115 117 156 98 67 29 139 118 122 Direction Max.Converg -3 -4 -3 -2 0 1 3 3 5 4 0 -1 -1 Max.Converg maxRH 64 66 61 58 53 50 46 46 46 46 47 52 57 maxRH CLOUDpotent -11122 -10968 -11133 -10281 -9876 -9382 -9471 -8777 -9104 -9686 -10020 -9873 -9620 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 12184 12000 12226 11637 11601 11453 12004 11587 11737 11529 11081 10888 10641 sfcLCL ODpotential -11134 -10967 -11161 -10427 -10082 -9793 -9928 -9313 -9592 -9834 -10031 -9883 -9626 ODpotential blCL 12196 11999 12254 11782 11807 11864 12461 12123 12226 11676 11092 10899 10646 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 30470 23 290 22 291 22 294 23 292 21 294 19 293 22 293 20 294 21 295 22 294 21 296 20 298 20 296 30470 27474 22 291 20 291 20 295 20 296 16 299 16 295 18 293 19 292 19 292 19 293 20 293 20 295 20 294 27474 25183 22 291 20 291 19 295 19 294 17 295 16 292 18 292 18 291 18 290 18 289 18 289 18 290 18 289 25183 23015 20 291 18 286 19 292 18 290 17 290 16 289 17 291 17 288 15 291 17 289 17 286 17 288 17 289 23015 20673 19 290 17 288 18 291 17 288 16 287 15 288 15 289 15 291 15 292 15 289 15 284 16 286 16 287 20673 18500 17 290 16 288 17 292 16 287 15 285 14 289 14 288 15 288 14 288 14 287 16 283 16 282 15 283 18500 16596 15 287 15 283 15 287 14 285 14 286 13 289 14 288 15 284 14 287 13 284 15 280 15 281 15 283 16596 14858 14 286 14 279 14 283 12 282 12 285 11 286 12 283 13 282 12 284 12 284 13 281 13 282 14 284 14858 13338 13 288 13 279 13 282 10 280 10 281 10 284 11 279 11 283 11 281 11 280 12 280 12 282 12 281 13338 11880 12 289 13 281 12 281 10 282 10 281 10 282 10 275 10 284 11 281 10 282 11 278 11 281 11 279 11880 10686 12 288 12 281 12 282 10 285 10 282 10 286 10 279 10 284 10 284 9 286 9 284 10 282 10 278 10686 9713 11 287 11 284 11 286 10 289 9 286 9 286 9 279 9 284 9 286 8 287 8 288 8 285 8 279 9713 8967 10 287 10 286 9 287 9 291 9 289 9 289 7 282 8 287 8 289 7 289 7 284 7 284 6 274 8967 8318 8 287 8 290 8 287 8 292 8 291 7 289 6 286 7 290 7 290 6 290 6 284 6 284 5 270 8318 7736 7 288 7 292 7 290 7 295 7 294 6 292 5 288 6 292 6 289 5 287 5 285 5 286 4 269 7736 7177 6 288 6 295 6 293 6 294 6 294 5 291 4 289 6 292 5 289 5 286 5 288 4 287 4 269 7177 6681 5 287 5 296 5 294 5 294 5 292 4 287 4 287 5 290 5 288 4 285 5 292 4 287 3 270 6681 6194 4 286 4 297 4 297 4 294 5 290 4 282 4 281 4 287 4 285 4 285 5 295 4 289 3 269 6194 5713 4 283 4 297 3 299 4 293 4 288 3 276 3 274 4 285 3 283 4 284 4 297 4 287 2 268 5713 5240 3 277 3 291 2 294 3 293 3 281 3 268 3 264 4 282 3 279 3 283 4 299 3 288 2 273 5240 4772 3 270 3 287 1 290 2 291 3 276 3 261 3 255 3 275 3 276 3 275 4 296 3 288 1 278 4772 4312 3 257 2 277 1 275 2 294 2 270 2 251 3 242 3 263 2 263 3 265 3 294 2 287 1 296 4312 3858 3 247 2 259 1 238 1 298 2 261 2 237 3 227 2 248 2 247 2 255 3 291 2 287 1 327 3858 3411 3 233 1 233 1 187 1 301 1 248 2 211 3 211 2 223 2 227 2 246 2 289 1 289 1 357 3411 2970 3 219 1 189 2 157 1 114 1 198 2 178 3 199 2 204 2 212 1 244 1 290 1 290 1 14 2970 2536 3 194 2 143 2 135 2 116 2 157 3 154 4 189 2 185 1 188 1 210 1 312 0 59 1 64 2536 2107 3 165 3 118 4 119 4 118 4 141 4 141 4 180 1 152 1 143 1 137 1 100 1 92 2 87 2107 1685 4 137 5 105 6 108 6 119 6 131 5 131 3 170 1 136 1 102 1 93 1 104 2 97 3 96 1685 1407 6 129 7 106 8 109 7 120 5 125 4 124 2 166 1 122 1 97 1 77 2 98 3 102 4 106 1407 1200 7 122 9 109 8 110 6 120 5 123 4 120 2 159 1 114 1 88 1 75 2 99 3 104 4 114 1200 1063 8 121 9 113 8 112 5 118 4 122 3 119 1 156 1 96 1 84 1 67 1 105 3 111 4 119 1063 994 5 121 5 113 5 111 4 116 3 119 3 113 1 157 1 90 1 65 1 64 1 114 3 115 3 121 994 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 30470 32 35 38 39 38 36 34 35 34 34 34 33 30 30470 27474 36 41 42 40 39 38 39 38 35 35 35 34 34 27474 25183 39 43 45 38 39 41 42 42 39 37 39 40 39 25183 23015 37 38 41 36 37 41 42 43 41 39 38 38 37 23015 20673 37 37 38 33 33 35 36 41 39 40 39 38 36 20673 18500 36 37 38 30 30 31 31 35 35 38 38 38 36 18500 16596 35 35 35 28 29 29 29 33 34 36 37 36 35 16596 14858 35 33 33 27 27 29 28 30 32 33 35 35 35 14858 13338 34 33 31 28 28 30 29 31 32 33 33 34 35 13338 11880 33 34 33 30 30 30 29 33 33 33 34 36 35 11880 10686 31 33 33 29 30 30 28 32 33 32 33 34 33 10686 9713 30 32 32 28 28 29 29 31 31 31 32 32 32 9713 8967 29 30 32 27 27 27 29 29 30 30 32 32 31 8967 8318 30 30 31 27 27 27 28 28 29 29 31 31 29 8318 7736 30 30 31 27 27 26 28 27 28 29 30 30 29 7736 7177 31 30 30 27 27 26 29 27 28 29 30 30 29 7177 6681 30 30 30 27 27 26 28 27 28 29 31 30 30 6681 6194 30 30 29 27 27 26 28 27 29 30 31 30 31 6194 5713 30 30 29 27 27 26 28 28 29 31 32 31 31 5713 5240 30 31 30 27 27 27 29 29 30 32 33 31 32 5240 4772 31 31 30 28 28 28 29 30 31 33 34 32 32 4772 4312 32 32 31 29 30 29 30 32 33 34 35 34 34 4312 3858 33 33 32 31 31 30 31 35 35 36 37 35 35 3858 3411 35 35 34 33 33 33 34 38 38 38 38 37 37 3411 2970 37 37 36 36 36 35 37 40 40 40 40 39 39 2970 2536 40 39 38 40 40 40 40 42 42 42 42 41 41 2536 2107 42 42 41 44 44 44 43 42 42 44 44 44 44 2107 1685 45 46 45 50 49 47 42 41 41 43 46 47 47 1685 1407 50 51 50 54 51 48 42 40 40 42 45 49 51 1407 1200 56 58 57 56 51 47 41 40 40 42 45 50 54 1200 1063 64 66 61 56 50 46 40 40 40 42 46 51 57 1063 994 74 73 63 56 49 45 40 39 39 42 49 55 61 994 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography