DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/06 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft
BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF
SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing
RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z
----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------
15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Update Time 0655z - - 0958z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time
FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD
Temp@2m 74.9 - - 82.6 - - 87.9 - - 88.8 - - 80.8 Temp@2m
Sfc.Heating 105 - - 471 - - 502 - - 210 - - -16 Sfc.Heating
BL Depth 1785 - - 7953 - - 10083 - - 11333 - - 16 BL Depth
Hcrit 5391 - - 10846 - - 12621 - - 13084 - - 4358 Hcrit
BL Top 6613 - - 12781 - - 14911 - - 16161 - - 4376 BL Top
Hgt.Variab. 5643 - - 2187 - - 1631 - - 1420 - - 12200 Hgt.Variab.
W* 240 - - 648 - - 717 - - 558 - - 5 W*
B/S 22 - - 32 - - 26 - - 25 - - 0 B/S
BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind
Direction 099 - - 216 - - 234 - - 245 - - 193 Direction
Wind Shear 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 Wind Shear
Max.Converg -7 - - -18 - - -17 - - 10 - - 20 Max.Converg
CLOUDpotent -4672 - - -1279 - - -1454 - - -697 - - -10255 CLOUDpotentl
sfcLCL 11286 - - 14061 - - 16366 - - 16859 - - 14631 sfcLCL
ODpotential -8353 - - -4549 - - -4214 - - -3088 - - -13825 ODpotential
blCL 14966 - - 17330 - - 19125 - - 19249 - - 18201 blCL
maxRH 47 - - 38 - - 41 - - 54 - - 79 maxRH
CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE
Temp@2m 74.9 - - 82.6 - - 87.9 - - 88.8 - - 80.8 Temp@2m
DewPt@2m 40.5 - - 35.7 - - 30.4 - - 29.2 - - 31.9 DewPt@2m
Temp@Bot 75.0 - - 80.9 - - 85.9 - - 88.2 - - 84.2 Temp@Bot
DewPt@Bot 40.2 - - 35.4 - - 30.0 - - 28.9 - - 31.7 DewPt@bot
Sfc.Heating 105 - - 471 - - 502 - - 210 - - -16 Sfc.Heating
BL Depth 1785 - - 7953 - - 10083 - - 11333 - - 16 BL Depth
EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 EXPERIMENT
EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2
PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue]
----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------
Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z
[ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft]
98413 28 083 22 109 17 125 13 105 18 090 98413
90973 24 089 21 107 16 122 13 089 17 087 90973
85266 16 101 16 085 21 104 14 087 15 083 85266
80538 12 111 10 081 15 082 22 090 18 086 80538
76472 14 115 8 124 10 083 16 104 17 090 76472
72871 3 107 10 134 6 120 13 118 4 131 72871
69616 4 169 5 129 5 144 6 155 6 074 69616
66621 5 199 7 221 4 312 3 237 4 325 66621
63851 5 222 11 199 6 248 3 313 6 153 63851
61193 9 341 10 213 14 227 14 260 10 269 61193
58445 22 257 16 260 19 235 18 250 16 250 58445
55600 31 240 28 253 31 248 28 262 26 264 55600
52888 39 247 39 247 41 244 42 254 41 263 52888
50452 49 249 48 247 48 245 51 250 52 257 50452
48268 56 251 54 248 52 247 58 250 62 254 48268
46281 63 255 57 250 56 246 64 251 65 254 46281
44459 69 254 62 252 59 247 67 253 67 254 44459
42775 73 252 65 252 60 250 67 253 72 254 42775
41203 71 250 65 250 60 251 64 253 74 253 41203
39728 63 250 61 248 58 250 61 253 73 253 39728
38342 57 250 55 248 55 249 56 252 67 254 38342
37014 54 251 53 248 52 250 52 251 60 254 37014
35679 54 251 53 250 50 251 49 252 54 254 35679
34307 55 251 54 252 49 251 48 252 47 254 34307
32902 55 249 52 252 49 250 47 252 45 254 32902
31450 52 248 49 253 48 251 45 252 44 254 31450
29941 47 247 45 254 44 253 42 253 41 253 29941
28381 41 247 41 255 38 255 37 255 36 253 28381
26770 36 249 38 255 33 255 31 255 31 253 26770
25112 33 250 35 253 31 255 27 255 27 253 25112
23408 33 249 34 250 31 253 25 255 24 252 23408
21651 30 243 32 246 30 251 26 254 23 250 21651
19837 26 238 29 237 28 246 26 251 23 251 19837
17997 23 236 22 232 23 240 21 249 18 249 17997
16231 20 234 15 237 14*238 9*252 5 251 16231
14624 17 238 11 245 6*244 7*259 4 258 14624
13184 11 247 7*251 6 248 6 261 3 254 13184
11890 2 230 3*252 6 248 6 260 4 243 11890
10724 4 104 3 244 5 246 5 258 5 235 10724
9675 3 098 3 233 5 243 4 252 6 232 9675
8733 2 091 3 222 5 236 4 243 8 229 8733
7889 2 092 3 214 5 229 3 233 9 227 7889
7134 2*100 4 209 5 223 3 223 10 225 7134
6449 3*110 5 206 5 216 3 213 11 222 6449
5836 2 101 5 204 5 210 3 207 12 218 5836
5320 2 087 6 203 5 206 3 202 12 215 5320
4919 2 092 6 202 5 203 3 199 12 209 4919
4641 2 098 6 202 5 202 3 199 10 202 4641
4472 1 113 6 203 5 201 3 198 8*196 4472
4375 1 116 6 202 4 200 3 196 5*191 4375
PARAMETER KEY:
(basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html)
(more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html)
(additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation
FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time
Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F]
Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2]
BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft]
Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL]
BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL]
Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft]
W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm]
B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less)
BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt]
Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue]
Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt]
(note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile
CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft]
sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL]
ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft]
bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL]
maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%]
CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg]
Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F]
DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F]
Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use)
DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use)
Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2]
BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft]
EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use)
* = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles
Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly
Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography