AVERAGE BASED ON 30 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: MAY 2002 HOLLISTER 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 49.1 53.7 60.5 47.6 69.1 46.1 70.7 70.6 67.1 67.5 -43.0 58.7 56.2 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 48.7 52.7 58.7 62.6 66.3 67.2 67.9 67.6 64.9 65.4 60.4 57.8 56.3 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating 38 134 280 382 511 535 577 591 509 366 260 100 12 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 308 613 1226 1903 2636 2759 2511 2254 1776 1787 1344 1079 540 BLDepth Hcrit 978 1042 1478 2016 2748 2797 2685 2564 2100 1987 1611 1131 978 Hcrit BLTop 1286 1591 2204 2881 3614 3737 3489 3232 2754 2765 2322 2057 1518 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 906 1057 1400 1577 1962 1885 2077 2207 2033 1702 1300 1023 1329 Hgt.Variab. W* 82 166 271 339 430 435 442 437 384 342 279 191 64 W* B/S 4 7 10 8 10 8 6 105 4 3 3 145 38 B/S BLWind 3.9 3.4 4.7 7.5 8.2 10.6 13.7 15.0 17.2 17.8 15.5 12.9 11.1 BLWind Direction 213 231 251 266 267 277 272 271 267 275 271 267 266 Direction Max.Converg 1 3 6 10 14 17 16 16 13 13 13 10 8 Max.Converg maxRH 82 75 64 59 56 52 50 49 53 51 61 65 65 maxRH CLOUDpotent -9090 -9307 -9119 -8244 -7400 -7374 -7949 -8378 -8484 -8998 -9160 -9258 -9544 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 10378 10900 11325 11126 11016 11113 11440 11612 11239 11713 11484 11318 11065 sfcLCL ODpotential -9153 -9398 -9400 -8789 -8159 -8310 -8960 -8951 -8875 -9543 -9347 -9386 -9611 ODpotential blCL 10441 10991 11606 11671 11775 12049 12451 12186 11631 12258 11671 11445 11131 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 27790 26 273 25 273 23 271 23 272 23 270 23 271 21 266 14 247 15 249 22 268 29 241 31 243 24 270 27790 24926 23 272 22 272 20 270 21 271 21 268 21 270 18 267 12 242 13 244 19 266 25 228 26 237 21 269 24926 22698 21 273 20 274 19 269 18 271 19 266 19 267 17 268 10 235 12 237 18 269 25 223 24 237 19 270 22698 20511 19 274 18 276 17 269 17 273 16 271 17 267 16 271 8 231 10 232 16 271 24 222 24 233 17 270 20511 18647 17 276 17 276 16 269 15 273 15 270 15 269 15 271 7 224 9 228 15 272 24 219 22 227 15 270 18647 17007 15 276 16 276 14 272 14 276 14 272 14 269 13 272 5 221 8 224 13 272 22 221 20 222 13 271 17007 15491 14 279 14 279 12 275 13 276 12 275 12 274 11 271 4 227 6 223 11 272 17 217 17 221 11 272 15491 14000 13 283 13 281 11 276 11 280 11 273 10 277 10 275 6 261 6 240 10 273 13 214 14 227 9 273 14000 12848 12 285 12 281 10 276 10 281 10 273 9 278 9 275 5 260 5 246 9 272 11 217 12 224 8 276 12848 11845 11 289 10 282 9 271 9 283 9 275 9 281 8 273 4 260 4 234 8 271 9 214 11 218 7 275 11845 10951 10 294 10 284 7 268 8 284 8 276 7 278 7 271 3 243 4 223 7 265 9 215 10 216 7 269 10951 10204 9 295 9 287 6 271 7 286 7 277 6 272 6 269 3 206 4 191 6 259 8 213 9 220 7 267 10204 9383 8 298 8 288 6 274 6 286 6 280 6 270 5 266 4 177 6 170 5 257 8 209 9 226 7 264 9383 8591 8 303 8 291 6 282 6 288 5 282 5 272 4 268 4 163 6 168 4 253 7 205 8 233 6 264 8591 7908 8 306 9 293 6 289 6 294 5 286 4 273 4 271 4 155 5 164 4 253 6 205 8 233 6 264 7908 7288 8 308 9 298 6 299 6 301 4 291 4 276 3 277 4 151 4 162 4 262 6 205 7 233 5 268 7288 6659 8 314 9 302 7 306 6 308 4 299 3 281 2 289 3 152 3 169 4 272 5 211 7 236 6 274 6659 6167 8 317 9 306 7 312 7 314 4 311 3 295 2 307 2 150 2 191 5 279 6 225 6 244 7 279 6167 5688 8 319 9 310 7 316 7 318 4 320 3 305 3 316 1 147 2 224 6 285 6 244 6 254 8 284 5688 5216 8 322 9 315 7 321 7 322 4 329 4 314 3 317 1 194 3 259 7 288 7 260 7 265 9 288 5216 4751 8 324 8 321 7 329 7 325 5 334 4 322 4 314 1 281 4 281 9 290 9 269 8 272 11 291 4751 4292 9 325 8 326 7 335 7 327 5 338 5 327 5 308 3 291 5 286 11 291 11 275 10 278 13 293 4292 3841 9 325 8 329 7 337 7 326 5 338 6 327 6 302 5 294 7 286 13 291 13 281 12 283 15 295 3841 3395 9 322 8 329 7 335 7 323 6 332 7 320 8 296 7 293 10 286 15 292 16 288 14 289 17 297 3395 2956 9 319 8 327 6 332 7 314 6 317 8 305 10 288 11 290 13 285 17 292 18 292 17 293 18 299 2956 2524 9 314 7 321 6 323 7 296 7 288 10 284 13 277 14 282 16 280 18 289 19 292 18 295 19 300 2524 2100 9 306 6 312 5 299 7 269 9 268 13 274 16 271 17 273 18 271 19 280 18 283 17 289 17 294 2100 1682 7 290 5 292 5 251 8 258 10 264 14 271 17 268 18 269 19 266 19 274 16 272 14 271 14 276 1682 1406 4 253 4 228 5 244 8 256 10 263 14 270 17 267 18 267 18 264 18 271 16 269 13 266 13 269 1406 1200 4 214 4 219 5 243 8 255 10 262 14 269 16 266 17 266 18 264 17 270 15 267 12 263 12 265 1200 1063 4 202 3 218 5 242 7 255 10 262 13 268 15 266 16 265 16 263 16 269 14 266 11 262 11 262 1063 994 3 203 3 217 4 242 7 255 9 261 12 268 14 265 15 265 15 263 15 268 12 266 9 261 8 259 994 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 27790 29 29 28 25 29 31 27 30 29 27 36 35 27 27790 24926 33 30 32 29 31 34 30 34 36 28 38 35 28 24926 22698 33 32 35 32 31 34 31 36 39 28 39 37 29 22698 20511 30 32 35 30 30 33 29 35 37 28 39 36 30 20511 18647 27 29 32 28 28 32 28 34 32 28 34 30 27 18647 17007 24 26 28 26 26 30 27 32 27 27 27 27 25 17007 15491 22 23 24 23 24 28 25 28 24 27 24 25 24 15491 14000 21 22 22 22 23 25 22 23 21 24 22 23 21 14000 12848 22 22 22 22 22 25 22 20 20 23 24 24 21 12848 11845 23 24 25 24 23 24 24 20 19 24 25 24 22 11845 10951 25 26 26 25 24 24 24 19 18 24 26 24 23 10951 10204 26 28 27 25 24 24 24 20 20 24 31 25 23 10204 9383 27 28 28 26 25 26 25 23 24 24 37 26 23 9383 8591 28 29 29 27 28 28 26 26 27 25 38 29 24 8591 7908 30 31 30 30 30 29 28 29 28 27 39 32 26 7908 7288 31 32 30 31 31 30 29 31 29 29 38 33 28 7288 6659 32 32 31 32 33 33 31 33 31 30 39 35 29 6659 6167 33 33 31 33 35 35 32 36 33 31 39 36 30 6167 5688 34 33 32 33 37 36 33 38 36 32 39 38 31 5688 5216 35 34 32 33 37 37 34 38 37 33 39 39 32 5216 4751 36 35 33 34 38 36 34 38 37 33 40 39 32 4751 4292 37 36 34 35 38 36 34 38 38 34 40 40 33 4292 3841 38 38 36 37 39 37 34 37 38 34 41 40 34 3841 3395 41 40 38 40 41 38 35 37 39 36 42 42 36 3395 2956 44 44 41 44 43 41 38 37 41 39 45 45 39 2956 2524 51 49 46 49 47 46 44 40 44 45 49 49 46 2524 2100 59 56 54 57 51 48 47 46 51 50 57 57 58 2100 1682 71 67 62 56 48 46 45 44 50 49 59 63 66 1682 1406 78 74 60 53 47 44 44 42 48 47 57 61 64 1406 1200 80 73 59 52 45 43 42 41 46 46 55 60 62 1200 1063 79 71 57 51 44 42 42 40 45 45 54 58 61 1063 994 79 69 55 48 41 39 38 37 42 42 51 56 60 994 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography