DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/01 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 76.9 - - 80.4 - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 117 - - 197 - - 107 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 958 - - 2406 - - 3530 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 1939 - - 2464 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1553 - - 3001 - - 4125 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 354 - - 1415 - - 3344 - - 5747 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 203 - - 327 - - 309 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 22 - - 29 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 124 - - 130 - - 001 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5788 - - -3389 - - -2156 - - -4440 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7341 - - 6390 - - 6282 - - 5016 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13619 - - -7267 - - -4565 - - -6661 ODpotential blCL - - - 15172 - - 10268 - - 8690 - - 7237 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 64 - - 62 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 76.9 - - 80.4 - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.4 - - 50.9 - - 54.8 - - 57.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.5 - - 75.6 - - 79.7 - - 79.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.2 - - 49.6 - - 53.5 - - 56.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 117 - - 197 - - 107 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 958 - - 2406 - - 3530 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98769 22 119 14 099 11 140 2 206 98769 91253 11 138 11 126 13 142 9 246 91253 85449 6 156 11 176 2 159 7 114 85449 80625 2 135 5 156 10 246 9 038 80625 76472 1 341 3 257 0 267 3 265 76472 72793 6 052 1 002 4 026 1 200 72793 69465 7 029 10 001 12 347 13 043 69465 66433 9 049 7 344 12 314 15 000 66433 63652 15 023 7 033 6 286 15 303 63652 60968 19 006 17 024 9 015 12 329 60968 58179 23 338 18 345 17 356 18 338 58179 55300 27 332 22 326 22 335 24 330 55300 52556 39 340 30 334 28 333 27 322 52556 50082 42 333 33 335 30 333 26 328 50082 47861 38 329 34 339 31 340 32 339 47861 45848 41 324 40 330 38 337 39 341 45848 44011 43 314 47 315 43 329 44 346 44011 42318 37 322 43 313 40 335 45 349 42318 40747 39 343 38 329 43 344 44 355 40747 39281 42 351 39 341 40 342 43 357 39281 37905 44 002 37 350 37 345 45 359 37905 36576 51 011 40 004 37 353 49 000 36576 35224 54 009 44 010 38 357 49 359 35224 33813 49 000 44 008 37 357 47 358 33813 32350 43 357 42 002 34 358 39 351 32350 30819 38 359 39 354 33 001 33 344 30819 29210 37 358 36 346 33 359 31 341 29210 27520 37 355 35 345 33 351 30 343 27520 25748 37 352 36 346 32 346 30 343 25748 23894 35 350 34 347 31 345 28 341 23894 21963 33 347 33 344 30 344 25 341 21963 19951 32 345 30 343 30 342 26 344 19951 17852 31 342 25 338 26 338 26 343 17852 15710 29 333 24 331 24 334 25 342 15710 13647 27 327 23 328 20 336 21 343 13647 11773 24 325 21 327 18 336 17 343 11773 10110 19 325 19 330 18 330 16 333 10110 8635 15 331 16 321 18 317 16 318 8635 7327 12 324 13 308 17 300 16 303 7327 6164 13 318 12 308 13 285 13 282 6164 5132 13 317 11 306 10 275 10 278 5132 4222 12 311 8 286 6*273 8 287 4222 3417 10 298 4*250 3*286 4 341 3417 2698 7 278 2*153 2 344 4 018 2698 2061 4*203 3 137 2 006 5 026 2061 1531 7*127 3 129 2 016 6 030 1531 1123 7 124 3 121 3 022 6 032 1123 842 7 124 3 116 3 025 6 032 842 672 7 123 3 115 3 024 6*033 672 575 6 122 3 112 2 027 4*034 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography