DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.5 - - 44.6 - - 43.5 - - 35.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 183 - - 277 - - 199 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2809 - - 6075 - - 4021 - - 1264 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10680 - - 13345 - - 11592 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11819 - - 15085 - - 13031 - - 10274 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2824 - - 2789 - - 3592 - - 1799 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 354 - - 521 - - 402 - - 63 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 18 - - 17 - - 24 BL Wind Direction - - - 005 - - 337 - - 327 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 3 - - 2 - - 19 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -38 - - -33 - - -34 - - -35 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3801 - - 5774 - - 4194 - - 3113 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8018 - - 9311 - - 8837 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 98 - - 1154 - - -5 - - -778 ODpotential blCL - - - 11721 - - 13931 - - 13036 - - 11052 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 88 - - 76 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 300 - - 170 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.5 - - 44.6 - - 43.5 - - 35.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.1 - - 28.5 - - 29.5 - - 30.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.2 - - 46.6 - - 46.0 - - 40.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.0 - - 27.3 - - 28.7 - - 29.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 183 - - 277 - - 199 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2809 - - 6075 - - 4021 - - 1264 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 96 - - 54 - - 5 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97778 7 161 3 160 2 143 8 196 97778 90422 9 124 5 156 6 172 5 072 90422 84792 9 120 7 129 5 123 10 046 84792 80109 4 107 10 105 4 185 5 053 80109 76058 8 181 6 136 8 198 4 236 76058 72472 8 192 4 118 7 177 5 214 72472 69216 8 190 5 262 3 201 4 196 69216 66204 9 158 11 237 2 264 5 157 66204 63378 8 199 14 225 11 262 4 307 63378 60614 13 212 18 194 20 219 13 236 60614 57717 15 217 16 175 20 195 16 215 57717 54695 18 217 17 201 19 210 18 221 54695 51809 18 216 17 206 16 224 14 229 51809 49220 19 231 13 236 13 231 14 221 49220 46907 16 236 14 255 11 248 11 226 46907 44820 13 244 15 258 12 268 7 230 44820 42914 12 245 17 258 13 282 3 352 42914 41160 10 250 12 254 11 279 16 344 41160 39543 8 265 9 286 12 309 19 331 39543 38051 6 300 10 308 15 318 18 328 38051 36674 5 322 10 337 14 332 19 335 36674 35381 11 355 18 347 20 349 25 344 35381 34111 22 004 26 348 33 355 31 346 34111 32832 31 005 40 355 42 358 34 345 32832 31540 36 004 47 356 43 357 33 343 31540 30221 28 360 43 354 40 356 32 344 30221 28867 17 026 30 347 31 353 31 344 28867 27483 21 358 14 345 23 351 29 341 27483 26069 25 341 14 357 17 355 26 335 26069 24632 23 342 14 356 15 002 22 330 24632 23174 20 346 11 005 16 003 17 323 23174 21691 14 346 9 012 16 360 12 302 21691 20176 10 339 6 350 16 355 8 288 20176 18655 10 349 5 331 16 351 8 294 18655 17199 11 001 3 343 13 347 9 294 17199 15875 13 007 4*348 8 333 9 293 15875 14690 15 014 8*344 7 323 9 303 14690 13622 17 019 13 343 8*324 10 319 13622 12654 20*023 18 341 9*328 13 334 12654 11776 23*022 21 338 11 330 18 340 11776 10979 25 017 21 337 14 330 22*339 10979 10260 26 011 21 336 18 329 25*336 10260 9609 26 004 21 335 20 327 28 333 9609 9012 26 360 21 335 21 325 28 332 9012 8472 25 358 21 335 21 325 27 331 8472 8013 24 356 20 335 21 324 24 330 8013 7654 22 355 18 334 20 324 20 329 7654 7404 20 353 17 334 19 323 15 328 7404 7250 17 352 15 334 16 323 12 327 7250 7161 11 351 10 333 11 323 6 326 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography