DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.6 - - 95.3 - - 88.6 - - 82.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 238 - - 205 - - 0 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2210 - - 2182 - - 766 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1929 - - 1859 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2870 - - 2842 - - 1426 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2213 - - 3127 - - 1153 - - 710 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 338 - - 321 - - 74 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 17 - - 20 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 188 - - 186 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -5 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4312 - - -3077 - - -2085 - - -1604 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7183 - - 5919 - - 3512 - - 2349 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6930 - - -6015 - - -6299 - - -7826 ODpotential blCL - - - 9800 - - 8857 - - 7725 - - 8570 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 78 - - 71 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 3090 - - 4650 - - 5350 - - 4340 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.6 - - 95.3 - - 88.6 - - 82.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.4 - - 71.4 - - 74.9 - - 73.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 94.0 - - 93.9 - - 88.6 - - 84.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.6 - - 70.8 - - 74.7 - - 73.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 238 - - 205 - - 0 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2210 - - 2182 - - 766 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 16 - - 19 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97924 9 231 8 237 8 306 8 264 97924 90495 11 195 11 263 12 299 10 353 90495 84798 6 153 5 275 4 307 6 329 84798 80084 5 095 3 117 2 052 4 029 80084 76022 10 072 13 109 5 097 9 054 76022 72435 12 057 18 106 10 137 4 065 72435 69203 7 060 12 090 14 107 11 109 69203 66249 4 163 4 094 6 108 7 115 66249 63508 16 197 5 153 4 140 9 105 63508 60862 19 205 28 235 28 248 22 265 60862 58124 26 226 30 224 29 236 31 257 58124 55289 26 268 33 263 37 266 36 259 55289 52610 48 269 66 261 54 264 51 264 52610 50228 51 264 57 258 52 261 61 270 50228 48104 51 276 54 276 59 274 71 274 48104 46174 69 286 66 285 73 279 77 274 46174 44397 87 285 74 282 79 277 80 270 44397 42746 94 282 83 278 83 273 78 264 42746 41201 91 283 85 276 84 271 77 262 41201 39743 85 284 80 277 78 269 80 265 39743 38361 79 285 75 278 73 270 80 267 38361 37019 74 287 72 277 71 271 73 266 37019 35651 67 287 70 276 68 271 67 265 35651 34229 59 284 64 274 63 272 63 268 34229 32756 56 278 54 272 57 273 60 273 32756 31219 56 271 48 268 50 268 53 274 31219 29603 56 266 49 266 49 260 42 270 29603 27910 55 265 48 266 45 258 37 265 27910 26139 53 274 46 275 39 258 38 260 26139 24289 48 283 49 279 35 260 37 256 24289 22364 46 289 45 283 38 264 38 261 22364 20366 43 285 36 287 40 265 46 267 20366 18287 41 277 34 281 36 261 44 258 18287 16162 43 270 33 269 29 251 40 247 16162 14102 38 260 32 263 30 249 38 243 14102 12218 30 242 32 255 27 248 36 241 12218 10535 27 236 34 251 24 253 36 247 10535 9033 22 244 31 249 24 255 34 249 9033 7693 17 245 23 251 24 251 31 247 7693 6498 16 253 16 255 24 247 28 239 6498 5437 17 264 14 257 26 242 25 232 5437 4499 18 275 12 251 26 235 23 224 4499 3669 17 276 12 233 26 228 23 216 3669 2925 14*264 15*205 25 216 33 206 2925 2270 12*231 17*191 28 196 38 195 2270 1724 12 227 17 188 27*190 36 188 1724 1305 12 224 17 187 24*188 32 184 1305 1017 12 221 17 187 21 186 23 181 1017 844 11 221 16 186 19 186 20*180 844 744 10 220 14 186 14 185 12*179 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography