DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/14 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.0 - - 81.1 - - 76.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 203 - - 130 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2997 - - 4223 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2391 - - 3065 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3592 - - 4818 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3156 - - 2651 - - 4771 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 358 - - 346 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 15 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 149 - - 152 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 18 - - 772 - - -1836 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3574 - - 4046 - - 2412 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1433 - - -200 - - -2765 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5025 - - 5018 - - 3341 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 75 - - 97 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1480 - - 1780 - - 1960 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.0 - - 81.1 - - 76.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 64.8 - - 64.9 - - 67.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.8 - - 80.4 - - 77.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.5 - - 64.0 - - 66.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 203 - - 130 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2997 - - 4223 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 87 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97951 12 152 1 327 10 117 97951 90518 5 128 4 093 0 153 90518 84825 3 157 3 127 3 313 84825 80106 1 143 4 287 8 028 80106 76050 5 054 5 332 12 029 76050 72482 9 061 1 062 9 006 72482 69265 10 067 2 163 6 313 69265 66310 7 356 4 098 4 274 66310 63567 7 258 2 254 7 273 63567 60903 10 251 5 260 9 247 60903 58109 10 250 6 261 8 229 58109 55200 12 246 16 254 11 267 55200 52423 14 230 19 237 12 265 52423 49925 14 222 16 244 22 259 49925 47695 17 250 21 270 26 267 47695 45683 23 267 31 284 29 281 45683 43849 30 279 32 280 30 284 43849 42161 28 285 33 278 31 279 42161 40595 29 292 35 281 34 279 40595 39135 31 291 33 283 38 287 39135 37764 28 294 34 285 41 291 37764 36438 28 293 35 289 42 289 36438 35088 31 293 40 293 37 282 35088 33684 32 293 45 293 36 283 33684 32229 32 291 45 292 39 290 32229 30708 30 288 46 290 43 292 30708 29108 28 282 45 291 47 290 29108 27430 24 276 42 290 45 287 27430 25672 24 276 40 286 37 284 25672 23837 25 277 37 282 35 286 23837 21928 26 278 34 282 31 287 21928 19935 25 274 30 284 26 284 19935 17857 30 275 29 278 23 284 17857 15737 33 275 26 273 21 271 15737 13686 30 274 22 272 21 258 13686 11811 24 268 22 256 24 267 11811 10138 20 248 15 252 23 272 10138 8650 14 223 11 229 13 265 8650 7333 12 199 12 203 6 215 7333 6166 12 186 15 182 11 186 6166 5134 11 176 16*172 19 173 5134 4225 12*165 16*162 23 162 4225 3422 12*157 15 153 23 156 3422 2702 12 150 15 151 22 153 2702 2065 12 148 15 151 21 152 2065 1533 12 147 15 150 20 150 1533 1125 12 146 14 149 17 147 1125 843 11 146 14 149 14 144 843 672 11 146 13 149 12*143 672 575 10 146 11 149 8*142 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography