AVERAGE BASED ON 25 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: AUG 2002 HERNANDEZ 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 65.8 73.1 77.8 81.5 85.1 87.6 88.9 89.9 89.5 88.4 85.0 81.0 75.5 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 65.5 71.8 75.6 78.8 82.0 84.2 85.5 86.8 86.8 86.4 83.9 80.7 75.6 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating 25 158 307 436 530 579 578 515 434 317 165 36 -12 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 91 762 1682 2549 3990 4831 5147 5491 5613 5457 4401 2039 174 BLDepth Hcrit 2573 2660 3519 4256 5433 6129 6382 6624 6653 6402 5261 2670 2573 Hcrit BLTop 2664 3335 4255 5122 6563 7404 7720 8064 8186 8030 6974 4612 2747 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 760 1360 1960 2228 2309 2427 2757 2806 2557 2613 1874 3053 3168 Hgt.Variab. W* 46 201 326 423 524 575 587 575 547 484 360 158 10 W* B/S 4 9 20 22 32 39 42 41 22 18 9 3 0 B/S BLWind 2.9 3.1 2.9 1.4 2.1 2.4 3.5 4.9 5.4 5.8 7.8 10.1 7.2 BLWind Direction 305 359 1 313 320 307 301 314 314 299 312 312 294 Direction Max.Converg -5 0 8 15 38 51 57 64 68 69 43 20 -3 Max.Converg maxRH 37 33 31 31 33 35 33 33 33 35 31 26 25 maxRH CLOUDpotent -13419 -13132 -12646 -11777 -9737 -8914 -9171 -8898 -8947 -8965 -10348 -12653 -14168 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 16085 16468 16903 16901 16302 16320 16893 16964 17135 16997 17324 17266 16917 sfcLCL ODpotential -13500 -13307 -12851 -12117 -10482 -9623 -9695 -9271 -9263 -9196 -10481 -12714 -14173 ODpotential blCL 16166 16643 17108 17241 17047 17029 17417 17337 17451 17228 17457 17327 16922 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 20492 18 254 18 258 18 259 19 255 18 262 17 262 18 259 16 268 15 266 16 263 15 267 15 268 15 264 20492 17958 16 259 16 261 16 261 16 258 15 262 14 263 15 257 13 269 12 266 13 263 12 267 11 268 11 266 17958 16286 14 262 14 262 14 261 14 259 14 259 13 263 14 259 12 269 11 268 11 265 10 270 11 272 10 266 16286 15012 12 263 12 262 12 261 13 259 12 256 12 261 13 258 11 268 10 268 11 265 9 268 10 271 9 265 15012 14153 11 264 11 264 11 263 11 260 10 257 10 259 12 257 10 266 9 268 10 265 8 264 9 270 9 263 14153 13515 11 267 10 266 10 265 10 262 9 256 10 258 11 257 9 266 9 267 9 264 8 261 8 268 8 261 13515 12967 10 270 10 268 10 268 10 263 8 254 9 257 10 256 8 267 8 266 9 262 7 259 8 267 8 260 12967 12435 9 273 9 271 9 270 9 265 7 255 8 257 9 256 8 268 7 265 8 260 7 259 8 267 8 261 12435 11912 9 276 9 276 9 273 8 268 6 257 7 259 8 258 7 269 6 263 8 258 7 260 8 266 8 262 11912 11396 9 280 9 281 8 276 8 270 6 262 7 263 7 259 6 270 6 262 7 256 7 261 8 265 8 262 11396 10889 9 283 8 285 8 278 7 273 5 267 6 268 6 262 5 274 5 265 6 257 7 265 7 266 7 261 10889 10388 9 284 8 287 8 281 7 275 5 274 5 277 6 266 5 280 5 270 6 260 6 270 7 271 7 262 10388 9895 8 285 7 290 7 283 7 276 5 281 5 284 5 272 4 290 5 274 5 262 5 273 6 276 6 267 9895 9409 8 285 7 293 7 286 7 277 5 287 5 291 5 279 4 300 4 283 4 263 5 275 6 282 5 275 9409 8930 7 286 6 296 6 291 6 280 5 289 5 294 5 285 4 311 4 295 3 269 4 281 5 288 5 281 8930 8458 7 287 6 299 6 295 6 284 5 290 5 294 5 290 4 318 4 308 3 276 3 296 4 296 4 290 8458 7992 7 288 6 301 5 299 6 289 5 291 5 292 5 293 4 323 4 318 3 290 3 317 4 315 3 304 7992 7532 6 289 6 304 5 302 5 294 5 290 5 291 5 298 5 324 4 326 3 298 4 332 4 334 3 327 7532 7079 6 292 6 307 5 306 5 298 5 293 5 296 4 301 5 322 5 326 3 307 5 335 4 344 3 346 7079 6631 5 296 5 311 5 309 5 303 5 301 5 299 4 304 5 323 5 325 4 313 5 331 5 347 4 358 6631 6190 5 301 5 315 5 311 5 308 5 305 4 301 4 310 5 325 5 323 5 316 6 328 5 346 4 0 6190 5755 4 304 5 319 5 316 5 312 4 308 3 309 4 313 5 325 6 322 5 316 7 324 6 340 5 357 5755 5325 3 307 4 324 4 322 4 314 3 313 3 307 4 313 5 324 6 321 6 315 7 320 7 333 6 351 5325 4900 3 312 4 330 4 330 4 313 3 317 3 309 4 311 5 323 6 321 7 314 8 317 8 328 6 340 4900 4480 2 320 3 340 3 344 2 318 2 323 2 313 3 311 5 322 6 319 7 312 9 314 9 323 8 330 4480 4065 2 340 3 355 4 357 2 322 2 335 2 321 3 315 5 321 6 318 7 308 9 311 10 317 9 321 4065 3654 2 0 4 2 4 2 1 328 2 344 2 328 3 317 5 321 6 317 8 306 10 309 11 313 11 312 3654 3250 3 3 4 1 3 6 1 352 2 358 1 336 3 319 4 321 6 317 7 306 10 308 11 311 12 304 3250 2985 4 351 4 356 3 10 1 10 2 8 1 346 2 320 4 321 5 316 7 305 9 308 10 310 11 300 2985 2787 4 337 3 355 3 14 1 22 1 10 1 349 2 322 4 322 5 316 7 305 9 308 10 309 10 299 2787 2655 4 316 3 357 3 18 1 38 1 16 1 349 2 323 4 322 5 316 6 305 8 307 9 309 9 296 2655 2589 2 306 2 359 2 24 1 58 1 22 1 7 2 326 3 325 4 318 5 306 7 307 7 309 6 294 2589 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 20492 24 26 25 23 16 15 15 15 15 15 16 16 17 20492 17958 24 25 25 24 16 17 17 15 15 16 16 16 17 17958 16286 23 25 24 23 18 18 18 17 16 18 17 16 18 16286 15012 22 23 23 22 18 18 18 17 17 17 17 16 18 15012 14153 21 22 22 20 18 18 18 17 16 16 16 16 17 14153 13515 20 21 21 20 17 18 18 17 16 16 16 16 17 13515 12967 19 20 20 19 16 17 17 17 16 16 16 15 17 12967 12435 19 19 19 18 16 17 17 17 16 15 15 15 16 12435 11912 18 19 19 17 15 16 17 17 16 15 15 15 16 11912 11396 18 18 18 16 15 16 16 17 17 15 15 15 16 11396 10889 17 18 17 16 14 16 16 17 18 16 16 15 16 10889 10388 17 17 17 15 14 15 16 18 19 18 18 17 16 10388 9895 17 17 17 15 14 15 16 19 19 20 17 17 17 9895 9409 17 17 16 15 14 15 16 20 20 22 17 18 17 9409 8930 17 18 17 15 14 16 17 21 20 23 17 18 18 8930 8458 17 17 17 15 14 17 17 21 21 25 19 19 18 8458 7992 17 17 17 15 14 18 20 23 23 28 21 20 20 7992 7532 17 17 17 16 16 21 23 25 26 29 24 21 20 7532 7079 17 17 17 16 18 24 26 26 27 30 25 22 21 7079 6631 17 18 18 17 21 27 28 28 28 29 25 23 23 6631 6190 18 18 18 18 23 29 30 29 28 28 24 23 23 6190 5755 19 19 19 20 26 32 29 27 26 27 24 23 24 5755 5325 21 21 21 23 28 31 28 26 25 25 23 23 24 5325 4900 22 23 23 26 31 30 27 25 24 24 22 23 23 4900 4480 24 24 26 29 30 29 26 24 22 23 22 22 23 4480 4065 26 26 28 29 29 27 24 22 21 22 21 22 23 4065 3654 28 29 30 28 27 26 23 21 20 21 20 22 23 3654 3250 30 31 29 27 26 24 22 20 19 20 19 21 25 3250 2985 32 33 28 25 25 23 21 19 18 19 18 21 25 2985 2787 33 32 27 25 24 22 20 19 18 18 18 20 25 2787 2655 37 31 26 24 23 22 20 18 17 18 18 20 24 2655 2589 40 30 25 23 21 20 18 17 16 17 17 19 24 2589 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography