DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 70.1 - - 70.0 - - 62.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 546 - - 559 - - 240 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9164 - - 9860 - - 9517 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11905 - - 12489 - - 11733 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13992 - - 14688 - - 14345 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1354 - - 955 - - 1077 - - 9557 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 714 - - 737 - - 550 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 14 - - 13 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 291 - - 289 - - 301 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -16 - - -19 - - -21 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -22 - - -1991 - - -1546 - - -10569 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14014 - - 16679 - - 15891 - - 14944 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6983 - - -6932 - - -6469 - - -16844 ODpotential blCL - - - 20975 - - 21620 - - 20814 - - 21218 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 48 - - 46 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 70.1 - - 70.0 - - 62.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.0 - - 10.9 - - 14.6 - - 12.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.2 - - 68.1 - - 69.5 - - 65.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.5 - - 10.2 - - 14.1 - - 11.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 546 - - 559 - - 240 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9164 - - 9860 - - 9517 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97856 10 158 15 213 21 269 17 315 97856 90448 7 200 8 254 6 238 8 282 90448 84764 7 280 4 253 3 022 4 194 84764 80063 8 230 6 219 4 339 2 002 80063 76006 1 121 11 188 5 246 7 316 76006 72407 1 076 7 120 10 196 6 298 72407 69149 4 173 6 081 8 168 7 234 69149 66169 4 229 2 193 2 168 6 188 66169 63410 14 208 8 224 8 237 9 251 63410 60728 12 197 16 195 16 204 16 208 60728 57919 21 238 19 230 23 235 19 252 57919 54985 23 221 28 227 32 234 28 247 54985 52173 22 232 30 248 33 248 33 253 52173 49646 43 252 41 255 45 258 44 259 49646 47392 54 254 52 259 55 260 53 260 47392 45356 59 258 66 260 66 261 63 260 45356 43505 70 260 78 259 76 259 75 257 43505 41810 83 260 84 259 84 258 87 254 41810 40243 95 260 89 261 86 257 92 253 40243 38782 103 259 95 262 88 257 92 253 38782 37414 106 257 98 261 87 258 90 254 37414 36109 107 257 97 261 88 258 86 254 36109 34805 103 259 91 263 83 261 78 255 34805 33471 96 260 83 264 71 264 74 261 33471 32104 93 262 80 265 65 267 70 266 32104 30691 93 263 78 267 64 270 64 267 30691 29223 91 264 76 269 64 271 59 267 29223 27702 87 266 74 269 63 273 56 268 27702 26126 83 266 74 269 62 274 55 269 26126 24500 78 267 71 271 61 274 53 271 24500 22827 75 269 67 271 59 276 50 275 22827 21101 72 275 64 269 55 278 46 280 21101 19320 68 287 57 274 50 279 41 286 19320 17520 53 291 45 291 40 283 32 291 17520 15798 33 295 31*294 26*288 22 291 15798 14239 22*299 15*287 13*292 9 266 14239 12849 15*294 15 288 12 296 4 280 12849 11604 15 294 15 288 13 298 5 331 11604 10483 15 293 15 289 13 301 7 341 10483 9474 15 292 15 290 13 302 9 337 9474 8568 15 292 14 290 14 304 10 333 8568 7757 15 290 14 290 14 305 11 329 7757 7030 14 289 14 290 14 305 12 325 7030 6371 14 288 14 290 14 305 12 323 6371 5781 14 287 13 290 14 305 13 320 5781 5283 14 286 13 289 14 305 13 318 5283 4897 13 286 13 289 14 304 12 314 4897 4630 13 285 12 288 13 304 10 311 4630 4467 12 284 12 288 12 304 9*310 4467 4373 11 284 10 287 11 304 5*311 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography