DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.3 - - 67.4 - - 64.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 167 - - 18 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2361 - - 1553 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2695 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3798 - - 2990 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1966 - - 2144 - - 2788 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 311 - - 139 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 152 - - 188 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 10 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 859 - - 858 - - -220 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2939 - - 2132 - - 1514 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 318 - - 172 - - -1090 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3480 - - 2818 - - 2384 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 100 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 900 - - 930 - - 580 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.3 - - 67.4 - - 64.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.5 - - 62.2 - - 61.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.2 - - 67.2 - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.3 - - 61.5 - - 61.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 167 - - 18 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2361 - - 1553 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 78 - - 102 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98018 6 081 12 107 8 151 98018 90561 9 154 6 016 9 098 90561 84842 7 140 7 327 13 055 84842 80108 6 030 5 004 13 030 80108 76042 10 038 5 066 11 012 76042 72468 12 057 5 074 7 351 72468 69238 9 044 7 036 6 010 69238 66265 8 039 6 344 10 339 66265 63512 7 025 5 352 8 308 63512 60858 5 314 5 323 7 302 60858 58090 9 298 5 273 5 281 58090 55205 12 262 13 271 10 280 55205 52440 11 233 14 252 16 255 52440 49945 10 220 11 237 13 246 49945 47703 13 241 11 244 10 260 47703 45666 17 233 14 236 11 244 45666 43802 17 216 15 231 7 224 43802 42081 17 214 16 248 7 278 42081 40479 19 224 19 252 15 280 40479 38988 20 215 17 240 18 268 38988 37595 19 191 18 220 19 255 37595 36260 20 180 18 206 17 241 36260 34911 25 174 24 175 17 225 34911 33520 26 171 27 177 18 199 33520 32088 28 175 36 177 21 187 32088 30597 28 179 35 175 20 183 30597 29031 28 181 29 177 19 186 29031 27387 29 183 24 177 16 186 27387 25666 28 190 19 178 12 201 25666 23868 26 201 19 183 11 208 23868 21998 25 200 17 202 8 201 21998 20051 23 196 16 194 6 188 20051 18022 20 189 15 186 6 189 18022 15956 18 183 18 189 6 192 15956 13965 18 182 21 185 7 201 13965 12154 19 176 21 171 8 195 12154 10545 17 179 20 170 9 183 10545 9117 15 188 17 176 10 177 9117 7849 15 189 14 180 10 178 7849 6722 15 189 12 181 9 181 6722 5722 13 190 10 187 8 185 5722 4840 11 188 9 194 7 196 4840 4059 9*178 8 192 6 204 4059 3361 8*164 8*188 6 202 3361 2741 8 155 8*187 6 189 2741 2225 8 151 8 187 6 168 2225 1828 8 148 7 187 6 150 1828 1554 8 146 7 188 6 142 1554 1388 7 147 6 190 5*137 1388 1293 6 148 5 189 4*135 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography