DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.2 - - 67.2 - - 66.4 - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 418 - - 501 - - 258 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3225 - - 3668 - - 2630 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5731 - - 6130 - - 5130 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6762 - - 7205 - - 6167 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2214 - - 2088 - - 2284 - - 3156 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 456 - - 506 - - 364 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 280 - - 261 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 15 - - 11 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 36 - - 47 - - 49 - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1007 - - -563 - - -1625 - - -3178 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7769 - - 7768 - - 7792 - - 5801 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6326 - - -5360 - - -5513 - - -7269 ODpotential blCL - - - 13088 - - 12565 - - 11680 - - 9892 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 57 - - 63 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.2 - - 67.2 - - 66.4 - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.2 - - 42.1 - - 41.3 - - 42.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.6 - - 65.2 - - 65.5 - - 60.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.4 - - 41.4 - - 40.6 - - 42.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 418 - - 501 - - 258 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3225 - - 3668 - - 2630 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97831 7 258 13 232 12 252 20 286 97831 90444 11 257 11 272 10 268 9 278 90444 84757 6 219 9 286 8 275 6 322 84757 80032 2 225 4 193 5 245 7 343 80032 75968 6 087 5 137 3 188 4 356 75968 72382 4 075 4 125 5 160 3 162 72382 69136 4 223 4 196 3 153 6 128 69136 66145 6 247 6 207 4 288 2 345 66145 63366 10 263 8 231 11 280 9 270 63366 60667 12 237 14 236 15 273 15 272 60667 57840 18 258 16 256 19 261 21 268 57840 54898 28 267 25 275 24 259 26 263 54898 52086 33 267 32 270 30 263 29 268 52086 49563 37 269 36 266 35 267 34 272 49563 47316 44 267 43 265 39 268 35 267 47316 45292 47 265 48 263 42 267 35 265 45292 43448 49 270 51 267 45 267 36 268 43448 41753 57 274 56 268 49 265 40 269 41753 40188 60 271 57 266 49 262 43 267 40188 38736 59 271 52 266 44 262 41 268 38736 37385 53 275 47 270 38 266 37 271 37385 36093 48 282 42 275 33 273 31 274 36093 34788 43 286 37 280 29 277 27 277 34788 33437 40 294 33 283 27 278 28 280 33437 32043 39 299 32 283 30 279 29 283 32043 30591 40 294 34 281 31 282 29 285 30591 29073 43 290 38 288 30 288 28 285 29073 27487 45 290 38 292 30 290 27 286 27487 25833 44 294 38 291 30 291 26 288 25833 24113 42 297 36 290 29 294 24 293 24113 22331 38 297 34 291 29 301 22 302 22331 20480 35 300 31 298 26 308 20 312 20480 18556 33 305 26 303 23 313 18 322 18556 16599 31 313 21 305 19 314 16 325 16599 14719 28 324 17 310 15 312 13 327 14719 13013 26 333 15 324 12 313 10 327 13013 11496 23 339 15 345 10 326 7 323 11496 10146 20 343 15 360 11 349 7 321 10146 8942 14 351 15 003 14 001 9 326 8942 7868 13 360 14*357 14 351 11 327 7868 6913 12*355 11*343 11*331 11 319 6913 6066 9*345 8 325 10*308 11 313 6066 5314 7 331 7 304 9 281 10 304 5314 4638 4 300 8 266 9 263 8 298 4638 4037 5 251 9 253 10 252 7 293 4037 3534 6 239 10 248 10 246 7 288 3534 3146 6 231 10 245 10 242 6 280 3146 2879 6 228 10 243 10 240 5 273 2879 2715 6 227 10 241 10 239 4*271 2715 2622 6 225 8 239 8 236 3*268 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography