DrJack's WINDIP Upper-Air Wind Forecast for MOHAVE on SUN 03/14 ALERT@ 00:*ruc 12:*ruc 240:*mrf ------ WS,WD,U(kt) SITE=kmhv METAR=kmhv RidgePerp.=320 Run:03/14@16:35Z-16:35Z RUC : 00=03/14:15Z 03=03/14:18Z 06=03/14:21Z 09=03/15: 0Z 12=03/15: 3Z 300mb: * 70 341 65 * 73 346 66 * 77 347 69 + 68 347 61 * 65 340 61 700mb: * 31 356 25 * 30 356 24 * 28 005 20 + 25 005 18 * 27 005 19 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- NAM : 00=03/14:12Z 12=03/15: 0Z 24=03/15:12Z 36=03/16: 0Z 48=03/16:12Z 300mb: 70 344 64 63 350 55 62 332 61 35 305 34 34 266 20 700mb: 18 346 16 19 353 16 13 024 6 8 002 6 4 082 -2 GFS : 00=03/14:12Z 12=03/15: 0Z 24=03/15:12Z 36=03/16: 0Z 48=03/16:12Z 60=03/17: 0Z 72=03/17:12Z 300mb: 67 342 62 63 345 57 59 329 58 37 287 31 49 269 31 46 238 6 46 241 9 700mb: 24 358 19 21 008 14 13 035 3 8 026 3 4 114 -4 4 187 -3 6 168 -5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GFS : 96=03/18: 0Z 120=03/19: 0Z 144=03/20: 0Z 168=03/21: 0Z 192=03/22: 0Z 216=03/23: 0Z 240=03/24: 0Z 300mb: 38 253 15 48 302 46 24 304 23 45 334 44 47 249 16 62 300 58 * 78 322 78 700mb: 3 255 1 8 340 8 4 208 -1 8 285 7 11 265 6 22 324 22 * 28 339 27 ------ The criterion "mt. wave" windspeeds used for this site are: To have a mt. wave somewhere (indicated by "+" marks) (1) windspeed of 65 kt at 300 mb (approx. 31,000 ft) (2) windspeed of 25 kt at "ridgetop" level of 700 mb (approx. 10,500 ft) To have a mt. wave at designated ridge (indicated by "*" marks) (1) perpendicular wind of 46 kt at 300 mb (approx. 31,000 ft) (2) perpendicular wind of 18 kt at "ridgetop" level of 700 mb (approx. 10,500 ft) These criteria based on the those empirically developed for the Sierra wave by Doug Armstrong of the Reno NWS For a description of the forecast format and forecasts for other locations, see: http://www.drjack.info/WINDIP/ Please recognize that the utilized mt. wave criterion is simplistic while mt. wave behavior can be complex, so the simple yes/no program predictions cannot be expected to cover all mt. wave occurrences.