DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.4 - - 69.2 - - 67.3 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 379 - - 476 - - 258 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4308 - - 6623 - - 4613 - - 320 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5320 - - 7248 - - 5401 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6630 - - 8945 - - 6935 - - 2642 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1905 - - 1325 - - 2298 - - 781 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 484 - - 603 - - 436 - - 56 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 18 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 009 - - 349 - - 355 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 6 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 16 - - 4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1419 - - -1013 - - -1147 - - -2039 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8049 - - 9958 - - 8082 - - 4681 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5828 - - -5996 - - -4027 - - -5446 ODpotential blCL - - - 12458 - - 14941 - - 10962 - - 8088 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 56 - - 79 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.4 - - 69.2 - - 67.3 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.3 - - 33.4 - - 40.0 - - 44.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.2 - - 66.6 - - 65.6 - - 56.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.6 - - 32.4 - - 39.5 - - 44.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 379 - - 476 - - 258 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4308 - - 6623 - - 4613 - - 320 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97813 6 275 5 306 3 318 14 285 97813 90410 2 251 7 236 8 289 13 304 90410 84746 3 266 5 228 8 284 8 338 84746 80044 4 146 2 250 4 251 2 126 80044 75979 7 131 4 217 5 225 2 076 75979 72384 1 182 3 174 4 159 3 096 72384 69123 3 260 1 310 4 345 5 102 69123 66110 4 198 6 201 10 269 9 291 66110 63316 7 264 2 240 10 246 14 277 63316 60608 15 258 10 280 12 255 13 270 60608 57774 21 266 18 286 13 281 9 271 57774 54819 21 278 20 278 17 289 11 295 54819 51993 21 286 22 280 21 293 19 308 51993 49466 23 291 25 286 24 296 25 307 49466 47220 28 298 29 291 26 294 24 300 47220 45187 32 302 31 297 27 296 24 307 45187 43330 35 303 34 296 32 303 29 313 43330 41627 35 300 34 296 36 305 28 313 41627 40055 37 305 37 301 38 304 31 315 40055 38598 40 312 38 303 39 299 34 308 38598 37242 43 317 37 306 39 300 35 299 37242 35945 47 318 36 311 37 306 35 296 35945 34637 50 317 37 319 37 310 33 297 34637 33289 49 319 38 320 35 306 31 301 33289 31898 45 319 38 319 39 305 31 302 31898 30448 42 318 36 320 41 303 32 302 30448 28929 40 318 35 321 39 301 32 308 28929 27345 38 320 34 321 37 301 32 314 27345 25693 36 326 32 322 35 303 31 313 25693 23974 36 334 31 329 30 310 31 318 23974 22190 34 340 32 339 26 326 27 325 22190 20334 31 344 31 345 24 339 24 327 20334 18400 32 349 28 349 23 340 22 325 18400 16428 32 352 28 355 22 343 21 329 16428 14527 29 353 26 358 19 351 19 340 14527 12800 25 353 21 358 16 358 15 353 12800 11265 21 354 16 355 13 357 10 004 11265 9902 17 357 9*353 8 357 7 011 9902 8687 12 347 6*351 6 018 6 015 8687 7606 8*338 5 351 7*024 6 021 7606 6644 5*359 6 351 7*021 8 025 6644 5792 5 009 6 350 8 015 9 020 5792 5036 5 012 6 349 9 001 10 010 5036 4356 6 013 7 349 10 355 12 356 4356 3752 6 011 7 348 11 347 14 341 3752 3247 6 010 7 347 12 345 16 327 3247 2859 5 007 7 347 12 343 15*322 2859 2593 5 007 7 347 11 342 13*321 2593 2431 5 006 7 347 11 342 12 321 2431 2338 5 005 6 347 9 342 8 320 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography