DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.5 - - 66.4 - - 62.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 31 - - 43 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3982 - - 4977 - - 3605 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 91 - - 103 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 232 - - 240 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -626 - - -1220 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3444 - - 4037 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1359 - - -2015 - - -1389 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4176 - - 4832 - - 4206 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 92 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 810 - - 900 - - 930 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.5 - - 66.4 - - 62.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.8 - - 58.0 - - 59.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 62.7 - - 65.5 - - 63.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 56.8 - - 56.7 - - 58.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 31 - - 43 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 70 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97950 2 296 2 082 3 037 97950 90544 5 091 6 356 7 056 90544 84852 7 081 5 022 8 052 84852 80130 8 058 4 045 8 035 80130 76065 9 040 5 031 9 024 76065 72470 9 030 6 034 6 324 72470 69230 7 018 7 020 7 335 69230 66270 3 350 8 337 12 344 66270 63533 5 334 8 305 10 316 63533 60879 12 312 12 288 13 297 60879 58107 13 288 10 278 12 285 58107 55232 10 266 7 267 10 271 55232 52477 12 267 11 279 10 253 52477 49974 16 257 17 264 10 262 49974 47722 13 232 16 245 13 274 47722 45688 9 221 11 237 15 277 45688 43828 15 252 12 266 17 282 43828 42107 21 241 21 268 24 283 42107 40508 19 240 26 263 24 287 40508 39023 19 255 26 268 27 295 39023 37643 15 272 25 270 32 290 37643 36329 17 281 25 283 31 283 36329 35010 23 284 31 290 28 286 35010 33651 28 294 30 295 28 287 33651 32251 33 309 28 300 27 291 32251 30795 36 312 31 307 28 295 30795 29271 34 310 34 306 29 290 29271 27679 29 301 33 298 32 283 27679 26019 24 291 31 303 31 285 26019 24296 20 279 28 304 31 292 24296 22515 17 278 28 300 31 296 22515 20671 14 275 26 299 31 296 20671 18758 12 265 23 293 28 293 18758 16813 12 251 21 274 25 288 16813 14941 12 250 21 273 22 282 14941 13238 13 246 21 269 20 278 13238 11724 13 231 18 268 19 278 11724 10378 15 234 15 261 17 271 10378 9175 13 239 16 253 16 265 9175 8101 11 239 15 253 15 261 8101 7142 9 235 12 252 13 252 7142 6292 8 234 10 252 10 240 6292 5536 8 235 8 251 7 231 5536 4856 7 236 7 249 6 226 4856 4250 6 236 5 244 5 224 4250 3741 5 235 5 243 4 214 3741 3348 4 233 5 242 4 207 3348 3077 4 233 4 241 3 199 3077 2911 4*231 4*241 2*189 2911 2817 3*232 3*240 1*173 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography