DrJack's WINDIP Upper-Air Wind Forecast for Waynesboro_VA on THU 07/29 ------ WS,WD,U(kt) SITE=kshd METAR=kshd RidgePerp.=320 Run:07/29@13:30Z-13:36Z RUC : 00=07/29:12Z 03=07/29:15Z 06=07/29:18Z 09=07/29:21Z 12=07/30: 0Z 300mb: 32 280 25 37 275 26 42 276 30 49 275 35 55 283 44 850mb: 16 316 16 20 309 20 15 300 14 16 333 16 15 343 14 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- NAM : 00=07/29:00Z 12=07/29:12Z 24=07/30: 0Z 36=07/30:12Z 48=07/31: 0Z 300mb: 38 297 35 32 273 22 67 281 52 66 297 61 58 301 55 850mb: 12 247 3 14 314 14 10 312 10 10 353 8 10 347 9 GFS : 00=07/29:00Z 12=07/29:12Z 24=07/30: 0Z 36=07/30:12Z 48=07/31: 0Z 60=07/31:12Z 72=08/01: 0Z 300mb: 37 298 34 30 286 25 59 290 51 70 302 66 65 299 60 59 286 49 45 282 36 850mb: 14 264 8 19 304 18 13 318 13 6 356 5 8 009 5 10 208 -4 14 225 -1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GFS : 96=08/02: 0Z 120=08/03: 0Z 144=08/04: 0Z 168=08/05: 0Z 192=08/06: 0Z 216=08/07: 0Z 240=08/08: 0Z 300mb: 46 282 36 33 341 31 22 298 20 29 293 26 40 266 24 42 264 24 34 256 15 850mb: 4 250 1 4 161 -4 12 246 3 9 258 4 10 274 7 6 339 6 11 068 -3 ------ The criterion "mt. wave" windspeeds used for this site are: To have a mt. wave somewhere (indicated by "+" marks) (1) windspeed of 65 kt at 300 mb (approx. 31,000 ft) (2) windspeed of 20 kt at "ridgetop" level of 850 mb (approx. 5,000 ft) To have a mt. wave at designated ridge (indicated by "*" marks) (1) perpendicular wind of 46 kt at 300 mb (approx. 31,000 ft) (2) perpendicular wind of 14 kt at "ridgetop" level of 850 mb (approx. 5,000 ft) These criteria based on the those empirically developed for the Sierra wave by Doug Armstrong of the Reno NWS For a description of the forecast format and forecasts for other locations, see: http://www.drjack.info/WINDIP/ Please recognize that the utilized mt. wave criterion is simplistic while mt. wave behavior can be complex, so the simple yes/no program predictions cannot be expected to cover all mt. wave occurrences.