DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 80.9 - - 80.7 - - 70.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 519 - - 533 - - 204 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5233 - - 6969 - - 7470 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5935 - - 7345 - - 7247 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7333 - - 9069 - - 9570 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1124 - - 1263 - - 1103 - - 6405 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 570 - - 633 - - 471 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 14 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 274 - - 292 - - 346 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6899 - - -7782 - - -6169 - - -11262 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14233 - - 16852 - - 15740 - - 13407 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13551 - - -13675 - - -11746 - - -18421 ODpotential blCL - - - 20884 - - 22744 - - 21316 - - 20565 blCL maxRH - - - 24 - - 27 - - 28 - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 80.9 - - 80.7 - - 70.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.5 - - 13.2 - - 18.3 - - 19.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.9 - - 77.8 - - 79.1 - - 73.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.5 - - 13.3 - - 18.2 - - 19.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 519 - - 533 - - 204 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5233 - - 6969 - - 7470 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97897 9 161 15 217 14 269 14 303 97897 90481 2 335 6 192 10 247 10 293 90481 84789 7 247 3 284 2 003 7 022 84789 80060 5 219 5 245 4 298 6 013 80060 75978 2 229 3 133 5 193 5 265 75978 72395 4 241 5 330 5 137 4 237 72395 69161 6 189 4 209 5 188 1 192 69161 66183 9 234 8 212 6 245 4 259 66183 63432 8 196 13 217 10 243 13 249 63432 60780 11 225 14 211 17 209 16 226 60780 58005 20 238 19 241 18 251 20 255 58005 55106 35 237 36 241 36 246 34 249 55106 52331 38 237 40 244 42 246 44 249 52331 49842 48 254 54 258 56 254 57 252 49842 47624 67 261 67 259 71 257 71 253 47624 45627 88 260 86 258 88 253 85 251 45627 43811 103 256 99 255 99 251 95 248 43811 42140 108 253 104 253 100 249 97 248 42140 40587 108 252 104 252 97 249 97 247 40587 39131 108 251 103 251 96 250 96 246 39131 37760 107 250 101 250 97 248 95 246 37760 36436 106 251 99 250 97 248 93 246 36436 35094 104 253 97 253 92 251 90 248 35094 33705 99 254 95 255 90 256 82 252 33705 32278 92 257 91 258 86 260 75 256 32278 30798 82 257 80 260 77 264 71 258 30798 29247 78 255 70 258 65 260 64 260 29247 27627 76 258 67 258 62 256 57 254 27627 25937 71 262 65 262 59 260 55 254 25937 24179 65 263 62 265 55 265 48 262 24179 22356 58 262 53 265 49 266 44 264 22356 20462 54 260 49 262 44 263 40 262 20462 18494 51 260 46 261 41 262 36 261 18494 16489 49 264 43 266 38 268 31 265 16489 14556 43 266 38 267 33 272 26 271 14556 12798 35 263 31 264 28 266 24 270 12798 11235 28 260 24 261 20 254 21 255 11235 9849 26 261 16*258 12*265 15 235 9849 8619 25 261 15*266 12*272 11 258 8619 7523 19*264 14 268 12 279 10 282 7523 6544 15*267 14 270 12 287 10 303 6544 5677 13 269 14 273 12 292 11 314 5677 4906 13 270 14 275 12 296 12 323 4906 4212 12 271 14 277 12 299 12 329 4212 3596 12 271 14 278 12 301 13 334 3596 3079 12 272 13 279 12 303 13 337 3079 2681 11 273 13 280 12 304 13 341 2681 2407 11 272 13 281 12 304 11 343 2407 2240 10 272 12 281 11 305 8 345 2240 2144 9 273 11 282 10 306 5*346 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography