RASP News:
July 1:
Cloud composite plot change:
The "Cumulus Cloudbase for Cu Potential > 0" was often missing small
regions where the Cu potential was in fact greater than zero.
That has now been altered to "raster" plotting, which will ensure that
all locations with a positive Cu potential will be displayed.
Dec 10, 2005:
Plot "frame" change:
RASP plots contain a dashed line "frame" indicating an outer zone of
decreased confidence resulting from mismatches between the coarse and
fine nested grids near the boundary. A recent WRF model
alteration doubled the width of the smoothed zone near the boundary so
the "frame" border has been increased to reflect that change.
Nov 6:
Cloud Parameter Changes:
I've altered the cloud parameters by removing the previous
"OvercastDevelopment" parameters and replacing them with forecasts for
"Extensive CloudBase" and "BL Cloud Cover". "Extensive
CloudBase" is a replacement for "OvercastDevelopment", based on a
model-predicted cloud water prediction. "BL Cloud Cover" is
based upon the relative humidity in the BL and while overly simplistic
can still be useful.
Nov 2:
World-wide accuracy improvement:
Finally - after beating my head against mysteries with few clues for
the past three days, I figured how to to uncompress the new "GRIB2"
files produced by NCEP's GFS (Global Forecast System), allowing use of
GFS predictions at 0.5x0.5 degree resolution (about 50km) to
initialize the non-US forecasts (I've been using GRIB1 files with
100km resolution). So I've now changed to their use for the
SW_SOUTHAFRICA and GREATBRITAIN runs, which should result in improved
accuracy of larger-scale (non-terrain-generated) features such as the
position/movement of fronts and upper-level clouds.
Oct 30:
Meteorological model updated:
Today I upgraded my WRF meteorological model to the latest version
available, which has several bug fixes and in particular should reduce
boundary matching problems (which are occasionally apparent in the
region between the domain boundary and the dashed-line "frame").
After correcting some problems I believe I now have it working
properly, but will keep an closer-than-usual eye on the processing for
the next day.
Oct 12:
New viewer:
As an alternative to selecting forecast BLIPMAPs from the "index
page", a RASP
UniViewer is now available. Some will find this more
convenient to use and it can display forecasts for multiple times
during the day, but it does assume basic BLIPMAP knowledge provided on
the index page so is intended for experienced RASP users. On startup
it displays the current forecast for the parameters utilized for the
last forecast viewed.
Sept 29:
File renaming:
To allow for possible future production of forecasts further than one
day ahead, today I altered all filenames to include a day identifier,
i.e. "curr" to indicate the current day. This required changes
to the processing programs, the web viewing files, the saved files,
etc. so there are many possibilies for error. I have found no
problems in my post-testing, but if you experience a consistent
problem trying to view a forecast please let me know so that I can
investigate.
Sept 12:
Combined Thermal Updraft and B/S Ratio plot:
A new plot overlays color contours of Thermal Updraft Velocity with
black stippling representing two Buoyancy/Shear Ratio ranges: heavy
stippling for 0-4 and light for 4-7. So a user's evalution of
thermal velocities can be tempered when those thermals are likely to
be broken up by strong windshear.
Sept 2:
Alteration Update:
I think I've found and fixed all the errors introduced by yesterday's
program alterations. I had to re-start the Great Britain
forecasts, which will appear around 2 hours late today. The
other regional forecasts should appear as usual.
Sept 1:
Major alterations:
To allow more flexible future growth I've had to make major changes in
the plotting program and how it interacts with the forecasting
program, and also some minor changes in the on-line webpages.
While I've tested everything individually, the changes were complex so
it will be a miracle if this all works together and I expect forecasts
to be down for awhile. Afterward things should appear
essentially the same from a user perspective - almost all the changes
are behind the scenes.
Aug 16:
BL Top Uncertainty/Variability Criterion Reduced:
I've changed the criterion used for the BL Top Uncertainty/Variability
parameter from 4degF to 1degC (1.8degF) so that the estimates will be
closer to the average uncertainty/variability rather than a maximum
uncertainty/variability. So values should now be approximately
half of what they were previously.
Aug 15:
Simplified Cloudbase prediction plots:
I've created two new RASP plots to simplify cloubase predictions -
they depict Cu and OD (spreadout) cloudbase only for those locations
where the associated potential is positive. (This assumes that
the theoretical criterion truly represents conditions under which such
clouds do/don't form - locations where other criterion values have
been empirically found to produce better results will have to use the
traditional Cu/OD potential and cloudbase plots.)
ARCHIVE of
older news items which have now lost much relevance
I only look at the webpages and maps that I use personally or that I
suspect might contain an error. If you notice a consistent
problem with a webpage or map, please post a message on the
RASP Forum.