DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.5 - - 73.8 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 181 - - 65 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2755 - - 2632 - - 77 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2272 - - 1599 - - 769 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3464 - - 3341 - - 786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2122 - - 2740 - - 3643 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 333 - - 244 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 12 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 9 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 163 - - 168 - - 120 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 292 - - 150 - - -469 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3172 - - 3191 - - 1255 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -248 - - -672 - - -1235 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3712 - - 4013 - - 2021 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 92 - - 94 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 560 - - 1110 - - 1280 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.5 - - 73.8 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.1 - - 62.2 - - 64.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.9 - - 72.9 - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.9 - - 61.1 - - 64.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 181 - - 65 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2755 - - 2632 - - 77 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 68 - - 78 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98029 3 086 5 089 3 176 98029 90580 5 112 6 357 6 099 90580 84844 4 104 7 360 10 056 84844 80100 3 099 7 023 10 029 80100 76041 7 085 4 038 12 019 76041 72466 11 059 3 075 8 015 72466 69239 13 048 4 062 7 009 69239 66275 11 030 6 052 6 359 66275 63523 7 005 5 331 8 324 63523 60856 11 349 3 333 8 280 60856 58073 12 283 6 313 6 260 58073 55185 13 253 10 279 6 274 55185 52423 14 226 14 255 9 277 52423 49931 12 205 14 238 13 257 49931 47693 10 222 13 238 12 257 47693 45661 15 229 16 226 13 247 45661 43800 17 211 17 214 15 231 43800 42080 16 214 15 213 12 215 42080 40482 21 219 13 232 6 200 40482 38989 27 199 17 238 4 266 38989 37592 30 174 24 202 11 252 37592 36253 22 162 26 181 13 227 36253 34906 20 169 22 176 23 190 34906 33518 19 173 21 179 27 176 33518 32081 18 176 22 183 29 170 32081 30577 18 177 22 187 27 176 30577 28992 18 179 23 188 25 183 28992 27327 19 181 22 188 20 182 27327 25579 21 184 19 188 17 180 25579 23752 22 183 17 191 13 178 23752 21849 22 183 17 196 14 175 21849 19867 20 186 17 187 17 177 19867 17798 18 186 18 180 17 174 17798 15691 19 187 18 182 17 164 15691 13663 18 192 18 185 17 165 13663 11818 17 193 18 181 17 164 11818 10180 16 192 16 181 17 173 10180 8726 17 196 16 186 18 181 8726 7434 18 199 16 189 16 182 7434 6285 17 197 15 191 13 185 6285 5269 13 198 13 190 9 181 5269 4373 10 199 11 184 7 163 4373 3583 6*183 10*173 7 157 3583 2876 6*170 10*171 7 158 2876 2250 5 166 10 169 7 161 2250 1727 5 163 9 168 6 154 1727 1326 5 159 9 167 6 147 1326 1050 5 159 8 167 5 139 1050 882 4 159 8 166 4*130 882 786 4 158 6 166 2*120 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography