DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.8 - - 89.5 - - 88.0 - - 74.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 568 - - 489 - - 113 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6532 - - 11491 - - 12195 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9795 - - 13797 - - 13231 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11381 - - 16340 - - 17044 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2703 - - 4222 - - 3222 - - 230 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 650 - - 746 - - 468 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 24 - - 24 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 243 - - 240 - - 241 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 19 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -21 - - -5 - - -26 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7562 - - -3980 - - -2900 - - -11270 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18944 - - 20321 - - 19945 - - 16426 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11060 - - -5257 - - -5546 - - -15960 ODpotential blCL - - - 22441 - - 21597 - - 22590 - - 21115 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 76 - - 65 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.8 - - 89.5 - - 88.0 - - 74.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.4 - - 16.3 - - 16.9 - - 21.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.6 - - 86.5 - - 87.1 - - 79.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.3 - - 16.1 - - 16.9 - - 21.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 568 - - 489 - - 113 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6532 - - 11491 - - 12195 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98003 10 173 19 223 19 244 15 307 98003 90572 7 231 10 257 10 292 8 304 90572 84849 5 228 6 242 9 314 1 263 84849 80104 6 175 5 034 5 125 1 146 80104 76028 3 085 5 056 8 109 5 003 76028 72437 9 049 11 071 10 077 7 063 72437 69194 7 047 8 047 10 023 9 047 69194 66229 10 262 8 262 8 283 7 340 66229 63493 21 203 22 200 17 223 13 260 63493 60829 5 139 16 208 20 252 28 250 60829 58102 40 253 45 254 42 256 45 253 58102 55341 57 245 56 257 53 268 47 263 55341 52703 53 251 61 262 62 262 54 260 52703 50311 61 264 68 261 66 260 64 257 50311 48163 74 268 75 260 75 260 74 254 48163 46217 84 266 81 259 86 258 84 252 46217 44433 89 261 81 256 89 256 88 250 44433 42771 89 257 80 256 85 255 85 251 42771 41210 85 256 80 256 80 254 83 256 41210 39743 81 258 81 256 81 255 85 259 39743 38367 76 257 81 254 85 255 86 258 38367 37046 74 256 82 254 88 254 85 255 37046 35714 73 254 82 255 89 254 85 253 35714 34343 72 255 80 256 89 254 85 253 34343 32941 70 258 75 257 83 254 84 253 32941 31497 63 260 69 259 71 253 76 252 31497 30003 55 258 62 261 61 254 62 249 30003 28465 50 256 56 260 54 257 53 250 28465 26884 47 254 53 255 53 256 53 253 26884 25266 46 249 52 249 58 251 59 249 25266 23614 47 245 53 241 60 245 59 244 23614 21917 52 241 52 236 57 240 57 237 21917 20168 54 237 50 233 48 238 52 229 20168 18400 50 237 49 231 35*235 36 225 18400 16702 45 236 44*232 28*234 27 224 16702 15151 42 226 34*235 26 236 23 225 15151 13761 41 222 30 237 25 237 21 231 13761 12510 37*225 28 239 25 238 19 240 12510 11382 28*233 24 241 25 240 18 252 11382 10363 24 239 24 241 24 242 18 263 10363 9445 22 243 23 242 24 244 19 273 9445 8622 21 244 22 242 24 245 21 281 8622 7882 21 245 22 242 23 246 23 287 7882 7208 21 246 21 243 23 247 25 292 7208 6604 20 246 21 243 22 248 25 295 6604 6093 20 247 20 243 22 248 24 297 6093 5695 19 247 19 243 21 249 21 297 5695 5420 18 247 19 243 21 249 16 296 5420 5252 17 247 18 243 19 249 11*292 5252 5155 15 247 16 243 16 249 7*288 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography