DrJack's TIP (Thermal Index Prediction) for Jean, NV on FRI Feb 3
 
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****************** SUMMARY NUMBERS - based on NWS Tmax only *****************

AM Avg. TI HEIGHTS:  , ftMSL @TI=-4,0degF
AM Avg. Hcrit HGT :        ftMSL    (Max. _flat_terrain_ thermalling height)
AM HGT VARIABILITY:        ft       (from TI=0to+4degF)
AM Avg. Buoy/Shear:                 (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less)
AM Avg UPDRAFT W* :        fpm      (subtract glider sinkrate to get vario)
PM Avg HGT CHANGE :   ft @TI=+4degF
Tmax UNCERTAINTY  :   degF      (deviation of WxC Tmax from NWS forecast)
BL Max. Rel.Humid.:  AM= %   PM= %  
AM Extensive CLOUD:  Dif=  ft  LCL=  ftMSL  (if Dif>0, expect OD at LCL)
PM Extensive CLOUD:  Dif=  ft  LCL=  ftMSL  (if Dif>0, expect OD at LCL)
THUNDERSTORM CAPE :  AM=    PM=    (if CAPE>0, thunderstorms possible)
NOWXC24 AM HEIGHTS:  , ftMSL @TI=-4,0degF  &  Hcrit=       ftMSL
NOWXC24 PM  CHANGE:   ft @TI=+4
NOWXC48 AM HEIGHTS:  , ftMSL @TI=-4,0degF  &  Hcrit=       ftMSL
 
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***************** NEAREST NWS TAF FORECAST ************************************
***   description at http://www.awc-kc.noaa.gov/awc/help/taf-decode.html    ***
 
TAF KLAS 031720Z 0318/0418 34010G18KT P6SM SKC 
     FM032000 02010KT P6SM SKC 
     FM040300 34008KT P6SM SKC
 
 
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******************** THERMAL INDEX ANALYSES ***********************************

TODAY's MORNING MODEL ANALYSES at HND @ 02/03:12Z for Sfc= 2832 ftMSL
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NO MAPSanal+NWStmax TI - bad NWS temp prediction, Tmax=BadDay.
NO MAPSanal+WxCtmax TI - bad WxC temp prediction, Tmax=BadDay.
NO MAPSanal+AVGtmax TI - bad AVG temp prediction, Tmax=NoAvg.
NO ETAanal+NWStmax TI - bad NWS temp prediction, Tmax=BadDay.
NO ETAanal+WxCtmax TI - bad WxC temp prediction, Tmax=BadDay.
NO ETAanal+AVGtmax TI - bad AVG temp prediction, Tmax=NoAvg.

MAPS MODEL FORECAST TIs at HND for Sfc= 2832 ftMSL
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NO MAPSanal+Nonetmax TI - bad None temp prediction, Tmax=NoHr0Tavg.
NO MAPSpm+Nonetmax TI - no 12Z result available

ETA MODEL FORECAST TIs at HND for Sfc= 2832 ftMSL
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NO ETAanal+Nonetmax TI - bad None temp prediction, Tmax=NoHr0Tavg.
NO ETA12hr+Nonetmax TI - no 12Z result available
NO ETA24hr+noWxC24tmax TI - bad noWxC24 temp prediction, Tmax=noWxC24.
NO ETA36hr+noWxC24tmax TI - no 12Z result available
NO ETA48hr+noWxC48tmax TI - bad noWxC48 temp prediction, Tmax=noWxC48.
 
 

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******************** MISCELLANEOUS NOTES *************************************

Addtional local weather information is available at the Tmax data sites:
  http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=89019
  http://www.weather.com/weather/local/
and at the hourly data site:
  http://www.weather.com/weather/hourbyhour/89019

The latest TIP forecasts are also available on the web at: 
  http://www.drjack.info/TIP/index.html
The hourly-updated BLIP forecasts of thermal soaring parameters at
  specific locations for various times throughout the day are
  available on the web at: http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/index.html
The latest BLIPMAP area forecasts of thermal soaring parameters for
  the current day over CA/NV are available on the web at:
  http://www.drjack.info/BLIPMAP/index.html