DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.4 - - 47.4 - - 51.0 - - 45.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 124 - - 170 - - 91 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 2532 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5245 - - 6472 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5262 - - 7593 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4140 - - 2439 - - 6295 - - 3972 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 126 - - 326 - - 114 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 11 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 113 - - 315 - - 301 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -16 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -303 - - 1497 - - -1925 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5566 - - 6097 - - 7188 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1216 - - 160 - - -2997 - - -1810 ODpotential blCL - - - 6478 - - 7433 - - 8259 - - 7072 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 96 - - 88 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 410 - - 490 - - 460 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.4 - - 47.4 - - 51.0 - - 45.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.1 - - 38.7 - - 37.5 - - 41.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.2 - - 45.8 - - 49.8 - - 45.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 37.5 - - 36.7 - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 124 - - 170 - - 91 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 2532 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 82 - - 83 - - 51 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97749 8 180 6 207 6 172 6 165 97749 90407 9 129 7 115 4 170 5 093 90407 84791 8 108 4 132 1 282 10 033 84791 80124 2 023 2 159 1 228 8 358 80124 76083 6 222 3 151 4 240 2 328 76083 72486 7 183 6 156 7 212 6 233 72486 69222 8 221 0 057 5 176 7 210 69222 66213 12 196 7 235 6 193 6 163 66213 63393 7 184 11 228 7 249 6 096 63393 60629 16 203 24 206 20 224 15 246 60629 57734 16 196 21 194 23 200 21 216 57734 54719 15 214 19 195 23 205 21 220 54719 51835 23 224 20 213 19 217 18 213 51835 49244 24 223 19 227 15 223 14 210 49244 46935 21 228 16 239 11 240 12 224 46935 44845 18 227 16 237 12 260 10 231 44845 42932 16 231 16 240 15 270 10 277 42932 41172 15 232 14 250 17 271 9 286 41172 39543 12 224 14 262 12 266 6 307 39543 38032 7 214 8 271 8 313 13 333 38032 36636 4 325 10 326 16 329 18 326 36636 35320 8 334 12 308 21 332 22 333 35320 34021 6 320 15 346 18 340 29 341 34021 32714 16 359 24 000 25 011 31 338 32714 31395 20 350 31 353 30 353 31 342 31395 30042 18 006 21 340 19 341 28 343 30042 28644 22 019 20 346 15 333 23 334 28644 27204 24 017 19 348 16 329 14 309 27204 25722 26 013 20 005 16 333 9 290 25722 24200 28 008 23 005 15 333 8 318 24200 22639 29 000 24 002 14 343 10 333 22639 21035 25 000 23 357 14 347 12 336 21035 19379 22 357 24 351 13 346 13 335 19379 17703 21 354 22 353 13 346 14 336 17703 16095 18 359 22 358 14 335 15 338 16095 14629 17 007 20 003 16 322 15 335 14629 13319 18 011 19 013 17 319 15 332 13319 12145 18 008 18 015 17 322 15 332 12145 11087 15 007 16 010 17 327 16 333 11087 10133 11 010 15 002 17 329 16 333 10133 9275 9 019 15 354 15 329 17 332 9275 8505 6 036 14 347 12 326 17 330 8505 7813 4 064 12*335 10 317 17 327 7813 7183 4 094 11*323 9 309 16 324 7183 6618 4 103 11 316 9 305 14 318 6618 6139 4 107 11 314 9 304 13 307 6139 5768 3 110 11 313 8 302 11 292 5768 5510 3 112 11 313 8 301 9 274 5510 5353 3*111 10 312 8*301 7*265 5353 5262 3*113 9 312 7*301 5*258 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography