AVERAGE BASED ON 29 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: JUN 2002 HOLLISTER 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 55.8 37.5 66.6 72.5 74.6 79.0 79.4 80.1 78.5 76.3 76.1 70.2 64.7 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 55.2 59.7 64.7 70.0 71.7 75.6 76.2 77.4 75.9 74.3 74.7 69.4 64.5 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating 71 178 317 467 563 613 645 600 531 411 272 147 38 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 432 696 1008 1623 1792 1870 2096 2484 2342 1809 2021 1422 723 BLDepth Hcrit 978 1071 1409 1974 2135 2218 2416 2694 2556 2086 2131 1347 978 Hcrit BLTop 1410 1674 1986 2601 2770 2848 3074 3462 3320 2787 2999 2400 1701 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 466 646 716 1053 1045 1435 1613 1536 1288 1251 1750 1040 898 Hgt.Variab. W* 121 195 273 363 402 419 434 440 414 356 317 226 117 W* B/S 5 17 8 8 8 61 40 10 10 4 3 3 2 B/S BLWind 3.8 3.3 6.2 7.4 9.8 12.3 13.6 14.1 13.2 16.5 15.6 12.9 11.9 BLWind Direction 218 244 256 271 271 270 274 285 277 280 294 285 269 Direction Max.Converg 3 5 6 10 11 14 15 19 20 17 22 16 10 Max.Converg maxRH 72 66 60 49 48 42 40 37 33 40 36 43 54 maxRH CLOUDpotent -13665 -13324 -12743 -12483 -12286 -12664 -12293 -12815 -13397 -12913 -13679 -14131 -13422 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 15078 15000 14730 15086 15058 15515 15369 16279 16719 15702 16680 16533 15124 sfcLCL ODpotential -13685 -13382 -12777 -12615 -12526 -12868 -12536 -13134 -13699 -13154 -13857 -14202 -13498 ODpotential blCL 15097 15058 14765 15218 15298 15718 15611 16598 17021 15942 16858 16604 15201 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 20992 18 267 17 268 17 254 18 267 20 263 17 270 18 268 17 260 17 253 16 264 16 274 19 269 16 262 20992 18439 15 272 14 275 14 253 15 268 17 263 15 275 15 269 14 264 14 264 14 269 14 282 15 275 13 268 18439 16656 13 278 12 278 12 254 13 272 14 260 13 274 13 272 13 270 12 274 11 273 12 291 13 279 10 274 16656 15252 12 285 11 286 10 258 11 277 12 261 11 275 11 274 12 271 11 278 10 274 11 295 11 285 9 277 15252 14168 11 291 10 290 9 264 10 282 11 265 10 277 9 275 10 269 10 276 9 275 10 301 10 290 7 276 14168 13231 11 291 9 292 9 268 9 285 9 269 9 281 8 282 9 273 9 278 8 278 9 307 9 296 6 274 13231 12378 10 290 9 293 8 270 8 286 9 274 8 285 8 282 8 277 8 285 7 284 8 313 8 303 5 276 12378 11666 9 290 8 296 8 275 8 288 9 277 8 290 7 286 7 282 7 292 6 288 8 316 8 307 5 280 11666 11021 8 291 8 299 7 280 8 290 8 283 7 295 7 290 7 289 6 301 6 291 7 317 7 309 4 282 11021 10456 8 293 7 304 7 286 7 294 7 291 7 302 6 294 7 297 6 308 5 293 6 315 7 309 4 285 10456 9902 7 297 7 309 6 293 7 300 6 300 6 310 6 300 6 305 5 312 5 293 6 314 7 307 4 286 9902 9357 7 302 7 314 6 300 7 306 6 309 6 317 5 307 6 315 5 315 5 292 5 313 6 304 4 287 9357 8821 7 311 7 318 6 306 6 313 6 316 6 324 5 315 6 322 5 319 4 295 5 314 6 305 4 292 8821 8294 7 320 8 324 6 312 6 322 6 321 7 328 5 323 5 331 5 323 4 299 6 316 6 308 5 297 8294 7774 7 328 8 331 6 320 6 330 6 326 7 332 5 329 5 338 4 327 4 305 7 323 6 316 5 303 7774 7262 7 334 8 337 6 327 6 336 6 331 7 335 5 333 5 341 4 330 5 311 7 327 7 323 6 309 7262 6758 7 341 8 345 6 335 6 341 7 335 7 339 5 339 5 340 4 330 5 315 8 329 8 327 7 313 6758 6262 8 346 8 350 7 340 6 346 7 338 7 341 6 342 5 340 4 337 6 319 9 331 8 330 8 315 6262 5773 8 350 8 354 7 345 6 349 8 341 7 342 6 344 6 342 5 343 7 322 10 333 9 331 9 317 5773 5291 9 353 9 356 8 348 7 351 8 342 8 343 7 346 6 343 6 349 8 321 11 335 10 333 10 317 5291 4817 9 353 10 358 8 351 7 352 9 344 9 346 8 346 7 341 6 348 9 320 12 336 11 331 12 315 4817 4349 10 352 10 358 8 352 8 353 9 346 9 348 8 345 8 339 7 344 11 317 13 332 12 329 14 313 4349 3887 10 350 11 358 9 353 8 351 9 347 9 349 8 340 9 333 7 337 12 313 14 327 13 324 15 311 3887 3433 11 347 11 356 9 351 8 346 9 346 8 345 9 331 10 323 8 323 14 308 15 321 14 318 18 309 3433 2985 11 341 11 352 9 345 8 338 8 337 8 328 9 315 12 312 10 309 16 304 17 316 16 315 19 309 2985 2545 11 335 11 346 9 333 8 321 8 301 9 290 11 293 14 299 13 295 18 298 18 310 17 311 20 309 2545 2115 10 325 9 333 7 305 7 278 10 270 13 270 14 277 16 285 15 279 18 286 17 299 16 302 17 302 2115 1692 7 308 5 303 7 255 8 266 11 265 14 265 15 271 16 278 15 272 18 278 17 289 14 285 13 279 1692 1411 3 258 3 239 7 251 8 264 11 263 14 264 15 269 16 276 15 269 17 275 16 285 13 278 12 270 1411 1202 4 214 3 232 6 249 8 263 11 262 14 262 15 268 15 275 14 267 16 273 15 282 12 275 11 265 1202 1064 4 209 4 231 6 249 8 262 10 261 13 262 14 267 14 274 14 266 15 271 14 280 11 272 10 261 1064 994 3 209 3 232 6 249 7 262 10 261 13 262 13 267 13 273 12 266 13 271 13 280 10 270 8 258 994 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 20992 15 14 18 17 19 17 16 17 13 16 17 16 16 20992 18439 18 16 20 19 21 19 17 19 15 17 18 16 16 18439 16656 19 18 22 21 23 19 18 19 16 16 17 16 16 16656 15252 19 18 23 21 23 19 18 18 16 15 17 15 16 15252 14168 19 19 25 20 22 18 19 18 16 16 16 15 15 14168 13231 18 18 24 19 21 18 19 17 15 17 16 16 16 13231 12378 17 17 24 18 20 17 18 17 15 17 16 16 16 12378 11666 17 18 22 17 18 16 17 16 14 16 15 16 16 11666 11021 18 18 21 17 18 16 16 15 13 16 15 15 16 11021 10456 17 18 21 17 18 16 16 15 13 16 14 15 16 10456 9902 17 18 20 17 18 16 16 16 13 15 14 14 16 9902 9357 17 18 20 16 18 16 16 16 13 15 14 14 16 9357 8821 17 19 19 16 19 16 16 16 13 15 14 14 16 8821 8294 17 19 19 17 19 17 16 17 13 16 14 14 16 8294 7774 18 19 20 17 19 17 17 17 13 16 14 14 17 7774 7262 19 20 20 18 19 17 17 18 13 17 15 15 17 7262 6758 20 21 21 19 19 18 18 19 14 18 16 16 17 6758 6262 21 22 22 20 19 19 18 20 15 18 17 17 18 6262 5773 22 24 23 22 20 20 19 21 16 19 18 18 18 5773 5291 23 25 24 23 21 21 21 22 17 20 19 18 19 5291 4817 24 26 26 25 23 23 22 23 18 20 19 19 19 4817 4349 24 27 27 26 25 24 23 24 19 21 20 19 20 4349 3887 26 28 29 29 27 26 25 24 20 22 21 20 21 3887 3433 27 30 31 31 30 28 27 26 21 23 22 22 23 3433 2985 30 33 35 34 35 31 29 28 23 26 24 24 27 2985 2545 36 39 42 40 43 38 35 31 26 32 28 29 33 2545 2115 46 48 52 48 47 41 39 35 32 39 35 38 44 2115 1692 60 62 59 46 44 39 37 34 31 38 35 42 53 1692 1411 69 64 56 45 42 37 36 33 30 37 33 40 52 1411 1202 70 63 55 43 41 36 34 31 29 36 32 39 51 1202 1064 69 61 53 42 40 35 34 31 28 35 32 39 50 1064 994 67 59 50 39 37 32 31 28 26 33 30 37 49 994 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography