AVERAGE BASED ON 26 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: APR 2002 HERNANDEZ 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 44.7 51.0 56.4 58.7 37.7 65.0 67.4 69.0 65.9 64.0 63.6 58.6 53.3 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 44.5 50.1 54.3 56.4 59.8 62.8 63.3 66.3 66.0 62.9 63.6 60.5 53.5 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating 22 124 285 392 462 517 518 464 381 300 138 39 -6 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 184 767 1826 2835 3749 4446 5243 5374 5295 4544 3695 2006 277 BLDepth Hcrit 2573 2675 3524 4412 5081 5737 6378 6469 6357 5625 4310 2758 2573 Hcrit BLTop 2757 3340 4399 5408 6322 7019 7815 7947 7868 7117 6268 4579 2850 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 908 1887 1994 2014 2080 2377 2682 2918 3086 3011 2655 2530 2568 Hgt.Variab. W* 52 175 318 414 472 530 561 547 508 442 299 137 26 W* B/S 2 24 51 13 61 65 53 15 155 49 162 168 0 B/S BLWind 5.9 5.7 4.8 4.2 4.2 5.5 5.5 5.6 6.4 10.7 12.5 13.0 11.4 BLWind Direction 306 303 315 316 300 312 311 315 309 304 309 306 296 Direction Max.Converg Max.Converg maxRH 70 68 63 63 69 71 70 65 64 63 59 54 56 maxRH CLOUDpotent -7155 -6756 -6682 -5564 -4268 -3338 -2607 -3295 -3247 -3955 -4964 -7039 -7454 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 9914 10097 11083 10974 10629 10358 10424 11243 11117 11074 11234 11619 10306 sfcLCL ODpotential -7284 -7050 -7151 -6276 -5246 -4077 -3996 -4217 -4268 -4584 -5282 -7200 -7481 ODpotential blCL 10043 10392 11552 11686 11607 11097 11813 12166 12138 11703 11552 11781 10333 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 30269 34 265 32 263 32 269 37 265 34 255 29 263 38 266 32 278 32 281 39 269 33 285 37 285 40 276 30269 27432 33 263 30 263 30 268 34 265 31 255 26 262 34 266 29 277 29 281 35 269 30 281 32 282 36 275 27432 25467 30 263 27 265 27 268 31 263 27 257 25 264 33 267 27 279 27 284 32 270 26 281 30 279 34 275 25467 23567 29 263 25 266 25 268 28 263 25 255 23 262 30 267 26 282 25 289 30 273 24 286 28 282 32 278 23567 21595 27 262 23 266 23 268 26 265 23 257 20 261 27 267 23 283 22 292 27 275 22 290 26 285 29 279 21595 19781 25 261 20 265 21 267 24 266 20 258 19 261 25 269 21 285 20 289 25 278 19 296 24 290 26 279 19781 18132 23 261 18 262 19 268 22 264 18 259 18 263 23 271 19 286 18 287 22 276 16 293 21 291 23 279 18132 16459 20 262 16 263 15 267 19 266 15 257 15 264 20 271 16 284 16 285 20 274 14 289 18 283 21 278 16459 14864 19 267 14 266 14 267 18 273 14 260 12 265 18 272 14 285 14 287 18 274 12 284 16 281 19 278 14864 13417 17 271 14 271 13 271 16 278 12 267 11 271 17 278 12 289 11 290 16 276 11 284 13 280 17 277 13417 12313 15 275 12 276 12 277 15 283 11 274 10 275 16 283 11 291 10 293 14 278 11 288 12 283 14 277 12313 11409 14 280 11 280 11 281 14 289 10 281 8 279 14 286 10 295 9 295 12 282 10 289 10 280 13 280 11409 10546 13 285 9 284 9 283 12 292 9 284 8 284 12 289 8 299 7 297 10 285 8 289 9 278 10 283 10546 9838 11 290 7 295 8 287 10 296 8 283 7 284 10 294 6 299 5 296 8 287 6 299 8 285 8 285 9838 9185 10 294 6 299 6 292 8 299 7 285 6 291 9 299 5 305 5 294 7 292 7 301 7 292 7 291 9185 8523 8 296 5 304 5 296 7 304 6 291 5 302 7 304 4 311 4 298 6 298 6 303 7 299 6 303 8523 7861 7 297 5 307 5 300 5 307 5 297 4 319 5 315 2 327 3 316 5 309 4 312 5 306 4 319 7861 7336 6 299 5 311 4 305 4 308 4 302 4 327 5 315 3 332 4 317 5 307 5 316 5 305 4 328 7336 6901 6 302 5 311 4 309 4 313 4 304 4 329 5 312 4 328 5 318 6 309 5 317 5 305 5 333 6901 6473 5 303 5 310 4 311 4 317 4 304 4 325 6 310 5 321 5 316 7 308 6 317 6 306 5 335 6473 6049 4 305 5 309 4 313 4 320 3 304 5 319 6 309 6 316 6 315 8 307 7 315 7 308 6 334 6049 5631 4 310 5 308 4 315 4 321 4 304 6 313 6 309 6 316 7 313 9 306 9 313 8 309 8 331 5631 5219 4 314 4 306 4 321 5 322 4 303 6 310 6 311 7 315 7 312 10 305 10 313 9 310 9 327 5219 4811 4 323 4 305 4 326 5 323 5 303 6 308 6 313 7 316 8 310 11 304 12 311 11 309 11 323 4811 4408 4 327 4 308 4 324 5 320 5 305 6 309 6 316 7 316 8 310 12 302 13 310 12 309 13 318 4408 4010 5 331 4 311 4 322 5 320 5 307 6 312 5 317 7 317 8 310 12 302 14 310 13 309 15 313 4010 3617 6 332 5 312 4 316 4 318 4 307 6 312 5 318 6 318 8 310 12 301 14 309 14 309 17 308 3617 3228 7 328 5 309 5 312 4 318 4 307 6 313 5 319 6 318 8 309 12 301 14 308 14 308 17 303 3228 2972 7 323 5 303 5 313 4 318 4 308 5 313 5 321 6 318 8 309 12 301 13 308 13 307 15 300 2972 2780 6 312 5 301 4 313 4 318 4 308 5 313 5 321 6 319 7 309 11 300 13 308 12 307 14 299 2780 2653 6 305 5 300 4 312 3 319 3 309 5 314 4 322 5 318 7 310 10 300 11 308 11 306 12 298 2653 2589 5 306 4 301 3 313 3 322 3 310 4 315 4 324 5 319 6 311 9 300 10 308 8 306 9 296 2589 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 30269 20 22 20 23 23 24 21 28 20 21 21 23 25 30269 27432 28 29 26 26 26 26 26 31 21 24 24 27 27 27432 25467 32 32 29 31 27 27 27 31 23 26 25 28 32 25467 23567 35 35 34 33 28 28 29 32 26 27 27 30 36 23567 21595 38 38 36 36 30 30 29 32 27 28 28 28 35 21595 19781 39 40 39 40 33 32 31 33 28 30 29 26 34 19781 18132 42 42 40 42 33 32 32 33 29 30 29 27 34 18132 16459 39 42 40 41 33 32 32 33 30 30 29 29 34 16459 14864 37 41 38 37 31 28 31 31 30 27 30 33 31 14864 13417 36 41 38 36 33 28 29 30 30 26 30 32 28 13417 12313 36 40 37 36 34 30 29 30 27 26 31 33 27 12313 11409 35 38 37 36 34 31 31 31 26 28 32 33 28 11409 10546 33 36 35 35 34 32 35 32 27 30 34 33 30 10546 9838 33 36 35 33 34 36 37 33 28 32 36 34 32 9838 9185 34 37 34 33 35 39 41 39 32 36 42 38 34 9185 8523 35 38 36 34 36 42 42 40 33 37 43 39 35 8523 7861 37 40 39 36 39 44 47 44 41 42 46 41 38 7861 7336 39 42 41 38 42 47 50 49 48 49 47 42 40 7336 6901 41 43 43 41 45 48 52 51 51 51 46 43 41 6901 6473 43 44 45 43 48 50 56 54 50 51 47 44 42 6473 6049 44 45 46 46 50 52 59 55 50 50 48 44 43 6049 5631 46 47 48 49 54 59 60 54 50 49 48 45 44 5631 5219 48 49 49 52 58 61 58 52 51 49 48 47 44 5219 4811 50 51 53 54 60 59 55 50 49 50 49 48 45 4811 4408 52 54 56 58 59 57 52 47 47 49 47 48 47 4408 4010 54 58 59 58 57 54 49 44 44 47 45 47 49 4010 3617 57 62 60 56 54 50 46 42 41 44 44 46 53 3617 3228 60 64 58 53 51 48 43 39 39 41 41 44 56 3228 2972 61 64 56 51 49 45 41 37 37 40 40 43 56 2972 2780 64 64 54 49 47 44 40 36 36 38 39 42 55 2780 2653 69 64 53 48 46 43 39 35 35 37 38 41 54 2653 2589 73 62 50 45 43 39 36 33 33 35 36 40 54 2589 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography