DrJack's WINDIP Upper-Air Wind Forecast for SALINAS on SAT 03/13 ALERT@ 00:+eta,+avn,+ruc 12:+avn ------ WS,WD,U(kt) SITE=ksns METAR=ksns RidgePerp.=210 Run:03/13@16:29Z-16:29Z RUC : 00=03/13:15Z 03=03/13:18Z 06=03/13:21Z 09=03/14: 0Z 12=03/14: 3Z 300mb: + 73 332 -39 + 73 328 -34 64 336 -38 63 341 -42 67 341 -44 850mb: + 21 344 -14 + 20 010 -19 20 024 -20 22 028 -22 19 034 -19 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- NAM : 00=03/13:12Z 12=03/14: 0Z 24=03/14:12Z 36=03/15: 0Z 48=03/15:12Z 300mb: + 67 321 -24 65 342 -44 66 332 -35 48 324 -20 53 296 4 850mb: + 20 326 -9 19 020 -19 19 003 -17 21 004 -19 5 022 -5 GFS : 00=03/13:12Z 12=03/14: 0Z 24=03/14:12Z 36=03/15: 0Z 48=03/15:12Z 60=03/16: 0Z 72=03/16:12Z 300mb: + 74 329 -36 + 67 340 -43 63 341 -42 50 324 -20 46 282 14 51 253 37 46 235 42 850mb: + 22 338 -14 + 20 012 -19 19 007 -17 17 016 -16 6 048 -6 9 162 6 11 207 11 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GFS : 96=03/17: 0Z 120=03/18: 0Z 144=03/19: 0Z 168=03/20: 0Z 192=03/21: 0Z 216=03/22: 0Z 240=03/23: 0Z 300mb: 52 241 45 32 330 -16 41 015 -40 59 334 -33 50 283 14 29 253 21 64 297 3 850mb: 3 058 -3 13 002 -11 16 017 -16 11 340 -7 8 303 -0 8 248 6 10 280 3 ------ The criterion "mt. wave" windspeeds used for this site are: To have a mt. wave somewhere (indicated by "+" marks) (1) windspeed of 65 kt at 300 mb (approx. 31,000 ft) (2) windspeed of 20 kt at "ridgetop" level of 850 mb (approx. 5,000 ft) To have a mt. wave at designated ridge (indicated by "*" marks) (1) perpendicular wind of 46 kt at 300 mb (approx. 31,000 ft) (2) perpendicular wind of 14 kt at "ridgetop" level of 850 mb (approx. 5,000 ft) These criteria based on the those empirically developed for the Sierra wave by Doug Armstrong of the Reno NWS For a description of the forecast format and forecasts for other locations, see: http://www.drjack.info/WINDIP/ Please recognize that the utilized mt. wave criterion is simplistic while mt. wave behavior can be complex, so the simple yes/no program predictions cannot be expected to cover all mt. wave occurrences.