AVERAGE BASED ON 30 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: OCT 2002 HERNANDEZ 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 46.4 51.3 59.0 63.8 66.9 69.9 71.3 72.1 71.7 70.3 68.3 63.6 59.2 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 46.8 51.2 58.2 62.2 64.8 67.5 68.9 70.0 70.1 69.3 68.2 63.9 59.5 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating -15 9 96 215 308 385 373 331 234 118 6 -14 -15 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 16 31 447 1464 2454 3296 3953 4360 4098 3758 1842 16 16 BLDepth Hcrit 2573 2573 2598 3270 4066 4796 5288 5554 5149 4496 2681 2573 2573 Hcrit BLTop 2589 2604 3020 4037 5027 5869 6526 6933 6670 6331 4415 2589 2589 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 72 376 1778 2063 2461 2553 2516 2576 2581 2505 3440 3516 1642 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 21 135 269 367 439 461 460 398 303 80 0 0 W* B/S 0 1 5 15 20 21 22 16 14 9 2 0 0 B/S BLWind 3.8 3.1 4.0 4.1 3.5 3.4 4.6 5.2 5.7 6.6 5.4 3.3 3.3 BLWind Direction 306 316 350 358 343 351 337 338 336 335 337 335 317 Direction Max.Converg -9 -7 -3 3 9 15 23 25 18 16 14 -1 -3 Max.Converg maxRH 49 48 45 44 50 48 48 50 45 45 38 34 39 maxRH CLOUDpotent -10900 -11156 -10735 -9872 -7930 -7345 -7231 -6524 -7621 -7896 -10007 -11282 -11178 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 13491 13762 13757 13911 12959 13216 13759 13459 14293 14229 14424 13873 13769 sfcLCL ODpotential -10900 -11160 -10809 -10222 -8556 -8134 -8030 -7339 -8292 -8253 -10113 -11282 -11178 ODpotential blCL 13491 13766 13831 14260 13585 14005 14558 14274 14964 14586 14530 13873 13769 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 27952 26 306 23 306 22 301 22 306 21 313 20 314 20 309 20 312 20 309 22 313 20 307 18 306 20 310 27952 25158 23 310 21 309 19 303 20 308 20 313 19 313 19 314 18 318 18 314 18 316 17 310 16 313 18 315 25158 22982 20 313 19 312 17 306 18 307 19 313 16 312 17 313 16 321 16 320 16 319 16 315 15 318 18 322 22982 21076 18 315 17 316 16 312 16 311 17 317 14 318 14 317 13 323 13 321 15 319 14 319 13 321 16 328 21076 19195 17 319 15 320 15 316 14 319 15 325 12 323 12 317 11 327 11 329 13 325 11 321 10 323 13 330 19195 17254 15 324 14 324 14 322 12 326 12 327 9 324 10 320 10 326 10 332 11 329 9 328 8 334 10 330 17254 15465 13 326 13 328 12 325 11 328 10 327 8 327 9 322 9 330 9 334 9 332 8 336 8 338 9 333 15465 13941 12 327 12 329 10 324 9 327 9 327 7 327 8 325 7 332 8 334 8 335 9 338 8 343 9 339 13941 12688 10 327 11 326 10 320 8 325 8 325 6 323 8 325 7 332 7 334 7 336 8 341 7 345 8 343 12688 11710 10 327 9 326 9 321 8 326 7 325 6 325 7 328 6 334 6 335 6 338 8 342 7 348 7 347 11710 10879 9 328 9 329 9 323 7 329 6 324 5 328 5 334 5 338 5 336 5 337 7 341 6 347 6 350 10879 10247 8 329 8 333 8 324 6 329 6 322 5 326 5 334 5 339 5 340 5 338 7 342 5 345 6 350 10247 9719 8 332 8 336 7 328 6 331 5 323 4 325 5 333 4 342 4 345 4 341 7 344 5 346 5 350 9719 9243 8 333 7 337 7 331 5 332 4 322 4 324 5 336 4 345 4 349 4 345 6 345 5 349 5 351 9243 8776 7 335 7 340 6 335 5 335 4 326 4 328 5 337 4 347 4 351 4 347 6 346 5 352 6 353 8776 8315 7 337 7 343 6 338 5 336 4 328 4 333 5 337 4 346 4 353 4 347 6 346 5 351 6 355 8315 7860 7 339 7 346 6 341 5 337 4 332 3 336 5 335 4 346 4 352 4 347 6 346 5 352 6 355 7860 7411 7 342 7 349 6 344 5 339 4 337 3 339 5 332 5 343 5 350 5 345 6 347 6 352 6 356 7411 6968 7 344 7 350 6 345 5 340 4 338 3 341 5 330 5 341 5 348 6 342 7 347 7 353 6 355 6968 6531 7 348 7 352 6 346 5 340 4 337 3 340 6 329 6 339 6 344 7 339 7 344 7 353 7 354 6531 6099 7 350 6 353 6 348 5 341 4 337 3 338 6 331 6 336 7 342 8 337 8 341 8 351 8 354 6099 5674 7 353 6 356 6 351 5 341 4 336 4 336 6 330 6 333 8 338 8 334 8 339 8 350 9 356 5674 5255 6 355 6 359 6 353 5 343 4 335 4 339 5 329 6 335 7 335 8 333 9 337 9 346 9 355 5255 4841 6 358 6 0 6 355 5 344 4 335 4 340 5 331 6 338 7 337 7 334 8 335 9 343 9 354 4841 4432 6 2 6 1 5 356 5 347 4 337 4 346 4 336 5 341 6 339 7 336 8 335 8 340 9 351 4432 4029 6 6 6 2 5 357 5 352 4 342 4 354 4 343 5 345 6 341 7 338 8 335 8 341 9 347 4029 3629 6 8 6 3 5 359 4 358 3 344 4 360 4 349 5 349 6 343 7 340 7 337 9 341 9 343 3629 3235 7 6 6 4 5 360 4 360 3 348 4 4 4 354 5 352 5 344 6 341 7 339 8 342 9 338 3235 2975 7 1 6 360 5 356 4 0 3 349 4 6 4 356 5 353 5 346 6 342 6 340 8 344 9 336 2975 2781 7 354 6 355 4 352 3 2 3 350 3 9 4 357 4 355 5 347 6 344 6 342 7 345 7 334 2781 2652 6 335 5 337 4 350 3 2 2 352 3 10 4 360 4 356 4 347 5 344 5 342 5 343 6 325 2652 2589 4 306 3 315 3 348 3 4 2 358 3 14 3 2 3 359 4 349 4 345 4 341 3 335 3 317 2589 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 27952 29 30 31 30 28 29 28 25 25 25 25 24 23 27952 25158 28 29 31 30 25 29 29 27 26 25 26 27 26 25158 22982 26 28 29 25 22 25 27 28 28 26 26 25 26 22982 21076 28 31 30 24 22 23 23 26 28 28 26 25 26 21076 19195 30 33 30 24 21 21 23 25 25 25 25 26 26 19195 17254 28 29 27 22 22 22 23 25 26 26 26 26 26 17254 15465 27 27 25 21 20 21 22 23 22 23 23 23 24 15465 13941 25 25 24 21 20 21 20 22 20 22 22 22 22 13941 12688 24 24 23 21 19 21 20 21 21 21 22 22 21 12688 11710 24 24 22 22 20 21 20 21 21 21 21 22 21 11710 10879 24 24 22 22 21 21 20 21 21 22 22 22 21 10879 10247 24 25 23 23 22 22 21 22 22 22 22 22 22 10247 9719 24 26 24 24 23 23 22 23 22 23 22 22 22 9719 9243 24 26 24 24 24 24 23 24 23 23 22 22 22 9243 8776 25 26 25 24 24 24 24 25 24 24 23 23 22 8776 8315 25 26 25 24 24 24 24 26 25 25 25 23 23 8315 7860 25 26 25 24 25 25 25 28 27 27 26 24 23 7860 7411 25 26 25 24 25 26 27 30 28 28 28 26 24 7411 6968 26 26 26 24 26 27 30 33 30 30 30 28 25 6968 6531 26 26 26 25 27 29 33 38 31 32 31 30 26 6531 6099 26 26 27 26 28 31 36 39 34 34 33 32 28 6099 5674 27 27 28 27 30 33 38 43 37 37 35 34 31 5674 5255 28 28 29 28 33 37 40 43 40 40 37 36 33 5255 4841 29 29 31 30 37 40 41 42 39 40 38 37 35 4841 4432 31 31 33 33 41 43 41 40 37 38 37 38 36 4432 4029 33 33 35 37 45 43 39 39 35 36 36 38 37 4029 3629 35 35 37 41 46 41 37 36 33 34 34 37 38 3629 3235 38 38 40 41 43 39 35 34 31 32 32 36 38 3235 2975 40 40 42 40 42 37 34 33 30 31 31 34 38 2975 2781 43 43 44 39 41 36 33 32 29 30 30 34 38 2781 2652 49 48 44 39 40 35 32 31 29 29 30 34 39 2652 2589 69 58 44 38 37 33 30 29 27 28 30 36 42 2589 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography