AVERAGE BASED ON 21 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: JUL 2002 HERNANDEZ 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 69.3 74.4 79.1 83.7 86.6 89.0 91.3 91.3 91.3 90.1 86.9 82.6 78.5 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 68.6 72.8 76.7 80.7 83.2 85.4 87.8 88.0 88.4 87.9 85.4 82.0 78.5 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating 73 220 358 481 568 616 609 564 479 368 231 93 0 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 277 1066 2014 2933 4051 4897 5562 5543 5411 5414 4006 2360 469 BLDepth Hcrit 2573 2955 3801 4576 5500 6200 6733 6692 6527 6431 5139 3332 2573 Hcrit BLTop 2850 3639 4587 5506 6624 7470 8135 8116 7983 7987 6579 4933 3042 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 1018 1380 1546 2019 2394 2285 2430 2423 2550 2644 2471 2474 3113 Hgt.Variab. W* 108 251 367 459 539 590 613 597 560 511 388 225 27 W* B/S 4 11 20 26 31 33 30 26 16 17 10 5 0 B/S BLWind 1.5 0.9 0.8 2.0 2.5 2.8 3.0 4.1 5.9 6.0 6.8 8.4 8.7 BLWind Direction 270 67 183 229 240 253 249 301 300 290 273 268 279 Direction Max.Converg -4 2 10 21 40 54 63 60 53 55 29 13 -1 Max.Converg maxRH 36 35 33 32 38 41 35 39 36 35 29 28 25 maxRH CLOUDpotent -13872 -13129 -12633 -11659 -8960 -8120 -8635 -8151 -8509 -8768 -10544 -12253 -14003 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 16724 16770 17221 17167 15586 15592 16771 16269 16495 16757 17124 17188 17047 sfcLCL ODpotential -13942 -13167 -12751 -12002 -9603 -8812 -9149 -8554 -8861 -9037 -10670 -12334 -14024 ODpotential blCL 16794 16808 17340 17510 16229 16283 17285 16672 16846 17026 17251 17268 17068 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 19350 13 213 13 215 13 216 13 214 13 211 13 209 12 212 11 208 9 212 13 205 12 200 12 197 12 206 19350 16956 12 203 12 211 13 211 12 213 12 206 12 207 10 210 8 208 6 203 10 200 9 193 10 188 10 194 16956 15626 11 198 11 207 12 210 10 208 11 205 11 205 9 209 7 208 5 196 8 198 9 190 9 184 9 188 15626 14758 9 196 10 205 11 211 10 204 9 201 10 202 8 206 6 208 5 199 8 194 9 189 9 185 8 185 14758 14113 8 193 9 202 10 208 9 199 9 195 10 198 8 203 6 203 5 195 8 192 8 190 9 187 8 187 14113 13557 8 192 8 201 10 206 8 195 8 192 9 197 8 199 7 200 6 191 7 192 8 191 9 189 8 189 13557 13014 7 190 8 201 9 206 7 194 8 188 9 195 8 197 7 195 6 187 8 191 8 192 9 192 7 191 13014 12480 7 190 8 201 9 207 7 194 7 186 8 195 7 195 7 191 6 182 8 193 8 192 9 195 7 195 12480 11955 6 191 8 201 8 207 7 195 7 187 8 196 7 194 6 190 6 181 7 192 8 192 9 198 7 196 11955 11437 6 193 7 203 8 208 7 196 7 188 7 198 7 194 6 186 5 182 7 193 8 192 9 201 7 198 11437 10927 6 196 7 206 7 210 7 197 6 190 7 201 7 194 5 187 5 183 7 192 7 196 9 203 7 199 10927 10425 6 199 7 210 7 208 7 199 6 191 7 203 7 194 5 187 5 186 6 192 7 196 9 203 7 199 10425 9930 6 204 6 216 6 211 6 200 6 191 7 205 6 192 5 184 5 189 5 193 7 197 8 202 7 197 9930 9442 6 210 6 221 6 215 6 203 5 191 6 204 6 191 5 180 4 188 5 193 6 195 8 200 7 194 9442 8961 6 214 6 227 5 217 5 207 4 191 5 201 6 192 5 173 4 187 4 193 5 192 7 195 6 190 8961 8487 6 217 6 230 5 222 5 211 4 193 4 201 5 195 3 157 3 189 3 198 4 186 6 188 6 184 8487 8019 6 218 5 234 5 223 4 218 3 198 4 206 4 197 1 145 2 203 2 208 3 177 5 178 5 176 8019 7557 6 220 5 236 5 224 4 224 3 205 3 222 3 205 1 42 1 270 1 241 2 171 3 169 4 164 7557 7101 6 222 5 237 4 227 3 232 3 217 3 233 2 227 2 1 2 329 1 290 1 158 2 152 3 152 7101 6652 5 226 5 240 4 230 3 238 3 230 2 252 2 250 4 340 4 322 2 300 1 311 1 135 2 133 6652 6209 5 224 4 241 4 234 3 249 2 243 2 265 2 259 4 323 5 317 4 301 2 313 0 98 1 105 6209 5772 5 220 4 240 4 232 3 254 2 252 2 271 3 265 5 313 6 311 5 299 3 306 1 307 1 39 5772 5340 4 215 3 233 4 230 3 249 2 250 3 269 3 258 5 307 6 306 6 296 5 299 3 296 2 336 5340 4914 4 206 3 218 3 226 2 238 2 249 3 261 3 255 5 302 7 301 7 292 6 292 5 290 3 316 4914 4493 3 196 2 198 2 224 2 234 3 240 3 254 3 253 5 297 7 297 7 287 7 284 6 284 5 307 4493 4075 2 178 1 168 1 214 2 228 2 238 3 249 4 251 5 293 7 293 8 284 8 279 8 279 7 300 4075 3662 2 159 1 101 0 200 2 223 2 233 3 244 4 249 5 288 7 290 8 282 9 273 10 273 9 292 3662 3256 1 174 1 61 0 160 2 216 2 225 3 243 4 248 5 286 7 288 8 280 9 271 10 268 10 283 3256 2988 1 254 1 55 1 147 2 211 2 223 3 240 4 247 5 283 7 287 8 278 9 270 10 267 10 280 2988 2788 2 263 1 61 1 128 1 208 2 223 3 238 3 245 5 283 7 286 8 278 8 269 9 266 9 279 2788 2656 2 265 1 63 1 124 1 207 2 218 2 237 3 244 4 283 7 285 8 277 8 268 8 265 8 277 2656 2589 1 268 1 64 1 120 1 194 2 216 2 236 3 241 4 282 6 285 7 277 7 268 7 264 6 276 2589 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 19350 25 25 25 25 18 18 20 20 19 21 20 19 20 19350 16956 26 26 25 23 21 22 22 23 23 24 25 24 25 16956 15626 26 27 25 21 21 22 21 23 22 23 23 24 25 15626 14758 26 27 24 20 20 20 19 21 20 23 22 23 23 14758 14113 26 26 23 20 19 19 17 20 19 22 21 22 22 14113 13557 26 26 23 20 18 18 17 19 19 21 21 21 21 13557 13014 25 25 22 20 17 17 16 18 18 20 20 21 21 13014 12480 25 24 21 20 16 16 16 18 18 19 19 20 20 12480 11955 25 24 21 19 16 16 15 18 18 18 19 20 19 11955 11437 24 23 21 19 15 15 15 18 17 19 18 19 19 11437 10927 24 22 20 19 15 15 15 17 17 21 17 18 18 10927 10425 23 22 20 19 14 15 15 17 17 22 17 17 17 10425 9930 23 22 20 19 14 15 15 17 18 22 17 17 17 9930 9442 22 21 21 19 14 15 16 17 18 22 17 16 17 9442 8961 22 21 21 19 15 16 18 19 19 22 18 17 18 8961 8487 22 22 21 19 16 18 20 22 21 23 19 18 19 8487 8019 22 22 21 19 17 22 23 25 23 24 21 18 20 8019 7557 22 22 22 19 19 26 26 31 25 26 23 19 21 7557 7101 22 23 22 19 23 29 29 34 31 28 24 21 22 7101 6652 23 24 23 19 27 32 31 36 32 29 25 24 23 6652 6209 24 24 24 20 30 36 32 36 32 28 26 25 24 6209 5772 25 25 25 23 33 38 31 34 31 28 26 25 25 5772 5340 26 26 26 26 36 37 29 31 30 27 25 25 24 5340 4914 26 27 27 29 36 35 28 30 28 25 24 24 24 4914 4493 27 29 29 30 34 33 26 28 26 24 23 24 23 4493 4075 27 30 31 29 32 31 25 26 25 23 22 23 22 4075 3662 28 32 30 27 30 29 23 25 23 22 22 23 23 3662 3256 30 34 29 26 28 27 22 23 22 20 21 23 24 3256 2988 32 33 28 25 27 26 21 22 21 20 20 22 24 2988 2788 35 32 27 24 26 25 20 21 20 19 19 22 24 2788 2656 35 31 26 23 26 25 19 21 20 19 19 21 23 2656 2589 35 30 24 21 24 22 18 19 18 17 18 20 23 2589 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography