DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.3 - - 70.6 - - 66.5 - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 269 - - 335 - - 170 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1417 - - 3234 - - 1603 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1431 - - 2840 - - 1403 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2130 - - 3947 - - 2316 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1267 - - 3649 - - 1685 - - 1158 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 297 - - 422 - - 267 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 284 - - 282 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -6 - - -5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2798 - - -2871 - - -3182 - - -2165 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4928 - - 6818 - - 5499 - - 2894 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5008 - - -5807 - - -6306 - - -6692 ODpotential blCL - - - 7138 - - 9754 - - 8622 - - 7421 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 75 - - 81 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.3 - - 70.6 - - 66.5 - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.5 - - 43.2 - - 45.1 - - 47.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.8 - - 68.6 - - 65.4 - - 58.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 42.0 - - 44.3 - - 47.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 269 - - 335 - - 170 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1417 - - 3234 - - 1603 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 24 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97807 8 261 11 298 7 274 17 291 97807 90405 3 277 5 185 7 245 10 291 90405 84747 2 081 5 189 5 266 2 053 84747 80052 5 120 6 197 5 283 4 060 80052 75997 3 157 2 222 1 020 5 140 75997 72405 4 157 2 249 1 302 4 090 72405 69137 3 221 1 169 4 261 5 003 69137 66117 6 216 3 226 12 235 12 286 66117 63313 7 257 4 269 9 228 12 260 63313 60591 13 262 11 262 9 284 8 255 60591 57741 16 281 12 278 11 296 6 306 57741 54784 18 283 19 293 15 297 14 305 54784 51968 18 291 23 296 19 299 18 312 51968 49441 20 302 24 301 22 310 20 310 49441 47185 27 315 26 309 26 314 22 329 47185 45147 32 318 29 309 30 321 32 331 45147 43292 35 320 34 310 36 316 30 338 43292 41590 39 323 37 310 31 318 30 338 41590 40020 39 322 36 312 34 316 31 351 40020 38562 39 323 34 316 36 313 33 355 38562 37200 41 328 38 327 37 310 33 359 37200 35890 46 331 42 329 37 307 31 360 35890 34563 49 332 44 328 36 307 29 354 34563 33189 49 333 43 325 37 311 28 351 33189 31768 47 334 39 318 37 312 27 347 31768 30283 44 334 39 317 34 310 26 349 30283 28720 40 336 37 318 36 310 27 349 28720 27078 38 338 35 318 37 312 27 349 27078 25353 36 341 33 318 33 314 27 349 25353 23547 37 346 32 325 31 319 27 349 23547 21661 38 350 33 339 30 328 27 347 21661 19691 35 354 31 344 29 329 26 342 19691 17631 32 356 27 344 26 327 22 336 17631 15527 31 356 25 352 22 328 20 336 15527 13500 26 356 21 357 18 343 17 342 13500 11658 20 001 15 358 14 354 13 348 11658 10026 14 004 9 356 10 353 9 002 10026 8579 12 360 6 343 6 348 7 012 8579 7294 10 356 8 324 5 342 6 011 7294 6155 6 000 7 316 7 320 5 004 6155 5146 4 020 6 306 7 308 5 342 5146 4258 4 026 6*298 7 304 6 307 4258 3475 4 012 6*292 8 299 9 286 3475 2775 3 352 8 286 10*291 12 282 2775 2159 3*279 9 284 11*286 13 282 2159 1646 4*261 10 282 12 283 12 276 1646 1255 4 257 10 281 12 281 10 268 1255 985 4 255 10 280 11 280 9 265 985 822 4 255 9 280 11 280 8*264 822 729 4 254 8 280 9 279 5*262 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography