DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.2 - - 78.4 - - 80.2 - - 74.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 335 - - 378 - - 198 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4101 - - 7565 - - 8306 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2881 - - 5663 - - 5874 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4207 - - 7671 - - 8412 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2985 - - 1970 - - 2091 - - 8975 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 450 - - 575 - - 481 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 25 - - 53 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 358 - - 302 - - 012 - - 105 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -19 - - -17 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3605 - - -2501 - - -2447 - - -9035 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7813 - - 10172 - - 10859 - - 9158 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7272 - - -6063 - - -5159 - - -12335 ODpotential blCL - - - 11479 - - 13734 - - 13571 - - 12457 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 85 - - 79 - - 22 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.2 - - 78.4 - - 80.2 - - 74.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.3 - - 33.8 - - 32.4 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.2 - - 76.1 - - 78.7 - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.4 - - 32.8 - - 31.4 - - 33.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 335 - - 378 - - 198 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4101 - - 7565 - - 8306 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 40 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97817 5 233 9 302 1 076 8 322 97817 90411 6 280 5 237 4 286 9 300 90411 84746 3 057 5 197 6 271 5 336 84746 80061 5 120 2 223 6 304 4 074 80061 76006 4 128 3 140 4 300 5 100 76006 72408 2 286 2 068 2 247 2 166 72408 69146 4 204 4 267 5 268 3 328 69146 66128 3 223 4 247 9 244 7 293 66128 63314 6 262 3 261 11 235 10 272 63314 60578 13 268 7 263 8 257 8 253 60578 57715 18 287 15 292 11 293 10 289 57715 54750 21 285 21 296 15 316 13 330 54750 51925 19 294 22 295 21 312 16 326 51925 49392 19 314 21 309 21 318 22 336 49392 47133 26 326 27 323 25 325 27 335 47133 45095 33 323 31 330 28 328 33 341 45095 43240 33 326 36 322 30 332 28 344 43240 41539 36 329 32 319 33 336 39 359 41539 39971 39 332 33 331 38 342 41 360 39971 38517 46 334 40 334 39 340 44 014 38517 37158 53 335 43 329 36 344 51 020 37158 35853 56 334 43 326 35 341 51 021 35853 34530 55 333 44 323 30 333 49 023 34530 33154 52 334 41 320 25 343 49 024 33154 31726 48 335 37 315 27 352 47 024 31726 30228 43 339 34 313 27 351 46 023 30228 28648 41 342 32 316 27 350 43 021 28648 26984 41 342 33 318 27 345 40 019 26984 25233 41 342 34 322 28 338 36 019 25233 23397 41 342 33 327 30 336 34 021 23397 21476 39 345 29 331 30 336 32 025 21476 19462 35 351 25 331 27 338 27 024 19462 17355 32 354 22 331 23 340 22 006 17355 15209 29 354 21 332 18 339 21 350 15209 13147 24 356 18 342 12 348 12 002 13147 11279 17 359 13 344 10 359 11 036 11279 9624 12 352 11 323 7*316 8 024 9624 8154 10 332 10*294 5*307 5 358 8154 6847 10 319 9*292 5 307 4 351 6847 5685 8 318 8 292 4 311 3 360 5685 4655 6*336 7 295 2 350 3 034 4655 3748 5*352 4 304 2 048 3 066 3748 2946 5 356 3 313 3 068 4 083 2946 2230 5 357 2 323 3 076 4 091 2230 1597 5 359 2 335 4 082 5 097 1597 1070 5 359 1 345 4 085 5 100 1070 666 4 000 1 358 4 087 6 102 666 387 4 001 1 004 4 087 6 103 387 219 4 000 1 009 4 087 5 104 219 122 4 002 1 010 4 089 4*105 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography