AVERAGE BASED ON 30 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: MAY 2002 HERNANDEZ 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 55.1 60.5 65.5 52.4 72.3 50.8 77.4 77.6 75.6 75.1 -32.8 67.5 61.5 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 54.6 59.2 63.4 66.9 69.1 71.7 74.0 74.1 73.0 72.6 69.8 67.2 61.8 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating 65 188 339 458 561 585 606 566 463 334 225 79 0 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 284 936 2044 3493 4519 5770 6265 6806 6749 5274 3140 2532 474 BLDepth Hcrit 2573 2786 3805 4918 5867 6750 7298 7836 7571 6242 4399 3465 2573 Hcrit BLTop 2857 3509 4617 6066 7091 8343 8838 9379 9322 7847 5713 5105 3047 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 1121 2103 2494 2615 2682 2778 2891 2892 2941 3222 3174 2314 2229 Hgt.Variab. W* 100 224 358 466 555 597 637 645 593 485 357 215 39 W* B/S 2 5 13 33 21 23 22 113 15 10 4 146 37 B/S BLWind 7.7 6.4 4.5 4.2 3.3 3.7 4.4 4.4 6.2 10.3 13.0 13.5 13.5 BLWind Direction 314 326 341 320 323 312 297 286 294 303 299 300 299 Direction Max.Converg -6 -3 2 18 29 55 63 72 71 38 4 -5 -7 Max.Converg maxRH 50 46 44 44 48 51 47 48 56 45 46 49 41 maxRH CLOUDpotent -10734 -10134 -9661 -8233 -6835 -5642 -6175 -5159 -4356 -6834 -7633 -7551 -10961 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 13593 13645 14280 14301 13928 13987 15015 14539 13680 14679 13348 12658 14010 sfcLCL ODpotential -10811 -10467 -10163 -9064 -7890 -6721 -7255 -6352 -5229 -7439 -7932 -7747 -11017 ODpotential blCL 13670 13978 14782 15132 14984 15066 16095 15732 14553 15284 13647 12853 14066 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 27544 26 272 26 271 24 267 24 269 25 268 24 269 21 265 14 244 15 248 21 268 24 234 29 240 24 268 27544 24583 23 270 23 270 21 266 21 269 22 266 22 269 19 265 12 244 12 244 18 266 20 230 22 234 20 267 24583 22259 22 268 22 270 20 265 19 268 21 265 20 266 18 267 10 247 11 249 18 266 20 228 21 231 18 267 22259 20194 20 267 20 269 18 264 17 269 18 268 18 269 16 268 8 252 9 249 16 269 19 228 19 230 16 266 20194 18397 18 269 18 271 15 266 16 267 17 265 16 266 14 267 8 249 7 244 14 271 17 229 18 233 14 268 18397 16816 16 271 16 272 14 268 14 269 16 265 14 269 13 268 5 252 5 229 12 273 15 227 16 230 12 269 16816 15336 15 274 15 274 12 270 13 270 14 267 13 271 11 268 3 252 2 202 10 273 11 214 13 223 10 266 15336 14105 13 274 13 271 11 266 11 273 13 268 11 271 9 263 3 233 3 190 8 271 10 207 12 222 9 265 14105 13081 13 277 11 270 10 266 10 275 11 269 9 269 8 261 4 244 3 205 7 268 9 206 10 218 8 263 13081 12290 11 280 9 272 8 262 8 273 9 267 7 269 6 254 4 210 3 197 6 265 7 200 9 214 8 259 12290 11531 10 280 8 273 7 261 7 272 7 268 6 269 5 249 4 186 3 172 5 261 7 190 8 213 8 257 11531 10788 9 281 7 271 6 258 6 273 6 270 4 268 4 246 3 169 3 150 4 256 6 180 7 211 7 253 10788 10102 8 284 6 270 5 255 5 276 5 280 3 278 3 250 3 151 3 126 3 250 6 169 6 213 6 251 10102 9499 7 287 6 274 5 258 5 279 4 288 3 287 3 270 1 156 2 120 2 253 6 161 5 214 5 247 9499 8941 7 290 6 280 4 264 5 286 4 295 4 292 3 283 1 175 1 138 2 264 5 154 4 205 4 247 8941 8380 6 295 6 285 5 273 5 291 4 298 4 300 3 292 1 213 1 209 3 276 5 147 3 199 4 248 8380 7854 6 300 6 292 5 280 5 297 4 304 5 304 3 291 1 274 3 298 3 292 4 140 3 198 4 254 7854 7408 6 304 6 297 5 287 5 303 5 308 5 303 3 294 3 293 4 302 4 299 3 133 2 199 4 264 7408 6968 5 306 6 302 4 295 6 308 5 309 5 302 4 296 4 292 6 302 5 303 1 109 2 217 4 275 6968 6533 5 308 6 306 4 304 5 312 5 311 5 306 4 296 5 293 7 301 6 305 2 332 2 261 4 289 6533 6104 5 311 5 309 4 310 5 312 4 315 5 311 5 300 6 296 7 300 8 306 4 317 3 290 5 304 6104 5680 5 315 5 314 3 317 4 313 4 316 5 315 5 302 6 297 8 297 9 306 7 308 5 300 6 311 5680 5262 4 320 4 317 3 323 4 315 4 318 4 319 5 304 6 297 9 295 11 306 9 303 7 301 8 316 5262 4848 5 328 4 323 3 332 4 320 4 322 4 320 5 306 6 298 9 292 12 305 11 302 9 302 9 318 4848 4439 5 334 4 331 3 341 4 322 3 327 4 323 6 308 6 298 10 289 13 304 13 301 11 303 11 317 4439 4034 6 338 5 339 4 345 4 325 3 331 4 327 5 309 6 296 10 287 14 304 15 301 13 303 14 315 4034 3634 8 338 6 339 4 342 4 327 3 338 4 331 5 310 6 296 10 285 14 303 15 299 15 301 16 309 3634 3239 10 333 7 332 5 342 4 329 3 341 4 332 5 312 6 295 10 283 14 302 16 298 15 299 17 303 3239 2977 10 326 6 327 4 342 4 331 3 344 4 333 5 311 6 293 10 282 14 302 15 297 14 298 16 300 2977 2783 8 318 6 325 4 343 3 331 3 347 3 335 5 311 6 293 10 282 13 301 14 297 13 296 14 300 2783 2654 7 315 5 326 4 344 3 334 2 349 3 336 4 312 5 294 9 280 12 301 13 296 12 296 13 299 2654 2589 6 313 4 327 3 347 3 336 2 354 3 338 4 312 5 293 8 280 11 301 11 296 10 295 10 298 2589 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 27544 26 27 28 24 26 29 26 31 33 26 29 26 26 27544 24583 33 31 31 31 28 31 28 35 39 27 39 33 27 24583 22259 30 30 32 32 27 30 29 35 38 27 38 34 28 22259 20194 25 27 30 28 25 29 27 32 34 27 37 33 29 20194 18397 23 24 25 24 24 28 25 28 29 27 33 29 28 18397 16816 22 23 22 22 23 26 24 26 28 27 30 27 27 16816 15336 21 22 21 20 22 24 21 22 24 26 28 24 25 15336 14105 20 21 21 19 20 22 19 19 19 24 25 22 22 14105 13081 19 20 22 19 20 22 19 18 15 22 22 21 21 13081 12290 20 22 23 21 22 22 21 19 22 24 20 21 23 12290 11531 22 24 24 21 23 23 23 23 29 25 22 27 24 11531 10788 22 24 23 21 23 24 24 27 32 26 24 34 24 10788 10102 23 25 24 22 23 25 26 29 34 27 25 34 25 10102 9499 25 26 25 24 25 27 28 31 38 29 26 35 27 9499 8941 27 28 26 26 27 30 31 34 39 32 29 35 29 8941 8380 28 30 27 28 29 34 34 35 41 35 32 36 30 8380 7854 29 31 29 30 32 37 37 36 45 38 35 36 32 7854 7408 31 32 30 31 34 39 38 38 46 39 37 37 32 7408 6968 31 33 31 32 35 42 39 41 45 39 39 38 33 6968 6533 32 34 33 34 38 43 40 41 43 38 41 39 33 6533 6104 33 35 34 36 41 43 40 40 42 37 42 39 33 6104 5680 34 36 36 38 42 41 38 38 40 36 43 40 33 5680 5262 35 38 37 40 42 40 36 35 38 36 44 41 33 5262 4848 36 39 39 41 42 38 34 33 36 35 43 40 33 4848 4439 36 40 41 41 40 36 32 31 34 33 41 41 33 4439 4034 38 41 42 40 38 34 30 30 32 32 39 40 34 4034 3634 39 43 41 38 36 32 28 28 30 30 37 40 37 3634 3239 42 45 39 36 34 30 27 26 28 28 35 39 40 3239 2977 45 45 38 34 33 29 25 25 27 27 34 37 40 2977 2783 48 44 37 33 31 28 25 24 26 26 33 36 39 2783 2654 49 43 36 32 31 27 24 23 26 26 32 35 39 2654 2589 49 41 34 30 28 25 22 22 24 24 30 34 38 2589 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography