AVERAGE BASED ON 29 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: SEP 2002 HOLLISTER 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 54.4 61.7 68.7 75.8 79.7 82.2 84.1 83.2 80.8 78.0 74.1 69.0 64.9 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 54.4 61.3 67.6 73.8 77.5 79.7 81.6 80.8 78.9 76.5 73.3 68.8 64.9 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating 1 37 137 284 363 428 459 431 362 269 133 17 0 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 23 215 620 1426 2248 3146 3380 2871 2103 1640 1190 565 193 BLDepth Hcrit 978 978 1042 1704 2360 3079 3315 2907 2269 1838 1186 978 978 Hcrit BLTop 1001 1193 1598 2404 3226 4124 4358 3849 3081 2618 2168 1543 1171 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 314 608 1002 1711 2851 2981 3098 2990 2633 1837 1510 1420 1158 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 72 172 293 369 435 451 419 354 294 211 73 24 W* B/S 1 4 9 19 17 18 29 10 6 5 3 1 1 B/S BLWind 3.7 3.4 2.0 1.8 2.8 4.5 7.0 9.7 12.4 13.3 11.9 9.5 6.1 BLWind Direction 132 136 153 254 275 274 272 270 271 271 272 266 252 Direction Max.Converg -2 -1 0 3 5 8 13 13 11 11 9 7 4 Max.Converg maxRH 60 57 51 41 41 41 36 36 37 39 42 46 53 maxRH CLOUDpotent -13302 -12275 -12277 -12065 -10559 -9918 -10259 -10679 -11477 -11605 -11894 -12105 -12049 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 14305 13470 13877 14471 13787 14044 14619 14530 14560 14225 14063 13650 13222 sfcLCL ODpotential -13303 -12610 -12296 -12428 -11277 -10761 -11104 -11495 -11999 -11965 -12156 -12158 -12061 ODpotential blCL 14306 13805 13896 14834 14505 14886 15464 15346 15081 14585 14326 13702 13233 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 22848 15 281 14 282 13 282 13 274 11 284 11 268 11 263 9 270 9 257 11 253 10 253 12 263 11 269 22848 19942 13 274 13 273 12 272 12 268 10 273 11 261 11 257 9 266 10 258 11 254 10 251 11 259 10 270 19942 18042 12 269 12 263 11 258 12 259 8 258 10 250 11 247 9 257 9 254 10 254 10 252 11 258 10 265 18042 16385 11 261 11 257 10 250 11 251 8 246 10 239 11 241 9 251 9 252 10 254 10 249 10 255 10 256 16385 14977 10 251 10 242 10 239 11 243 8 243 11 235 10 237 8 245 9 248 9 250 9 247 9 251 9 255 14977 13889 9 245 9 235 10 234 10 238 8 237 11 234 10 236 7 244 8 244 8 245 8 243 8 250 7 253 13889 12998 8 243 9 232 9 232 9 236 9 234 10 230 10 233 7 240 8 240 8 241 8 242 7 250 6 251 12998 12187 7 240 8 227 8 229 8 236 9 230 10 228 10 229 7 236 8 237 8 239 8 240 7 252 6 249 12187 11412 7 238 7 224 7 227 7 235 9 224 9 225 9 228 7 237 7 236 7 235 7 238 6 251 5 247 11412 10650 7 237 6 221 6 224 6 235 8 219 9 222 9 226 6 237 7 231 7 230 6 233 6 245 4 241 10650 9942 7 235 6 218 6 221 6 236 7 217 8 220 8 222 6 233 6 227 6 226 6 229 5 241 4 234 9942 9353 6 232 6 214 6 218 6 234 6 213 7 219 7 219 4 231 5 223 5 221 5 223 5 232 4 225 9353 8817 6 231 5 211 5 216 5 229 6 210 6 217 6 218 4 226 4 217 5 213 5 216 5 225 4 217 8817 8291 6 229 5 207 5 215 5 222 6 208 6 217 5 216 3 223 3 210 4 207 4 209 5 217 4 211 8291 7774 5 225 4 204 5 215 5 219 5 207 5 218 5 217 2 222 3 204 4 203 3 207 4 214 3 205 7774 7264 5 224 4 203 4 214 4 216 5 211 5 221 4 218 2 224 2 201 3 205 2 203 3 214 3 199 7264 6762 4 227 3 203 4 215 4 214 4 216 4 224 3 218 1 224 1 193 2 207 2 203 2 214 2 186 6762 6267 4 232 2 207 3 217 3 213 3 221 3 228 2 220 0 245 1 176 1 221 1 219 1 213 1 168 6267 5779 3 237 2 219 2 222 2 215 2 232 2 238 1 230 0 10 0 52 0 312 1 340 0 319 1 97 5779 5298 2 244 1 242 2 234 2 227 1 255 2 254 1 264 1 15 1 9 1 346 2 349 1 346 1 31 5298 4824 2 255 1 282 2 264 1 251 1 290 1 286 1 300 2 1 1 349 2 333 3 335 2 338 2 359 4824 4356 2 269 2 306 2 304 1 282 2 327 2 320 2 311 2 339 2 323 3 321 4 319 3 323 3 336 4356 3894 2 299 3 325 3 328 2 312 2 337 2 331 2 305 3 311 3 308 4 310 5 308 5 313 4 321 3894 3439 2 313 4 337 4 339 2 330 3 340 2 323 3 292 4 292 5 296 6 302 8 303 7 307 7 313 3439 2990 3 317 4 340 4 345 3 336 3 332 3 298 5 283 6 283 7 288 9 295 10 298 10 303 9 308 2990 2547 4 317 4 342 4 348 3 338 2 301 4 280 7 277 9 277 10 282 12 288 12 294 12 299 11 306 2547 2113 4 315 3 349 3 355 2 321 3 270 6 274 9 273 11 272 13 275 14 280 14 286 13 294 12 304 2113 1688 3 307 2 6 2 17 2 260 3 267 6 271 10 271 13 269 14 270 15 272 13 275 12 282 11 294 1688 1409 2 275 2 79 2 147 2 248 4 266 6 271 10 270 13 268 14 268 14 269 13 270 11 269 9 273 1409 1201 2 178 4 127 2 158 2 248 4 267 6 270 10 270 12 268 14 267 14 267 12 267 10 265 8 261 1201 1063 6 149 5 135 2 160 2 251 4 267 6 270 9 269 12 267 13 267 13 266 11 265 9 262 7 255 1063 994 4 132 3 132 2 160 2 253 3 268 6 270 9 269 11 267 12 267 12 266 9 265 7 260 5 251 994 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 22848 21 21 20 19 17 18 18 18 16 17 15 16 15 22848 19942 22 22 21 20 18 19 20 18 18 19 17 18 16 19942 18042 20 23 23 22 19 21 22 19 19 20 19 19 18 18042 16385 21 26 26 23 20 22 24 21 22 23 22 21 21 16385 14977 24 27 27 24 21 23 24 20 22 22 21 21 21 14977 13889 25 27 27 24 20 23 22 20 21 21 21 20 21 13889 12998 25 26 25 24 17 21 21 19 20 20 20 20 20 12998 12187 24 25 24 22 16 20 20 19 19 20 20 19 20 12187 11412 23 24 23 22 17 19 19 17 19 20 19 19 20 11412 10650 23 24 23 22 17 19 19 17 19 20 19 19 20 10650 9942 22 24 23 23 18 20 20 18 19 19 19 19 20 9942 9353 22 24 23 23 19 21 21 18 19 20 19 19 20 9353 8817 22 24 23 23 19 21 21 19 20 21 20 20 21 8817 8291 21 24 23 23 20 21 21 19 20 21 20 20 21 8291 7774 21 24 23 22 20 22 21 19 21 21 21 21 21 7774 7264 21 24 23 22 20 22 21 20 21 22 21 22 22 7264 6762 21 24 23 22 21 23 22 20 21 22 23 23 23 6762 6267 21 24 24 22 21 23 23 21 23 24 23 24 24 6267 5779 22 24 24 22 22 24 24 23 25 25 24 25 25 5779 5298 23 25 24 22 22 25 25 25 26 26 25 26 26 5298 4824 24 25 25 23 23 26 27 27 27 26 26 27 27 4824 4356 25 25 25 24 24 28 28 28 28 27 26 27 27 4356 3894 26 26 26 25 26 30 29 28 28 27 26 28 28 3894 3439 28 28 28 26 29 32 30 29 28 27 27 29 28 3439 2990 30 30 30 28 32 35 31 30 29 28 28 30 30 2990 2547 33 34 33 32 35 36 31 30 30 29 30 33 33 2547 2113 38 38 38 35 38 37 32 32 32 32 34 37 39 2113 1688 44 45 45 39 38 35 31 32 34 36 40 43 47 1688 1409 51 52 49 38 37 33 30 31 32 35 39 46 53 1409 1201 55 56 48 37 35 32 29 30 32 34 38 44 53 1201 1063 60 56 47 36 35 32 28 29 31 33 37 44 52 1063 994 67 55 46 35 33 30 26 27 29 31 36 43 51 994 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography