DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.9 - - 58.7 - - 53.7 - - 48.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 537 - - 599 - - 209 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9670 - - 11585 - - 5618 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13375 - - 15016 - - 9659 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15538 - - 17453 - - 11486 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6404 - - 3156 - - 4923 - - 6437 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 734 - - 808 - - 447 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 19 - - 20 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 274 - - 294 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 33 - - 46 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1835 - - 3591 - - 239 - - -6798 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13704 - - 13863 - - 11247 - - 12841 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1472 - - 2435 - - -791 - - -9651 ODpotential blCL - - - 14066 - - 15018 - - 12277 - - 15694 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 90 - - 91 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 260 - - 200 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.9 - - 58.7 - - 53.7 - - 48.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.3 - - 18.4 - - 25.3 - - 13.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.1 - - 55.6 - - 52.2 - - 50.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.0 - - 18.6 - - 25.5 - - 13.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 537 - - 599 - - 209 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9670 - - 11585 - - 5618 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 50 - - 61 - - 64 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97800 9 181 16 229 13 253 12 308 97800 90427 8 211 9 223 7 326 4 248 90427 84780 4 282 0 150 3 345 5 055 84780 80087 5 198 5 313 2 239 6 030 80087 76041 4 161 6 200 5 194 3 325 76041 72464 2 184 10 151 11 174 1 198 72464 69215 7 162 12 162 11 169 6 159 69215 66212 8 188 11 198 10 194 4 162 66212 63428 7 167 16 178 13 209 12 232 63428 60735 9 237 10 191 15 203 18 211 60735 57915 23 212 15 224 16 196 18 219 57915 54961 24 210 20 222 21 220 23 234 54961 52117 26 224 28 225 31 218 32 230 52117 49554 35 238 35 231 34 233 33 233 49554 47258 45 238 38 237 36 246 33 249 47258 45175 51 236 44 248 44 256 41 261 45175 43273 55 236 54 251 50 259 52 260 43273 41528 56 238 61 253 56 262 58 261 41528 39915 60 240 65 255 64 265 67 266 39915 38419 62 244 71 258 74 266 76 267 38419 37031 67 249 78 256 81 266 80 267 37031 35718 77 250 78 253 84 266 82 268 35718 34415 85 246 76 253 86 265 84 268 34415 33093 87 243 79 255 88 264 86 269 33093 31753 82 242 84 256 87 262 84 269 31753 30385 76 244 83 256 85 265 77 273 30385 28976 70 246 72 256 88 267 74 278 28976 27527 65 246 58 260 84 266 74 282 27527 26037 53 242 51 263 65 267 70 287 26037 24517 38 241 36 266 43 272 60 294 24517 22979 21 240 24 276 29 256 46 304 22979 21414 13 239 19 286 28 262 38 315 21414 19808 13 243 16 288 28 275 36 320 19808 18190 15 248 16*284 25 285 30 314 18190 16640 17*252 16*277 21 286 24 301 16640 15228 19*254 16 274 17 284 22 293 15228 13963 20 257 17 271 15 285 21 293 13963 12826 21 258 18 271 15 289 21 298 12826 11797 21 259 18 271 16*291 21 308 11797 10866 22 259 19 272 17*293 21 316 10866 10025 23 260 20 273 19 294 21 322 10025 9267 23 260 21 275 20 294 21 326 9267 8584 23 260 22 277 21 294 20 328 8584 7960 23 260 22 277 22 294 19 328 7960 7398 23 261 22 278 22 293 17 328 7398 6921 23 261 22 278 22 293 15 327 6921 6550 23 260 22 278 22 293 12 326 6550 6291 22 260 22 278 21 293 10 324 6291 6133 21 260 21 277 20 292 7*322 6133 6043 18 260 18 277 17 291 4*321 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography