DrJack's WINDIP Upper-Air Wind Forecast for MOHAVE on FRI 02/03 ------ WS,WD,U(kt) SITE=kmhv METAR=kmhv RidgePerp.=320 Run:02/03@16:35Z-16:35Z RUC : 00=02/03:15Z 03=02/03:18Z 06=02/03:21Z 09=02/04: 0Z 12=02/04: 3Z 300mb: 23 332 23 23 313 23 24 309 24 22 314 22 22 314 22 700mb: 25 340 24 21 343 19 19 344 17 18 348 16 16 004 12 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- NAM : 00=02/03:12Z 12=02/04: 0Z 24=02/04:12Z 36=02/05: 0Z 48=02/05:12Z 300mb: 28 340 26 22 309 22 16 317 16 17 294 15 17 290 15 700mb: 15 322 15 14 347 12 9 340 8 7 020 4 3 347 3 GFS : 00=02/03:12Z 12=02/04: 0Z 24=02/04:12Z 36=02/05: 0Z 48=02/05:12Z 60=02/06: 0Z 72=02/06:12Z 300mb: 27 342 25 21 309 21 13 313 13 15 289 13 15 302 14 25 313 25 58 327 57 700mb: 22 321 22 12 336 12 6 333 6 7 009 5 7 336 7 7 331 7 9 292 8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GFS : 96=02/07: 0Z 120=02/08: 0Z 144=02/09: 0Z 168=02/10: 0Z 192=02/11: 0Z 216=02/12: 0Z 240=02/13: 0Z 300mb: 42 312 42 52 195 -30 47 017 25 56 340 53 48 278 36 46 284 37 28 301 27 700mb: 13 246 4 20 224 -2 16 066 -4 11 355 9 6 334 6 12 319 12 12 351 10 ------ The criterion "mt. wave" windspeeds used for this site are: To have a mt. wave somewhere (indicated by "+" marks) (1) windspeed of 65 kt at 300 mb (approx. 31,000 ft) (2) windspeed of 25 kt at "ridgetop" level of 700 mb (approx. 10,500 ft) To have a mt. wave at designated ridge (indicated by "*" marks) (1) perpendicular wind of 46 kt at 300 mb (approx. 31,000 ft) (2) perpendicular wind of 18 kt at "ridgetop" level of 700 mb (approx. 10,500 ft) These criteria based on the those empirically developed for the Sierra wave by Doug Armstrong of the Reno NWS For a description of the forecast format and forecasts for other locations, see: http://www.drjack.info/WINDIP/ Please recognize that the utilized mt. wave criterion is simplistic while mt. wave behavior can be complex, so the simple yes/no program predictions cannot be expected to cover all mt. wave occurrences.