DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.5 - - 42.5 - - 41.9 - - 32.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 631 - - 626 - - 237 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9863 - - 7838 - - 7102 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 16580 - - 14896 - - 13862 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18663 - - 16638 - - 15902 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2039 - - 4540 - - 4436 - - 2626 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 803 - - 741 - - 519 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 27 - - 25 - - 26 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 262 - - 278 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 10 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 32 - - -21 - - -51 - - -36 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3177 - - 2608 - - 1194 - - -1128 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15487 - - 14030 - - 14708 - - 10490 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1753 - - 1230 - - -154 - - -3975 ODpotential blCL - - - 16910 - - 15408 - - 16056 - - 13336 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 94 - - 76 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 140 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.5 - - 42.5 - - 41.9 - - 32.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.1 - - 13.6 - - 10.1 - - 19.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.7 - - 38.8 - - 39.6 - - 31.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.7 - - 13.3 - - 10.0 - - 19.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 631 - - 626 - - 237 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9863 - - 7838 - - 7102 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 75 - - 4 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97831 8 174 16 221 11 259 12 309 97831 90441 7 227 5 238 7 325 2 227 90441 84780 6 266 5 280 4 346 3 076 84780 80087 7 248 3 241 3 278 5 011 80087 76053 9 184 6 186 5 239 4 044 76053 72480 7 133 11 155 9 164 2 095 72480 69225 5 157 10 154 11 159 2 122 69225 66228 5 148 7 165 12 157 6 162 66228 63451 5 209 5 221 10 192 8 224 63451 60772 6 183 6 180 13 191 11 201 60772 57962 9 246 8 179 15 216 15 219 57962 55008 27 222 19 213 20 214 28 232 55008 52176 31 191 20 231 22 218 35 234 52176 49624 30 243 30 233 31 225 37 239 49624 47338 50 236 43 234 36 244 37 247 47338 45263 58 232 52 237 50 252 40 255 45263 43365 64 232 59 243 59 252 52 257 43365 41622 69 234 66 248 64 252 63 257 41622 40007 72 236 74 250 69 257 69 259 40007 38506 75 241 84 253 79 262 79 263 38506 37118 83 246 94 253 88 263 91 264 37118 35814 93 248 101 252 94 261 98 263 35814 34530 103 247 101 250 95 260 96 262 34530 33240 109 244 99 249 95 260 93 263 33240 31948 110 241 97 250 96 260 94 263 31948 30645 109 239 97 251 96 260 93 262 30645 29322 109 238 101 251 95 261 87 263 29322 27981 109 236 104 250 95 261 84 267 27981 26625 105 235 101 250 94 259 85 268 26625 25256 96 232 87 252 90 260 81 271 25256 23885 85 230 64 255 66 265 68 275 23885 22516 72 229 46 254 46 267 54 276 22516 21148 54 231 28 255 30 272 36 271 21148 19797 39*234 24 258 26 284 25 269 19797 18517 32*237 24 258 26 286 23 273 18517 17359 29 238 24*259 26 284 26 278 17359 16321 28 239 24*260 26*282 28 281 16321 15380 27 240 25 261 26*281 30 283 15380 14520 27 241 25 262 27 280 30 287 14520 13730 27 241 26 263 27 279 30 291 13730 13003 26 241 26 263 27 278 29 297 13003 12337 26 241 26 263 27 278 28 302 12337 11726 26 241 26 263 27 277 27 307 11726 11159 25 241 26 263 27 276 26 312 11159 10641 25 240 26 263 26 276 25 317 10641 10196 24 240 25 263 25 275 23 323 10196 9845 23 239 24 262 24 275 21 325 9845 9600 22 239 23 262 22 274 19 327 9600 9449 20 239 21 261 20 274 16*327 9449 9361 15 236 15 260 13 273 9*326 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography