DrJack's WINDIP Upper-Air Wind Forecast for RENO on FRI 03/12 ALERT@ 12:*eta,+ruc ------ WS,WD,U(kt) SITE=krno METAR=krno RidgePerp.=280 Run:03/12@16:31Z-16:31Z RUC : 00=03/12:15Z 03=03/12:18Z 06=03/12:21Z 09=03/13: 0Z 12=03/13: 3Z 300mb: 49 241 38 52 233 35 58 233 39 63 233 43 + 74 224 41 700mb: 28 241 22 36 239 27 46 233 31 51 232 34 + 52 235 37 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- NAM : 00=03/12:12Z 12=03/13: 0Z 24=03/13:12Z 36=03/14: 0Z 48=03/14:12Z 300mb: 45 245 37 * 71 233 48 83 316 67 70 339 36 70 336 39 700mb: 20 226 12 * 38 229 24 19 281 19 10 012 -0 17 036 -7 GFS : 00=03/12:12Z 12=03/13: 0Z 24=03/13:12Z 36=03/14: 0Z 48=03/14:12Z 60=03/15: 0Z 72=03/15:12Z 300mb: 46 246 38 61 219 29 94 322 70 80 337 43 58 334 34 54 317 43 51 285 51 700mb: 28 228 17 53 231 35 21 295 20 13 032 -5 15 023 -3 6 009 0 6 199 1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GFS : 96=03/16: 0Z 120=03/17: 0Z 144=03/18: 0Z 168=03/19: 0Z 192=03/20: 0Z 216=03/21: 0Z 240=03/22: 0Z 300mb: 51 267 49 68 238 50 41 320 32 51 322 38 51 302 47 47 274 47 57 259 53 700mb: 15 241 12 17 243 14 7 333 4 16 327 11 14 312 12 13 241 10 17 281 17 ------ The criterion "mt. wave" windspeeds used for this site are: To have a mt. wave somewhere (indicated by "+" marks) (1) windspeed of 65 kt at 300 mb (approx. 31,000 ft) (2) windspeed of 25 kt at "ridgetop" level of 700 mb (approx. 10,500 ft) To have a mt. wave at designated ridge (indicated by "*" marks) (1) perpendicular wind of 46 kt at 300 mb (approx. 31,000 ft) (2) perpendicular wind of 18 kt at "ridgetop" level of 700 mb (approx. 10,500 ft) These criteria based on the those empirically developed for the Sierra wave by Doug Armstrong of the Reno NWS For a description of the forecast format and forecasts for other locations, see: http://www.drjack.info/WINDIP/ Please recognize that the utilized mt. wave criterion is simplistic while mt. wave behavior can be complex, so the simple yes/no program predictions cannot be expected to cover all mt. wave occurrences.