DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 66.2 - - 61.9 - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 398 - - 229 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1581 - - 1613 - - 1099 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1386 - - 1499 - - 980 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2125 - - 2157 - - 1644 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 546 - - 936 - - 522 - - 929 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 311 - - 352 - - 257 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 272 - - 263 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 4 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1079 - - -2389 - - -1857 - - -1454 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3204 - - 4546 - - 3502 - - 2014 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4114 - - -4754 - - -4913 - - -5763 ODpotential blCL - - - 6239 - - 6911 - - 6557 - - 6323 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 64 - - 72 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 66.2 - - 61.9 - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.1 - - 48.4 - - 48.7 - - 49.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.4 - - 64.0 - - 60.4 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.1 - - 47.4 - - 48.1 - - 49.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 398 - - 229 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1581 - - 1613 - - 1099 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97812 6 253 6 295 3 256 15 287 97812 90407 2 295 5 224 8 288 14 299 90407 84748 2 283 5 218 9 288 5 333 84748 80045 4 133 3 236 3 252 5 078 80045 75986 6 127 5 199 4 194 2 071 75986 72395 3 188 1 180 2 127 5 125 72395 69124 4 209 2 216 6 288 4 033 69124 66108 2 242 4 185 10 244 10 286 66108 63314 8 262 5 264 10 244 14 266 63314 60601 14 256 12 287 10 271 10 258 60601 57760 17 264 15 283 13 290 7 291 57760 54804 19 284 17 280 16 293 13 307 54804 51987 21 291 21 285 20 294 20 308 51987 49466 23 299 26 294 23 298 23 307 49466 47218 28 303 28 299 23 303 24 306 47218 45185 31 308 30 302 27 307 23 321 45185 43328 34 308 32 298 34 311 27 320 43328 41623 34 309 35 301 35 307 28 328 41623 40052 37 313 35 304 37 308 30 326 40052 38593 39 316 34 309 39 302 32 319 38593 37228 43 321 36 313 38 301 32 315 37228 35917 48 323 38 319 38 308 31 312 35917 34590 50 322 41 325 38 311 32 307 34590 33215 49 322 40 325 37 310 33 305 33215 31789 47 326 39 321 37 307 32 311 31789 30296 42 325 37 320 40 304 30 315 30296 28722 39 325 36 321 40 304 30 314 28722 27068 37 326 34 321 38 303 31 320 27068 25336 35 334 31 325 34 304 29 323 25336 23522 36 343 31 332 30 313 28 322 23522 21628 34 347 32 337 26 330 27 328 21628 19646 32 352 29 343 25 340 25 330 19646 17572 31 355 26 352 23 340 23 327 17572 15453 30 354 25 360 20 345 21 332 15453 13409 26 354 22 003 18 356 17 344 13409 11552 20 355 16 001 15 357 13 358 11552 9904 16 357 12 352 11 357 11 359 9904 8446 13 359 10 355 9 024 7 352 8446 7152 9 358 9 006 11 029 5 013 7152 6006 5 007 7 003 10 018 4 010 6006 4991 5 032 5 353 9 358 7 333 4991 4098 5 033 3 329 9 342 12 326 4098 3311 4 011 3 294 8 324 14 327 3311 2609 2*321 5*278 9 299 14 324 2609 1990 5*250 10*272 12*274 12 305 1990 1477 6 250 11 271 13*265 11 270 1477 1085 6 251 11 271 13 263 11 244 1085 816 6 252 11 272 12 262 10 238 816 654 6 253 11 272 11 262 9 236 654 560 5 253 9 272 9 262 6*235 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography