DrJack's WINDIP Upper-Air Wind Forecast for Waynesboro_VA on SUN 09/05 ALERT@ 216:*mrf ------ WS,WD,U(kt) SITE=kshd METAR=kshd RidgePerp.=320 Run:09/05@13:30Z-13:36Z RUC : 00=09/05:12Z 03=09/05:15Z 06=09/05:18Z 09=09/05:21Z 12=09/06: 0Z 300mb: 79 244 19 75 238 11 67 240 11 53 238 7 49 243 11 850mb: 19 300 18 10 283 8 8 271 5 8 252 3 7 246 2 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- NAM : 00=09/05:00Z 12=09/05:12Z 24=09/06: 0Z 36=09/06:12Z 48=09/07: 0Z 300mb: 65 256 29 78 246 22 49 242 10 20 270 13 34 315 34 850mb: 15 285 12 18 298 17 6 226 -0 10 246 3 12 186 -8 GFS : 00=09/05:00Z 12=09/05:12Z 24=09/06: 0Z 36=09/06:12Z 48=09/07: 0Z 60=09/07:12Z 72=09/08: 0Z 300mb: 64 263 35 71 248 22 44 247 13 27 276 19 55 316 55 44 289 38 47 276 34 850mb: 19 279 14 16 303 15 6 241 1 12 236 1 17 209 -6 18 264 10 21 247 6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GFS : 96=09/09: 0Z 120=09/10: 0Z 144=09/11: 0Z 168=09/12: 0Z 192=09/13: 0Z 216=09/14: 0Z 240=09/15: 0Z 300mb: 61 287 51 53 298 49 32 303 31 30 265 17 62 272 42 * 70 287 59 63 306 61 850mb: 25 287 21 16 297 15 5 253 2 15 227 -1 8 288 7 * 25 298 23 18 299 17 ------ The criterion "mt. wave" windspeeds used for this site are: To have a mt. wave somewhere (indicated by "+" marks) (1) windspeed of 65 kt at 300 mb (approx. 31,000 ft) (2) windspeed of 20 kt at "ridgetop" level of 850 mb (approx. 5,000 ft) To have a mt. wave at designated ridge (indicated by "*" marks) (1) perpendicular wind of 46 kt at 300 mb (approx. 31,000 ft) (2) perpendicular wind of 14 kt at "ridgetop" level of 850 mb (approx. 5,000 ft) These criteria based on the those empirically developed for the Sierra wave by Doug Armstrong of the Reno NWS For a description of the forecast format and forecasts for other locations, see: http://www.drjack.info/WINDIP/ Please recognize that the utilized mt. wave criterion is simplistic while mt. wave behavior can be complex, so the simple yes/no program predictions cannot be expected to cover all mt. wave occurrences.